K0nKuzh0n's Account Talk

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I'm pretty good! Took the week between xmas and new years off and went back to my home town in MAINE! How about yourself??

I stopped posting my trades regularly because I am fairly superstitious when it comes to stuff like that :laugh:
Seemed every time I posted what I thought, the opposite would happen! But if I didn't post, I made better decisions.

How about this: I am bearish overall for 2012. I would not be the least be surprised to see us revisit 1100.

My biggest mistake this year was not getting out when I knew I should have in August. I got back in on August 1st, I was chomping at the bit to get in with great valued prices and the inverted head and shoulders projecting a nice rally. My exit strategy was to get out if the S&P closed below the 200 day EMA. And it did. And after arguing with myself all morning, I couldn't pull the trigger since it was the first week of August and I'd be done for the month. And then she went into a free fall.
 
k0nkuzh0n said:
I'm pretty good! Took the week between xmas and new years off and went back to my home town in MAINE! How about yourself??

I stopped posting my trades regularly because I am fairly superstitious when it comes to stuff like that :laugh:
Seemed every time I posted what I thought, the opposite would happen! But if I didn't post, I made better decisions.

How about this: I am bearish overall for 2012. I would not be the least be surprised to see us revisit 1100.

My biggest mistake this year was not getting out when I knew I should have in August. I got back in on August 1st, I was chomping at the bit to get in with great valued prices and the inverted head and shoulders projecting a nice rally. My exit strategy was to get out if the S&P closed below the 200 day EMA. And it did. And after arguing with myself all morning, I couldn't pull the trigger since it was the first week of August and I'd be done for the month. And then she went into a free fall.
Click to expand...

Not too bad for most part. I am still trying to figure out my trading plan. I have started making a few posts about who all I track, but it seems time always gets away from me and I can't update it as much as I like. I really need to figure out how to automate it... I didn't take any time off this year, but did make a quick week-end trip to GA and to TN in the last couple months to see family and a wedding... Long drives, but well worth it.

nnuut said:
Yep, I rode that same Dark Horse!
Click to expand...

Me three... I really don't want to re-live that experience...
 
this H&S pattern will be hard to play with only 1 transfer left.

Sell now and try to avoid the drop?
or
Hold, sit through the expected drop back to the neckline with hopes that the market stays true to the formation and bounces off the neckline.

The SS was pretty bullish. Might sell today. On the fence right now. Either way, hoping we get a rally. I said it- so that likely means down we go :sick:
 
Just found out I forgot to enter my first IFT this year! Doh! On Jan 4th I went from 50G/50I to 100F, but apparently I never put the entry into the autotracker.

My return should be: 1.65%
instead it is: 1.05%

Could have been worse, but I'm not impressed with myself :nuts:
 
k0nkuzh0n said:
Just found out I forgot to enter my first IFT this year! Doh! On Jan 4th I went from 50G/50I to 100F, but apparently I never put the entry into the autotracker.

My return should be: 1.65%
instead it is: 1.05%

Could have been worse, but I'm not impressed with myself :nuts:
Click to expand...

Better than I am doing... Don't be so hard on yourself this early in the year... :D
 
There is probably less risk taking my money and betting on the Super Bowl than trying to figure out this market. Go Patriots! :nuts:....:notrust:
 
I am a die hard Packers fan, but unforunately they had their season end prematurely :(

Had I bet on the game, I would have lost the bet picking the patriots (1/3 of $), and won the bet picking Under 53.5 points (2/3 of $), So I would have made it out on top!
 
mayday said:
Khotso said:
You got that right! GO PATS!!!![/QUOTE

I lost my bet. I've got to take everyone to breakfast.
Click to expand...

Fortunately, I didn't bet. But I paid big time last night while lying in bed watching replays of bouncing fumbles that eluded Pats, Welker's miss, and the jump ball interception over Gronkowski (never woulda happened w/out Pollard's tackle 2 weeks ago) in my mind ... over and over again all night long! Wish I didn't have to work today! :eek:
Click to expand...
 
