nasa1974's Account Talk

I read it this a.m. He makes a lot of sense especially when put together with what the other MB gurus are saying. Todays article goes well with what CP said on his thread: "Today's price action was interesting...almost like a small "capitulation" in which there was not really panic selling, but everyone decided to lop off a big chunk of their stock holdings. Almost like we are searching for a new equilibrium level...and that level seems to be lower. Given the lack of a rally today, it seems everyone is "ok" with going lower."

An interesting article. To long to post so here is the link:
http://www.stocktiming.com/Tuesday-DailyMarketUpdate.htm



February 17, 2009

Stock Trends, Charts, and Commentary


Institutional Investors haven't panicked yet, but there is a "growing European fear" that may spill over.
 
The latest and greatest from the FRTIB.

http://www.govexec.com/story_page.cfm?articleid=42065&dcn=todaysnews





Talks begin on possible legislative enhancements to the TSPBy Brittany R. Ballenstedt bballenstedt@govexec.com February 17, 2009
Thrift Savings Plan officials have started discussions with Congress on proposed legislative improvements to the retirement savings program, including adding a Roth Individual Retirement Account option.
During a monthly meeting on Tuesday, Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board officials said they have been in contact with the new leaders of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, which has jurisdiction over the TSP. They are hoping to meet next week with Rep. Steven Lynch, D-Mass., the new chairman of the panel's subcommittee on the federal workforce, according to Tom Trabucco, legislative director for the federal employee plan.
On the table are proposals discussed earlier this month during a meeting of the Employee Thrift Advisory Council, which is made up of federal unions and other worker organizations. The council supported automatically enrolling new federal workers into the TSP, adding a Roth feature, authorizing immediate employer matching contributions, and allowing spouses of deceased federal workers to leave their savings in the TSP.
Other potential legislative items TSP and ETAC are considering include changing the default fund for indecisive investors and creating a window for participants to access a variety of specialized mutual funds.
Trabucco said an aide to Rep. Henry Waxman, D-Calif., former chairman of the Oversight and Government Reform Committee, asked for information about TSP provisions the House passed in 2008 because Waxman remains interested in the addition of a Roth feature.
It's possible the TSP provisions would get attached to a larger bill, Trabucco said. He noted that plan officials will work with ETAC to prepare a formal legislative proposal to send to Capitol Hill.
Trabucco recently received a phone call from the White House Office of Presidential Personnel to discuss concerns over the fact that the terms of the TSP board's five members have expired. They are serving as holdovers, but could be replaced at any time. Board members are supposed to have staggered terms to ensure continuity. "This is the first time in the 22 years that there has been such outreach from presidential personnel," Trabucco said.
Pamela Jean Moran, TSP's director of participant services, said TSP expects to have a new demonstration Web site online by September, and participants should be able to "test drive" the site early in 2010. An upgraded Web site might garner more favorable ratings of the TSP from younger participants, officials said.
Meanwhile, officials commended Serco Group of Reston, Va., for ensuring a smooth transition after acquiring SI International, which managed one of TSP's two call centers and provided imaging, data entry and forms processing support. Serco will assume SI International's contract agreements with the plan. "We're very impressed," said Greg Long, executive director of the TSP. "We're working with SI and SERCO in such a way that doesn't create bumps in the road for us."
Mark Hagerty, chief information officer for the TSP, noted that a two-year plan to upgrade technology capabilities is on track. Officials struck an agreement with Switch & Data of Tampa, Fla., in December 2008 to expand operations to a new data facility in Northern Virginia. The plan involves replacing mainframe computers with newer technology offering more memory and faster processors, consolidating and replacing servers, modernizing IT networks, and improving storage capacity.
Officials began moving equipment into the new center last month, Hagerty said. The new data center is expected to be fully operational by September.
 
Rep. Steven Lynch, D-Mass
Is this who we need to talk to about lifting the IFT limits??? And to get rid of the people who are on the board now
 
12-2-2009: Unless there is a huge turnaround it looks like I will be on the negative side again today. So with that said I have made a <1% move to try and aquire some more shares at a lesser price. :laugh: I was at GFCSI 19.90%, 9.98%, 30.10%, 29.99% and 10.30%. Made my move to 18,10,31,30,11. Will not have much of a gain in the F and S funds but will see an in the C and I funds. Good luck to all.[/quote\
I am not sure of how to play the <1% move. I thought in order to use it, you had to increase your interest in the G fund but your percentage shrunk from 19.9% to 18%. Any tips on making the <1% move?
Thanks,
Handballer
 
[quote I am not sure of how to play the <1% move. I thought in order to use it, you had to increase your interest in the G fund but your percentage shrunk from 19.9% to 18%. Any tips on making the <1% move?
Thanks,
Handballer[/quote]

Handballer,

The <1% move has many variables. The easiest way to explain it is that in order to increase your shares in one or more funds, shares have to decrease from others. The way the software is set up, it allows you to take shares out of the G fund to purchase shares in other funds. Thats what I did. Another example would might look like this: GFCSI 19.90%, 9.98%, 30.10%, 29.99% and 10.30%. Made a move to 20,8,31,30,11. I used the F fund to increase my shares in the GCSI funds. Most of the time what you would like to try and do is use the fund with the highest price per share to purchase additional shares in the other funds. A bit confusing but I hope this helps. Maybe Lady or SB can help to explain this move as well. Good luck!!
 
