nasa1974's Account Talk

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OK, The first real trading day of 2009 and the markets didn't do anything stupid.:D Maybe we are just a little lucky today. :nuts: The one surprise though was the EFA chart, below, for the I fund. It was down 1.61% or 73 cents. But if you look at the major markets on http://money.cnn.com/data/world_markets/ almost all the markets had a positive day. So my question is what in the heck is our fund following to have such lousy day.:confused: "Pinky, are you pondering what I'm pondering?" "I think so Brain, but..."
 
NASA,
I to have had a difficult time tracking the I fund. It seems to defy logic sometimes.:suspicious:
Although only a small portion of the fund, sometimes I track the ten biggest holdings and the dollar to foriegn currency value, but even that fails occaisionally.
 
nasa1974 said:
OK, The first real trading day of 2009 and the markets didn't do anything stupid.:D Maybe we are just a little lucky today. :nuts: The one surprise though was the EFA chart, below, for the I fund. It was down 1.61% or 73 cents. But if you look at the major markets on http://money.cnn.com/data/world_markets/ almost all the markets had a positive day. So my question is what in the heck is our fund following to have such lousy day.:confused: "Pinky, are you pondering what I'm pondering?" "I think so Brain, but..."
Click to expand...
If the dollar is up it takes away from the I fund. If the dollar is down it adds to the I fund. Hope this helps. :)

Have you used chemeng's xcel program to follow the I fund? Here is link to his latest post on it.

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?p=189433#post189433
 
Last edited:
Iwas compelled to contribute a few words myself. Hopefully, my comments
will get published as well. Well done Nasa, well said ! ;)
 
Reading some of these accounts it sounds like a lot of us are getting itchy to jump off the lilly pad into the water.:D Sometimes I wish I had stayed 25% GCSI from last week. I would have had some nice profit. I have to learn to fight this feeling. Thats what cost me dearly last year. Tried to make one more big score before going to safety and by then I had dug myself into such a deep hole I couldn't get myself out of it. :( Currently I am 5% CSI 85% G and keep reminding myself that a few hundred a day positive is better than a few thousand a week negative. :suspicious: 3 IFT's would make life so much easier than 2. ;) I know, I know, don't hold my breath. lol Next couple of sure will be interesting.
 
Currently sitting at 85%G 5%CSI. Looks like today is going to give back what little bit of profit I earned the 2nd and the 5th. :notrust: Unless we see a small rally at the end of the day. :blink: Good luck everyone.
 
A couple of days ago this was a headline posted to GOVEXEC.com

TSP rallies in December

I posted this response:

"WOW!!! The TSP had a good month. How many where able to take advantage of this short rally? With the 2 IFT limit how many where sitting in the G fund to protect what they had not lost in September, October and November? Thanks to the FRTIB how many of us can say we had a positive 2008? How many of us did not lose one, two or three years worth of investment into the TSP do to the restrictions placed upon us by the FRTIB? Congratulations to anybody that was able to turn a profit this year."

This was also a response posted. (after mine of course) :p


"Unlike the previous comments, I retained my investment and lost very little. I moved all my funds into the G fund earlier last year. The freight train was coming it was a question of when. This is not a trading fund, never meant to be, so if trading is your game, find other funds. The worst isn't over. The unsecured line of credits and 2nd mortgages have not been accounted for."

I disagree with the trading fund part. Why did the FRTIB give us the ability to do an IFT on a daily basis? I do agree with the worst is not over comment. I do not expect that this person will see my respons but here it is for the MB to see.

"Not that you may see this response but I have to guess that you are CSRS and not FERS. Long term in G fund may be safe but it will not earn you any real money. Slow and steady it is. But if you plan on this TSP to be the major part of your retirement staying in the G fund will not do it. Nor will the "buy an hold" that Mr. Long wants all of us to do. Again if you are looking for your TSP to be the major part of your retirement you need to be able to move you money around to give you the best earning power available. The G fund and a "buy and hold" strategy will not do it. Unfortunatly the restrictions that the FRTIB have placed on all of us only reduces the amount of funds we will have available at retirement. I agree the worst is not over."

I guess it shouldn't surprises me that so many people have no clue. You see I was one of those people for 20 years. It wasn't until a friend of mine opened my eyes to the real potential of the TSP and another friend showed me this MB.

I would like to thank everyone on this MB for helping me see the light. :D:D
 
Well, I took my toes out of the water and jumped in with both feet. If stocks continue to stay negative then there will be some nice share increases coming. Let's hope for the Oboma rally everyone is talking about. 50% C and S. Good Luck to all and as my signature says, "May The Force Be With Us"
 
nasa1974 said:
Well, I took my toes out of the water and jumped in with both feet. If stocks continue to stay negative then there will be some nice share increases coming. Let's hope for the Oboma rally everyone is talking about. 50% C and S. Good Luck to all and as my signature says, "May The Force Be With Us"
Click to expand...

Just like the New Year motivational trading we've seen since 1/2/09,
its likely that we'll see a Obama Bock Party motivational move up out
of hope for a new nation. But sadly, we're likely to see that wane in
the days that follow. No one trusts the Employment figures that came
out today. I know I didn't. :worried: Lets hope the market "climbs on a wall
of worry" and someone throws us a bone while at maximum risk. My
allocations are going to be based on short term results and I'm hoping
to stay in until (at least) the Inauguration. If the (F) Fund continues
to slide down, my second move may very well include this fund. The
S&P closed above my 884 level and Monday will play a huge part in
game plan. The Force Must Come Though ! The Darkside's been with
us way too long. Lets throw out the fundamentals towards the upside
like they were thrown out towards the downside. Good Luck My Friend !;)
 
Saying that the market stinks today is an understatement.:sick: I liked it better with low volume and bad news. The market tended to go up. Now with high volume and the big players back, bad news makets the market tank big time. GGGGRRRRRRR!!!!!!! Hope we see a bounce soon. It may bring me back to even for the month. One IFT left. I hope I can use the second one wiser than I did the first.:nuts:
 
Got to perfect this <1% move. The larger moves are killing my retirement right now. Man yesterday sucked. I hope the market doesn't follow the Asain market, Nikkei closed at a -4.92%. Good Luck everyone.
 
Well I used my second IFT for the month. I am down a ton of money for the month so I figured what the heck.:nuts:

I am taking <1% real time. I have been experimenting on the side and I figured might as well go all the way. I have to find out what the TSP software will let me do in the real world. I will not be posting my changes to the daily IFT, right now, because I think it will be too confusing (unless Tom says it is OK).

SCUBA gear is all checked out and the wet suit is on. Wish me luck!! I'm going in.:cool::cool:
 
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