Sold my 75 shares of IVR today at $18.08 a share

Originally bought 50 shares at $16.35 on 09/02/2011
and another 25 shares at $14.54 on 09/22/2011

Dividends summary:
1 $0.80 per share at 50 shares= $40
2 $0.65 per share at 75 shares= $48.75
3 $0.65 per share at 75 shares = $48.75
Total dividends gain of $137.50

Share price summary:
1st 50 shares increased 10.58% for gain of $86.50
2nd 25 shares increased 12.45% for gain of $88.5
for a total share price gain of $175.0

Total dollar gain of $312.50 off of $1180.88 in investments (26.46%)
 
Sold my 50 shares of AGNC Friday at $32.35 a share

Originally bought 50 shares at $27.76 on 11/04/2011

Dividends summary:
1 $1.40 per share at 50 shares= $70
2 $1.25 per share at 50 shares= $62.5

Total dividends gain of $132.50

Share price summary:
50 shares increased 16.53% for a gain of 229.50

Total dollar gain of $362 off of $1388.00 in investments (26.08%)
 
So I'm trying something interesting with the whole <1% allocation adjustments. Whenever I use my last IFT, I always put 1% of the funds I'm not going into. So if I'm going into F, I'll put 1% into each of the I, C, S, and each of the L funds.

So my current allocation as of today is:
83.98% in F,
2.02 % in I,
2% in everything else.

The reason for the 2%'s is because I had 1%, funds went up, so I put more in by updating them all to 2%.
C and S funds went slightly down yesterday, so I can not adjust those, but the I fund was up slightly

Because of that, it let me put in an IFT for 3% in each of the: I, and all 5 L funds.
This IFT would actually take affect COB FRIDAY (TOMORROW!) since I am past the deadline....
BUT pending a rally, all of the percentages COB today should drop below 2%...which means I'd only be able to re-adjust the funds back up to 2%....not 3%, if I put the IFT request in tomorrow morning.

I'll have to wait until COB friday to see what happens, but if it goes through, I'll have done an illegal IFT :laugh::nuts::blink:

Note that I don't ever update the autotracker with my <1% adjustments
 
So contributions threw a monkey wrench into the whole experiment. Apparently contributions get put in COB thursday. I had a feeling this was going to happen, but it was too late to change my contribution allocation when I thought of it.

Since I have my contribution allocation set to DCA into C, S, & I funds, my allocations are now:

~1.95%-1.97% in each of L funds
2.40%-2.42 in each the C, S, I
82.79% in the F fund

But as long as the markets don't take off causing the L funds allocations to rise above 2%, it would still be an illegal IFT.

We will find out what happens tomorrow/monday! Not sure what time/day they report the new allocation percentages based off the new closing prices.
 
The transfer went through.

So this leads me to believe that when doing <1% IFTs after you have already done 2 IFTs for the month, is time dependent. It can be different if you request an IFT the day before (but after the noon deadline) as opposed to requesting the IFT after the allocation percentages have been updated to reflect the new closing prices.

Interesting!
 
I had been doing something similar a month or so ago - when using my last IFT, I made sure to leave at least a percent in each of the stock funds as well as F. I didn't think to use the L funds though. That's a good idea. One day, I literally had 1.01% in a fund, and was able to up it .99%. With your method, you could potentially move up to 7.92% into stocks and lifecycle funds on any given day. It's not illegal at all, actually.

One thing I learned, though, is you can only do it every other day. If tsp.gov shows that I have 1.1% in the S fund today, and I put in an IFT to make it 2%, the next day I can't add anymore because the rule is that it has to be a <1% transaction. Make sense? I think I stopped at 6 IFTs that month. I did update the auto tracker. You should too - will show everyone just how much we can still play with our money after the IFT limits.
 
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