Some interesting news.

This is from Federal Handbooks Newsletter.
http://www.federalhandbooks.com


2009 Omnibus Bill Introduced - HR 1105

Yesterday, House Appropriations Chairman Dave Obey, D-Wis., introduced a $410 billion omnibus spending bill to fund most federal agencies through the remainder of this fiscal year. The bill would give large plus-ups to numerous agencies, halt all public-private job competitions, end the IRS' use of private debt collectors to collect back taxes, and beef up the staff at many regulatory agencies.
All departments except Defense, Homeland Security and Veterans Affairs have been operating since October under a continuing resolution (CR) that held funding to 2008 levels, which expires on March 6.
Among the agencies slated for big increases in the bill, HR 1105: the Census Bureau, FBI, food safety agencies, Social Security Administration and the Energy Department. Federal building projects will also receive an infusion of cash, with $8.4 billion allocated for the General Services Administration?s Federal Buildings Fund. The Drug Enforcement Administration, Environmental Protection Agency, Indian Health Service, NASA, National Institutes of Health, and the National Science Foundation are among other agencies slated for increases budget increases.
To read the bill in its entirety, visit: http://appropriations.house.gov/FY2009_consolidated.shtml.
____________________________________________________________________________________________

TSP Withdrawal Requirement Waived for Some

About 75,000 retired Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) participants who turned 70.5 in 2008 will not be required to make withdrawals from their retirement investments in 2009. Usually, TSP participants who leave federal service are required to start making regular withdrawals from their account balances after they turn 70.5. However, Congress passed a law to suspend that requirement for a year for all IRA or 401(k)-type programs. The law was meant to ease the impact of the economic downturn on retired people who might have to cash in retirement savings investments at a loss to satisfy the withdrawal requirements.
On January 15th, the Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board, which governs TSP, said that TSP participants who are already receiving monthly payments will be able to reduce them to as little as $25 per month. The requirement for the withdrawals, called minimum distribution payments, will resume in 2010.
____________________________________________________________________________________________

Veterans Scholarship Opportunity

Grantham University is pleased to offer all qualified Military Veterans its Veterans Scholarship program. The scholarship program offers you a special tuition rate of $250 per credit hour along with a textbook and technology grant that covers the cost of all required textbooks and software. Those who are eligible for the Montgomery GI Bill, DANTES, or other government benefits are encouraged to apply.
For nearly 60 years, Grantham University has contributed to the formal education of thousands of service members and veterans. Their degree programs are flexible, portable and designed so you can fit education into your life instead of arranging your life around your education.
Please call Grantham University today at 800-955-2527 or visit: http://www.grantham.edu/admissions/scholarships_veteran.php to find out how the Veterans Scholarship program can benefit you.
____________________________________________________________________________________________

2009 Federal Handbooks - Release Update

The 2009 Federal Handbooks are going through a final review to make sure they hold the most up-to-date information about federal benefits. Handbooks will be available for download on http://www.federalhandbooks.com in EARLY TO MID MARCH. You will receive an e-mail announcement when they have been added to our Web site.

Read something interesting? Please pass this newsletter along to friends and colleagues who might find it interesting, too.
You were sent this e-mail because you are a valued FederalHandbooks.com subscriber. If you do not wish to receive future e-mails, please visit http://www.federalhandbooks.com/remove.php.
 
Handballer,

The <1% move has many variables. The easiest way to explain it is that in order to increase your shares in one or more funds, shares have to decrease from others. The way the software is set up, it allows you to take shares out of the G fund to purchase shares in other funds. Thats what I did. Another example would might look like this: GFCSI 19.90%, 9.98%, 30.10%, 29.99% and 10.30%. Made a move to 20,8,31,30,11. I used the F fund to increase my shares in the GCSI funds. Most of the time what you would like to try and do is use the fund with the highest price per share to purchase additional shares in the other funds. A bit confusing but I hope this helps. Maybe Lady or SB can help to explain this move as well. Good luck!!

