Playing the I fund

[Wheels]

I disagree with your statement that they overpaid the I-fund share price on Monday-23rd COB.

According to my numbers, they underpriced it on Friday-20 by between 0.5-0.8% and then on Monday-23 by about the same percentage.
So today (Monday COB) the I-fund is back to being priced fairly.

Exactly correct. I also ended up on the right side of one of these revaluations for a change.

Dave
<><

 

[bkrownd]

How do you come by those numbers?

 

[Wheels]

How do you come by those numbers?

Go to www.msci.com/equity/index2.html Make sure you adjust the date to reflect today's date. Morgan Stanley posts the close for the EAFE around 3:00 everyday. The I fund will correlate exactly about 95% of the time. If it doesn't, then you know that the TSP board has done one of their revaluations and you also know how much they have to add or subtract within the next couple of days to get exactly back on track.

For instance, today they posted the EAFE gain in U.S. dollars as .146% so today's gain should be 2 or 3 cents. If it's not, they will re-adjust it within a day or two.

Did you follow all that?

Dave
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[ou81200]

IMO---It should balance out tomorrow. If the foreign market is up in the AM, we should see the I fund go higher. Unless the dollar takes a drastic change upward. I've noticed this in the past.

 

[vectorman]

Checking the charts at 9:45est Japan is up over 1% ( ^N225 and ^N300 both up over 1% ) , Australia up .64%
http://www.allstocks.com/markets/World_Charts/world_charts.html
Now if only the European markets can get it together.

 

[clester]

Pm

Hey vectorman,

you need to empty your pm folder. It's full and I can't send you another one.

BTW, Not much on the I today. Hope in pays off tomorow.

Get back to work!

 

[Soldat]

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/cq?s=^GS...FTSE,+^GDAXI,+^FCHI,+^N300,+^AORD,+^SSMI&d=v1

Today could go both ways, If Europe steams through like it is right now and the dollar falls, great for I fund. On the other hand, Europe could flatline and the dollar could rise. Time will tell and everyone else will sell.

 

[JOVARN]

LONDON, Jan 25 (Reuters) - Further signs of strength in the euro zone's biggest economy boosted share prices on Wednesday and propelled the euro back towards a four-month high against the dollar.
________________________________________________________________
I believe a short rally will happen in the C&S fund, but I am staying on the sideline and maintain my 40% I fund position.
I just hate to give up the first two weeks of gains; I will get over it soon but for now until OIL cools off and we see who will be attacking IRAN (my bet is Turkey and Israel) I am playing it safe with the remaining 60% for now.
There is plenty of time left in the year to make money.

 

[clester]

Japan was flat and Europe is rockin'. Dollar a little stronger.

So far so good. Dax up over 1%. Hope U.S. does well also.

 

[Fivetears]

Moved 100% to I Fund Monday; Also sitting 100% in Internationals through a USAA (United States Automobile Association) 401K. US Markets seem too unstable.

 

[clester]

Japan was flat and dollar strength vs yen(0.6%) will hurt the I fund some. Euro and pound strength(0.3%) along with EU stocks up (1%) will help it. The EFA ticker dosen't seem to be accurate today (that happens alot).

What is the real story? Hmm. I fund up about 0.8% or so?

 

[Wheels]

My guess, more like .5%.

Let the insanity begin.

Dave
<><

Oops, nevermind. I see that Europe has rallied some more. .8% looks pretty good.

 

[clester]

MSCI say +.565 or about .10 cents

 

[Wheels]

MSCI EAFE up .565%. Should have stuck with my original estimate. Would have looked like I knew what I was talking about.

Dave
<><

 

[Wheels]

Can anyone tell me where I can see a daily graph of the dollar? I usually go to barchart to see what the dollar index is doing, but it would be good to know when the dollar is falling or rising within any given day. Morgan Stanley EAFE quotes close earlier in the afternoon than our markets, so a significant move in the dollar AFTER say one o clock would be helpful in planning when to stick and move into the I fund.

Thanks in advance,

Dave
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[Dogdaddy]

Go here and click on daily tab......

http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX&v=w

 

[bkrownd]

Can anyone tell me where I can see a daily graph of the dollar?

finance.yahoo.com tracks exchange rates of Dollar/Euro as USDEUR=X and Dollar/Yen as USDJPY=X - type those codes into the little "enter symbol" box near the top of the page to get the data and graphs.

 

[clester]

Try advfn.com and click on forex. It gives all the currencies.

 

[vectorman]

Japan is off to a good start.
http://yahoo.reuters.com/financeQuo...=mtfh38883_2006-01-26_00-58-35_t226004_newsml
http://yahoo.reuters.com/financeQuo...=mtfh37889_2006-01-25_23-27-31_t208631_newsml
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=^N300
Does anyone know if Australia market is close for thursday, I'm not getting an active chart for it.

 

[roguewave]

LONDON, Jan 25 (Reuters) - Further signs of strength in the euro zone's biggest economy boosted share prices on Wednesday and propelled the euro back towards a four-month high against the dollar.
________________________________________________________________
I believe a short rally will happen in the C&S fund, but I am staying on the sideline and maintain my 40% I fund position.
I just hate to give up the first two weeks of gains; I will get over it soon but for now until OIL cools off and we see who will be attacking IRAN (my bet is Turkey and Israel) I am playing it safe with the remaining 60% for now.
There is plenty of time left in the year to make money.

Hmm I'm having difficulty understanding your logic, you're suggesting an attack on Iran and oil cooling off in one statement. I don't know that I would bet on the price of oil going down anytime soon whether Iran is attacked or not.