-
The Forum works well on MOBILE devices without an app: Just go to: https://forum.tsptalk.com
-
Please read our AutoTracker policy on the IFT deadline and remaining active. Thanks!
-
$ - Premium Service Content (Info) | AutoTracker Monthly Winners | Is Gmail et al, Blocking Our emails?
Find us on: Facebook & X | Posting Copyrighted Material
-
Join the TSP Talk AutoTracker: How to Get Started | Login | Main AutoTracker Page
-
The Forum works well on MOBILE devices without an app: Just go to: https://forum.tsptalk.com ...
Or you can now use TapaTalk again!
JTH's Account Talk
- Thread starter JTH
- Start date
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 1,004
I've thought about it, I just can't jump in under these conditions, both for myself and ALPAFS. I don't like to chase at a top, especially without an extra IFT to get me back into the markets at a later point in the month.
Best, to those that jump in today.
Best, to those that jump in today.
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 1,004
Report card time for the Month of February.
I, had a rough start, a great middle and a safe finish, it was a respectable top 20 performance. 6 Days spent in the C fund, with 14 spent in the G-Fund (30% of the time invested)
ESD had a top 100 performance, 12 days in the C-Fund, 5 in the G-Fund, 3 in the S-Fund (75% of the time invested)
ALPAFS had a top 200 performance, 9 days in the C-Fund, 11 in the G-Fund (45% of the time invested)
I, had a rough start, a great middle and a safe finish, it was a respectable top 20 performance. 6 Days spent in the C fund, with 14 spent in the G-Fund (30% of the time invested)
ESD had a top 100 performance, 12 days in the C-Fund, 5 in the G-Fund, 3 in the S-Fund (75% of the time invested)
ALPAFS had a top 200 performance, 9 days in the C-Fund, 11 in the G-Fund (45% of the time invested)
Cactus
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 38
Yeah, I did. But then that's the story of my life. Well, at least since the year 2000 when I diversified out of 100% G Fund. It's been 16 years now and I'm still looking up at the G Fund. I guess I'll never learn. Anyways, don't look at my returns this year.
Instead check out CRAP (my contrarian indicator) or the LMBF-1 systems. They are doing much better this year and are even positive. 
FAB1
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 34
Yeah, I did. But then that's the story of my life. Well, at least since the year 2000 when I diversified out of 100% G Fund. It's been 16 years now and I'm still looking up at the G Fund. I guess I'll never learn. Anyways, don't look at my returns this year.
In Year 2000 you could make over 6% a year in the Gee Fund.
I am not too far from whipping the Gee Fund. And I dont plan on looking DOWN when I get above it, lol.
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 1,004
This was the largest 1st-day-of-March gain (going back to 1950)
JTH,
Some time ago you discussed a study of TNA in which you concluded that TNA showed better performance than other ETFs. Can you please help in understanding what possible causes are influencing the better performance these days of TNA over UPRO? I can only assume that the rising price of crude oil, rising liquidity, and breadth are allowing investors/traders to assume more risk in small caps than in large caps. Am I overlooking other important causes or factors? Tia.
Some time ago you discussed a study of TNA in which you concluded that TNA showed better performance than other ETFs. Can you please help in understanding what possible causes are influencing the better performance these days of TNA over UPRO? I can only assume that the rising price of crude oil, rising liquidity, and breadth are allowing investors/traders to assume more risk in small caps than in large caps. Am I overlooking other important causes or factors? Tia.
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 1,004
Hi Airlift
You give me too much credit, I have no clue how these leveraged ETFs are weighted, I just know their creators are making money off us, otherwise they wouldn't do it. From the previous perspective you're referring too, I just measure the price performance over a chosen timeframe, and make a decision based on that timeframe.
In the case below, TNA is winning over the past month, but losing over the past two months.
DreamboatAnnie
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 675
I was seriously thinking about it. But I am going to wait on the jobs report tomorrow. Would like to see a small pull back... price is in the 10 day EMA upward channel and its all looking good; except that Slow Stochastic is so high... would expects a small drop before price resumes the upward movement. :smile:
Looking more at entry Monday, since they seem to always be ugly down days. Got lucky earlier this week with entry on Monday and exit on Tuesday. Still being conservative... not entering but 50% at most while we are still in a downtrend. But must admit this move up is a monster!!!!
Best Wishes to You and Everyone on Your Investments!!!!!!!!!!! :smile:
Looking more at entry Monday, since they seem to always be ugly down days. Got lucky earlier this week with entry on Monday and exit on Tuesday. Still being conservative... not entering but 50% at most while we are still in a downtrend. But must admit this move up is a monster!!!!
Best Wishes to You and Everyone on Your Investments!!!!!!!!!!! :smile:
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 1,004
IFT EoB today, from 100G to 100S
At this time, I believe we are gearing up for a 6-8% March, and there may not be another opportunity to jump in.
Looking at the charts does not make me want to jump in, but much of my statistical data (in various forms, some not posted) leads me to belive I won't be able to out-time the markets.
At this time, I believe we are gearing up for a 6-8% March, and there may not be another opportunity to jump in.
Looking at the charts does not make me want to jump in, but much of my statistical data (in various forms, some not posted) leads me to belive I won't be able to out-time the markets.