I find your idea of using other (higher priced) funds to suppliment your
buying cheaper shares in the others. I've always used the (G) Fund to
do that. Can you tell me how well its working for you. :)

Lastly, your explanation was flawless. Well Done ! ;)
 



http://www.govexec.com/story_page.cfm?articleid=42178&dcn=todaysnews

"TSP funds continue to slide in February

By Brittany R. Ballenstedt bballenstedt@govexec.com March 3, 2009

The Thrift Savings Plan weathered another difficult month in February, with every fund except the government securities option losing ground.
The C Fund, composed of common stocks on the Standard & Poor's 500 Index of the largest domestic companies, took the hardest hit, falling 10.64 percent. The fund posted 12-month losses of 43.29 percent.
The international (I) fund, which invests in European, Asian and Australian companies, was close behind the C Fund in February, falling 10.23 percent. The fund lost 49.91 percent for the year.
The S Fund, which invests in small- and mid-size companies by tracking the Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Index, dropped 10.22 percent in February. It declined a total of 44.62 percent during the past 12 months.
The F Fund, which invests in fixed-income bonds, reported minimal losses for February, falling 0.39 percent. The fund posted long-term gains, however, earning 2.17 percent in 12 months.
The G Fund -- short-term Treasury securities specially issued to provide a higher return than inflation without any serious risk from market fluctuations -- grew 0.21 percent in February. Its 12-month gain was 3.57 percent.
The TSP also has life-cycle (L) options, which are blends of the five basic funds that automatically grow more conservative as investors near retirement. All five L funds experienced losses for February.
L 2040, intended for employees with a target retirement date around the year 2040, dropped 8.52 percent; L 2030 fell 7.47 percent; L 2020 lost 6.22 percent; and L 2010 tumbled 2.95 percent. The L Income Fund, designed for employees who plan to retire in the very near future, lost 1.98 percent in February.
All the L funds also posted losses during the past year. The L 2040 Fund had the steepest drop, plunging 37.77 percent during 12 months. L 2030 fell 33.3 percent during that time; L 2020 declined 27.94 percent, L 2010 lost 13.13 percent and L Income slid 7.49 percent."

Go to the link and read the comments or add your own.
 
I find your idea of using other (higher priced) funds to suppliment your
buying cheaper shares in the others. I've always used the (G) Fund to
do that. Can you tell me how well its working for you. :)

Lastly, your explanation was flawless. Well Done ! ;)


Thanks SB. I haven't really looked into the advantage of using the higher priced fund to purchase a lower priced fund but basically (the way I see it and I could be wrong) if I use G at $12 someting to purchase C at $8 something I am getting one and a half shares of C for one share of G. Right now you could do the same with the F fund.
 
Haven't been responding as much as before. One I am frustrated with the market (aren't we all) and I have started a new position at NASA so I do not have as much free time. :nuts:

Sure hoping for some positive news.:suspicious:


Good luck to all of us and may we retire with grace, peace and financial stability.

I know this is my signature, but.........MAY THE FORCE BE WITH US!
 
I responded to your post on my thread, but failed to say Hello and that
your time away has been noticed. Many have been missing your wit and
insight, but we understand when duty calls. Be safe my good friend ! ;)
 
Here is the latest and greatest on forced TSP enrollment.




http://www.govexec.com/story_page.cfm?articleid=42194&dcn=todaysnews

Lawmaker introduces automatic TSP enrollment bill

By Alyssa Rosenberg arosenberg@govexec.com March 4, 2009

Rep. Stephen Lynch, D-Mass., has introduced legislation (H.R. 1263) that would automatically enroll new federal employees and members of the military in the Thrift Savings Plan and assign their investments to the government securities fund.
"Currently, 14 percent of the eligible federal civilian and 75 percent of uniformed service members are not participating in TSP," Lynch, the new chairman of the House Oversight and Government Reform Federal Workforce Subcommittee, said in a statement. "Therefore they are less likely than participants to be financially self-sufficient."
Automatic enrollment is supported by both the Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board and a range of federal employee groups, all of which argue the practice makes it easier for workers to save for retirement. The thrift board met with congressional leaders in February to discuss what the automatic enrollment legislation might entail.
The contribution for employees who are enrolled automatically in the TSP would be set at 3 percent of basic pay, although the thrift board would have the authority to reduce it to as low as 2 percent, or to raise it as high as 5 percent.
Putting new enrollees' money in the government securities, or G Fund, is a safe option, proponents say, because the fund is the most conservative offering in the TSP. The G Fund has made small gains even as other funds have been roiled by the financial crisis. If employees who are enrolled automatically in the TSP eventually decide that they do not want to invest in the TSP and choose to withdraw the money that was invested for them, they are least likely to suffer losses if their money is invested in the G Fund.
The legislation also requires the thrift board to design a Roth Individual Retirement Account option and include it in the plan. Similar legislation passed the House last summer, but the Senate did not take it up.
The bill also addresses a number of issues for federal retirees. It would allow Federal Employee Retirement System enrollees to cash out their unused sick days when they retire, and would allow annuitants to buy health insurance through the Federal Employees Health Benefits Program with pre-tax dollars.
"We strongly support Chairman Lynch's legislation because it addresses a number of inequities endured by federal workers and annuitants," said Margaret Baptiste, president of the National Active and Retired Federal Employees Association. "Uppermost in our minds is the premium conversion benefit. All federal and military retirees devoted their working lives to the common good, and as a matter of equity, the health tax relief should be offered to the entire federal family."
 


