nasa1974's Account Talk

Well right now I guess bad luck is better than no luck. :D Since the first of the year I have ridden the rally all the way down to my stop signal and a -19% YTD. So on Friday I jump back into G (with one IFT left) to stop the bloodletting. :( And of course I am in safety on one of the nicest green days yet this year. :mad: DANG!!!!
 
Well right now I guess bad luck is better than no luck. :D Since the first of the year I have ridden the rally all the way down to my stop signal and a -19% YTD. So on Friday I jump back into G (with one IFT left) to stop the bloodletting. :( And of course I am in safety on one of the nicest green days yet this year. :mad: DANG!!!!

For me, it seems like I've been doing that since April of 2008. Bear Markets
really bite ! :mad:
 
For those that had the guts to be in the market yesterday congratulations.:D So is today going to be as good as yesterday or is a big sell off coming. :confused: The market sure doesn't do what you think it should. Coolhand is talking buy signals and 350Z is talking sell. That is what is great about this site. Everyone has their sources. But, what to do, what...to...do. Who do you listen to?????? I love this place.:rolleyes:
 
Used my second IFT for the month 45%C, 45%S and 10%I. Hovering close to my stop signal. This is going to be an interesting ride. :worried: Good luck to all.
 
For those that had the guts to be in the market yesterday congratulations.:D So is today going to be as good as yesterday or is a big sell off coming. :confused: The market sure doesn't do what you think it should. Coolhand is talking buy signals and 350Z is talking sell. That is what is great about this site. Everyone has their sources. But, what to do, what...to...do. Who do you listen to?????? I love this place.:rolleyes:

I believe we'll see a give back (drop) due to the economic condition the
US Economy is facing. If you made any profit today, I would consider
a lowering of your positions. I did so yesterday and think I'll do so today.
Sell into this rally if you believe (as I do) that we're not too far away from
the top of this move upward. You won't miss it all, but you'll lose less if
you lower positions on the way up,,,Just in case we get a buy the rumor
and Sell the news type day, concerning the M2M issue. If you think the
move upward has legs, then stand pat and cross your fingers. But know
this, it won't take much for the market to drop again and I don't want to
lose what I've gained. MTD, the TSP is almost even in the way of returns
for March. I don't have much more confidence in this move up.;)
 
SB,

Couldn't agree more. I am in a position that I wish I wasn't in. Loosing money. :D Any way what it is coming down to is I know that the bear can chew you up and spit you out even if you think you have out run it. :nuts: It is just a matter of which camp do I want to follow and how much more I can indure.:worried:
 
Thought this was interesting. From seekingalpha, March 12, 2009 | about stocks: IVV / SPY

http://seekingalpha.com/

Average S&P 500 Hourly Performance

Below we highlight the average performance of the S&P 500 on an hourly basis since the start of the year (through March 9). Since the market is open for six and a half hours a day, we use the prior close to 10 AM for the first hour of the day. As shown, only two hours of the day are averaging gains so far this year -- 1 PM to 2 PM ET and 2 PM to 3 PM. The prior close to 10 AM has been the worst hour of the day, with an average decline of 0.34%. The rest of the morning averages losses as well, with the 11 AM to noon hour averaging the second biggest decline at -0.17%. The S&P 500 has averaged a decline of 0.10% in the last hour of the day as well. While the market has declined more than 20% year to date, at least a couple hours of the day are seeing gains!
click to enlarge

http://seekingalpha.com/
 
I believe we'll see a give back (drop) due to the economic condition the
US Economy is facing. If you made any profit today, I would consider
a lowering of your positions. I did so yesterday and think I'll do so today.
Sell into this rally if you believe (as I do) that we're not too far away from
the top of this move upward. You won't miss it all, but you'll lose less if
you lower positions on the way up,,,Just in case we get a buy the rumor
and Sell the news type day, concerning the M2M issue. If you think the
move upward has legs, then stand pat and cross your fingers. But know
this, it won't take much for the market to drop again and I don't want to
lose what I've gained. MTD, the TSP is almost even in the way of returns
for March. I don't have much more confidence in this move up.;)

Boy am I glad I have a waiver of responsibility written within my signature !
Congratulations on being where you needed to be today ! What a great call ! ;)
 
Thanks SB. It really has to do more with luck than anything else. Those of you in the market Tuesday did very well also. Hoping for another good day Friday. A couple of websites I have read are talking BULLS.... :D Asia is green across the board with the Nikkei above 4%. Futures are down but what else is new.:notrust: Fingures crassed and hope for the best. It would be nice to have an extended run into or through next week. Maybe Friday the 13th and Saint Patricks day can bring us a whole lot of LUCK!!!:nuts:
 
Tough decision day. Stay or bail. :blink: Asia and Europe looking green and futures up. :D Does the rally continue today or will there be a sell off before the market closes? :notrust: Then what kind of effect will the G-20 summit this weekend have on the market for next week? Tough day!!! Big decisions to be made.:sick:
 
Nice finish to the market today. :laugh: An unprecidented four days in a row. Pinch me so I can wake up.

