Market Talk

[Spaf]

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According to the stats the S fund is currently above the moving average of 20 days and the Parabolic SAR has returned a entry indicator. The I fund is currently above the moving average of 20 days but the P-SAR has not returned a entry indicator. Reason: it had a lower dip in Sept and still has a little to make up for. A similiar international fund by Fidelity has been showing entry for the last 8 days.

I wanted to post this Friday afternoon so that everone in stocks can have a little peace over the weekend (and a good thing for your fingernails)!

PS: And, I also copied Toms Seasonality chart for October, for sentiment.

 

[Mike]

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The first day of October was nice...

C Fund up 0.18

S Fund up 0.20

I fund up 0.18

:^

 

[Buggin]

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Well, I guess my first time move from the "G-Fund" wasn't too bad for the first day... I went 50/50 into C/S.

BTW, love the website! I was just introduced to it Weds by a guy at work. Only been investing in TSP for 4 months, but I didn't know anything about the different funds til now. Thanks!

 

[tsptalk]

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Welcome buggin! Glad to have you. Let us know if you have any questions.

Tom

 

[GTO1970]

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Buggin wrote:

Well, I guess my first time move from the "G-Fund" wasn't too bad for the first day... I went 50/50 into C/S.

BTW, love the website! I was just introduced to it Weds by a guy at work. Only been investing in TSP for 4 months, but I didn't know anything about the different funds til now. Thanks!

Welcome Buggin

NIce move for the first time :^

GTO

 

[TheProphet]

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Tom,

I agree with you...

But which fund will perfomed better and why ?

any seasonality charts about the performance of the diferent funds?

I do know that interest rate raise will slow small caps
more that large caps i the past... and there are chart
of the ratio... but at what point and how reliables they are...

the S and I had performed better... the S due to the low interest rate and the I due to the low US dollar index...

Is it any other basic parameters to consider that you know ?

Please advise us...

Thanks,

Leon

 

[TheProphet]

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I look the percent increase on the partivular fund...

not the cents...

 

[TheProphet]

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Wlcome Bugging... I am relative new also... and I love this website...

Leon

 

[Mike]

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Interest rates are rising, but they are climbing from a very low rate - so it'll take longer than usual to see the typical impact on the funds.

As long as the dollar is weak, the I fund is a nice place to be.

 

[TheProphet]

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The US dollar may go lower...

but they will not be given them away for free either...

anytime can reverse the bubble... a little too risky...

but very attractive...

The S fund is not so risky because as you said the interest
rate is comming slow... but I seem Greenspan aggresive and
suprising the market...

less risky and very attractive also...

I am planing to move into the G for a pull back correction
and then move into the S fund...

I will keep the community informed about my moves and
results... ;-)

Good luck in your investments...

Leon

 

[tsptalk]

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lkatteng wrote:

Tom,

I agree with you...

But which fund will perfomed better and why ?

Tough question. I go with the S more when I believe the market will go up because it tends to move more aggressively. The I fund is also an aggressive fund and as we know, the dollar can have a big effect so I take that into consideration.If I thought the market was not looking great but wanted to be in stocks some, I would tend to use the C fund because I want to be less aggressive.

When interest rates are low, the growth stocks do better. That tells me to stay with the small caps for now. If rates start going up to the point that the economy starts to slow down again, I will opt for the C fund over S. The dollar seems to be in a downward trend right now and that is why I am using the I fund a little heavier than usual.

Hope that helps,
Tom