http://www.govexec.com/story_page.cfm?articleid=42195&dcn=todaysnews


Democratic lawmaker to push for bigger federal pay raise

By Alyssa Rosenberg arosenberg@govexec.com March 4, 2009

The chairman of a House government reform subcommittee said on Wednesday that said he would push for a federal pay raise as high as 3.9 percent in fiscal 2010 and advocate for parity between civilian and military pay outlined.
During the National Treasury Employees Union legislative conference in Washington, Rep. Stephen Lynch called the size of the 2010 civilian pay raise "fluid," but "fluid in the right direction." The Massachusetts Democrat is the new chairman of the House Oversight and Government Reform Federal Workforce Subcommittee. "When I raised a concern, they said, 'Don't beat us up yet, that's not a final number.' We're pushing on our end for parity, but we want even the military number to move up," he said.
The president's fiscal 2010 budget recommends a 2 percent pay raise for civilian employees and a 2.9 percent boost for military service members.
Lynch said he hoped the final number for the pay raise would reflect the rise in the cost of living, and mentioned 3.9 percent as a possible goal, but told the crowd of several hundred activists "Don't quote me," as they headed out to meetings with other congressmen.
NTEU president Colleen Kelley said in a press briefing on Wednesday that parity was her main objective.
"The pay issue, of pay parity, this is one [where] our discussions will be different than they have been in the past because this year we have an administration who wants to talk to us and who wants to work with us," she said. "When we have people like [House Majority Leader] Steny Hoyer who are going to work with the administration also, I think it's possible."
Lynch is off to a fast start as subcommittee chairman. He introduced legislation that will make changes to the Thrift Savings Plan and the Federal Employee Retirement System on Tuesday, and will mark up the 2009 Federal Employees Paid Parental Leave Act on March 25. Rep. Edolphus Towns, D-N.Y., chairman of the Oversight and Government Reform Committee, told NTEU members on Tuesday that the parental leave bill was a "common-sense" initiative, and he hoped it would pass Congress quickly.
Lynch told NTEU activists that his ambitions range further. He plans to include enhanced whistleblower protections in reauthorizations of the Office of Special Counsel and the Merit Systems Protection Board, and legally establish collective bargaining rights for Transportation Security Administration employees.
Collective bargaining rights for TSA screeners is a major priority for NTEU. Kelley said that when she met with Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano, she reaffirmed the union's belief that Napolitano can extend collective bargaining rights to TSA workers if she chooses to. Napolitano said at a hearing last week that she was looking into whether she had that authority.
NTEU has begun organizing the agency's local union chapters even though the union cannot yet negotiate contracts for those workers. The American Federation of Government Employees also is organizing TSA locals, but Kelley said the two unions were not working together.
"I would like to work with anyone who has those same goals," she said. "To date, AFGE has not been interested in working with NTEU on that, and the conversation has not gotten to ground rules for an [union] election."
But TSA is not the only agency where the relationship between unions and management is at stake. Lynch said in an interview after his speech that he would like to consult with the subcommittee's working group on personnel issues to develop a bill to reestablish the Clinton-era labor-management partnerships, with some changes. Lynch would not specify what parts of the Clinton partnerships he would like to see altered, but said economic circumstances and the budget would have to be taken into account.
Lynch also said he expects to meet with John Berry, President Obama's nominee to lead the Office of Personnel Management to share some suggestions for the agency.


This is my opinion but they can keep my 2010 pay raise and give me a couple of extra IFT's every month.
 
Went 100% G. I reached my limit of foolishness. :sick: Today's down day will more than likely take me below my lower limit. :mad: I just can't afford to loose anymore. I still have one IFT left just incase the market brightens up a little.:rolleyes: Good luck to all.
 
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I posted this yesterday from GOVEXEC.com. Wow! Did this article press some buttons. There have been 40 comments to this article (I do not think anyone but me commented from TSPTALK). That is the most comments on any one article in a long time. A few sensitive folks out there.:D

Democratic lawmaker to push for bigger federal pay raise
 
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