Now the big question, what will happen Monday after the G-20 summit Saturday?:confused::confused:

Everybody have a great weekend.
 
A lot of IFT activity today. Made a move that took almost 50% off the table. 43%G, 25%C, 25%S, 7%I. Left enough in to either be a winner or a looser later this week.:D If things really start going south I can either can pull everything back to G or get under 5% and play the less than 1% game.:cheesy: Good luck to all.
 
Just got home from my second job and looked at the tracker and a few other sites. WHAT THE HELL HAPPENED??????????? Left nasa at 2:30 and everything was green.
From: Finance.Yahoo.com
American Express Co. fell 43 cents, or 3.3 percent, to $12.66 and dragged on the financial stocks after the company said its credit card holders fell further behind on their bills in February. Now how is that statement a surprise? Hello!! DUH!!

NEW YORK (AP) -- Wall Street's big rally fizzled -- and maybe that's OK.
Analysts said Monday's pullback after a four-session surge didn't necessarily signal that traders were reconsidering their newfound optimism about financial stocks, a main driver behind last week's advance.
In fact some viewed the measured easing in stocks as reassuring following a surge of more than 9 percent in major indicators last week, more than the market has moved in some years.
"This is healthy," said Dave Rovelli, managing director of trading at brokerage Canaccord Adams in New York. "The best thing for this market is that we don't go up aggressively. A steady rise of a few up days then a down day would be a lot better than 1,000 points up."
OK, good for the market but one more green day would have been nice before the fizzle. :D Now it is going to be interesting.
 
Still no January monthley meeting minutes from the FRTIB. As soon as they post I will copy the information to my account.
 
Here is some casual reading.




TSP participation holds steady amid economic downturn

By Alyssa Rosenberg arosenberg@govexec.com March 16, 2009


Federal employees continue to contribute to the Thrift Savings Plan despite the recession, according to TSP officials.
"I think it's not going to come as a surprise to anyone that February had a negative impact on overall balances," said Renee Wilder, director of the TSP's Office of Research and Strategic Planning. Balances dropped from $197.1 billion at the end of January to $191.6 billion by February's close, noted Wilder. "Contributions continue to hold and are looking actually pretty strong. Our participation rate is still holding at about 84 percent. Our participants are not stopping their contributions in response to the impact of the market."
The percentage of active-duty members of the uniformed forces participating in the TSP (which also includes the Public Health Service and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) rose from 36.3 percent in January to 36.9 in February. But Alejandro Sanchez, a member of the Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board, criticized the Army in particular for its participation rate, saying the service was not doing enough to educate members about the TSP.
"I recently met with 12 high-ranking Army personnel, and I would say of the 12, 10 didn't know about the TSP," Sanchez said. The Army is the largest branch of the armed services, and as of February 2009, reported 201,327 active-duty and ready reserve employees enrolled in the TSP, or 18.8 percent of the total number of employees eligible for participation.
Even though participants are keeping their money in the TSP, Tom Trabucco, director of external affairs for the plan, said the Employee Thrift Advisory Council had expressed concerns about a proposal to automatically enroll new federal employees in the plan. The thrift board's initial proposal would have set automatic contributions to go into the life-cycle funds, which shift from more aggressive to more conservative investments as those employees near retirement. The advisory council was concerned that using the L funds as a default would put enrollees' funds at risk during a turbulent economic time.
Reps. Stephen Lynch, D-Mass., and Henry Waxman, D-Calif., have introduced legislation that would automatically enroll new federal employees in the TSP, and invest their contributions in the government securities, or G Fund, considered the most stable of the plan's offerings. Trabucco said employee concerns influenced the decision to default to the G Fund.
Board Chairman Andrew Saul said the TSP should consult with the employee advisory council before giving Congress a formal opinion on the pending legislation, especially given the economic climate. The TSP still is considering whether it will endorse other provisions of the legislation that give participants the option to invest in a Roth Individual Retirement Account, or allow the TSP to create some additional funds.
"I don't think we should recommend anything to Congress now without ETAC signing off on it," Saul said. "I think that would be wrong. The unions have a lot to say, and we really have to take that into consideration."


I made a comment. Hope you do too.
 
TSP participants only lost at least 5.5 billion in February and FRTIB are concerned about a few dollars in IFT costs. What a bunch of idiots.:sick:
 
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