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Market Talk
- Thread starter Spaf
- Start date
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
imported post
OK..... we have had a good week..... so far.
In the start of the 2003 Bull, in the first week the S&P shot up about 60 points and then corrected (declined) about 50% during the second week, before resuming the advance withgenerally smaller declines as the advance continued.
So far this Bull has shot up about 66 points in the S&P. The decline could come tomorrow, Monday, or just any day now. It has to slow down soon.
Choices: a. Hold...Ride through it, and come out the other side (maybe).
b. Transfer to the G fund Friday, and hope it will come early next week.
c. Transfer when ever it appears (with 1-2 day loss).
--------- ???????-------
OK..... we have had a good week..... so far.
In the start of the 2003 Bull, in the first week the S&P shot up about 60 points and then corrected (declined) about 50% during the second week, before resuming the advance withgenerally smaller declines as the advance continued.
So far this Bull has shot up about 66 points in the S&P. The decline could come tomorrow, Monday, or just any day now. It has to slow down soon.
Choices: a. Hold...Ride through it, and come out the other side (maybe).
b. Transfer to the G fund Friday, and hope it will come early next week.
c. Transfer when ever it appears (with 1-2 day loss).
--------- ???????-------
FundSurfer
Well-known member
imported post
Spaf, my plan will be to watch for a couple lateral or down days in a row, then bail to G.
Spaf, my plan will be to watch for a couple lateral or down days in a row, then bail to G.
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
imported post
FS - The market has been reacting fast and furious. A few laterals and a steady decline, Yea we can shift over. It's this 1-2 day transfer time thats against us, with big daily movements. I think I will play the AM market to watch for a correction (decline), if I miss it, well I'll just ride through it. If I try and guess it, well thats gambling, and I'd probably miss the biggest advance in market history.
FS - The market has been reacting fast and furious. A few laterals and a steady decline, Yea we can shift over. It's this 1-2 day transfer time thats against us, with big daily movements. I think I will play the AM market to watch for a correction (decline), if I miss it, well I'll just ride through it. If I try and guess it, well thats gambling, and I'd probably miss the biggest advance in market history.
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
imported post
Hey Dakota :^ I think we are headed for some green pastures, so maybe we should be talking about allocation of funds, to sort of tweek accounts. I'm not to sure about the I fund? The C and S funds seem to be the best for the long run. How do you feel about it?
Hey Dakota :^ I think we are headed for some green pastures, so maybe we should be talking about allocation of funds, to sort of tweek accounts. I'm not to sure about the I fund? The C and S funds seem to be the best for the long run. How do you feel about it?
Mike
Active member
imported post
The dollar just made a 9 year low. If that continues, the I fund will continue to climb.
C and S are cheaper though, so those are the funds to attack I think.
It's painful seeing all this green and not being in, but I have to be patient and wait for the correction. If I buy on emotion, I'll get burned.
The dollar just made a 9 year low. If that continues, the I fund will continue to climb.
C and S are cheaper though, so those are the funds to attack I think.
It's painful seeing all this green and not being in, but I have to be patient and wait for the correction. If I buy on emotion, I'll get burned.
Dakota
Member
imported post
Spaf wrote:
Well the I fund gives better return percentage wise, I do look for a drawback its been hot latelyand a little higher than it has ever been, but we saw that with the others. I'll play the I fund about 25- 30%until I see it loose the first time and then I'm bailing to g,c,s untillI get some kind of sign. Currently 33c 34s 33I
Spaf wrote:
Well the I fund gives better return percentage wise, I do look for a drawback its been hot latelyand a little higher than it has ever been, but we saw that with the others. I'll play the I fund about 25- 30%until I see it loose the first time and then I'm bailing to g,c,s untillI get some kind of sign. Currently 33c 34s 33I
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
imported post
Bull market allocations
Light - vs - Aggressive.
My 2 cents: The Bull market we have appears to be very aggressive in respect to past week advances. I think any corrections (declines) will be a match in spirit.
1st: Consider the amount of $ you are investing (risking) outside of G and F.
2nd: Consider the allocations between funds.
The first correction (decline) of the new Bull should be the biggest, based on the 2003 Bull.
My at risk max. for aggressive = 100% stocks.
light = 50% US +10% Intnl, stocks.
I just remembered, :i I met my goals for this year. Why risk it, if not necessary!
Therefore I will be changing allocations effective Friday COB for:
25% G....20% F....25% C....25% S....5% I
Careful out there!
Bull market allocations
Light - vs - Aggressive.
My 2 cents: The Bull market we have appears to be very aggressive in respect to past week advances. I think any corrections (declines) will be a match in spirit.
1st: Consider the amount of $ you are investing (risking) outside of G and F.
2nd: Consider the allocations between funds.
The first correction (decline) of the new Bull should be the biggest, based on the 2003 Bull.
My at risk max. for aggressive = 100% stocks.
light = 50% US +10% Intnl, stocks.
I just remembered, :i I met my goals for this year. Why risk it, if not necessary!
Therefore I will be changing allocations effective Friday COB for:
25% G....20% F....25% C....25% S....5% I
Careful out there!
Mike
Active member
imported post
Yep Tom, that's what I've been thinking all week. I've been cursing a blue streak at myself every time I see all the green on the tickers - but my mind is screaming at me "the best things come to those who wait" - and so that's exactly what I'm doing (as illustrated by the tumbleweeds blowing through my account transactions page since Tuesday
).
As soon as I see the stock funds fall about halfway back to where they were on Tuesday, that's when I'll pull the trigger - but not one moment sooner. Notice that Spaf is trying to entice me with his bull market siren song... bad Spaf, bad!
Yep Tom, that's what I've been thinking all week. I've been cursing a blue streak at myself every time I see all the green on the tickers - but my mind is screaming at me "the best things come to those who wait" - and so that's exactly what I'm doing (as illustrated by the tumbleweeds blowing through my account transactions page since Tuesday
).As soon as I see the stock funds fall about halfway back to where they were on Tuesday, that's when I'll pull the trigger - but not one moment sooner. Notice that Spaf is trying to entice me with his bull market siren song... bad Spaf, bad!
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