JTH's Account Talk

[wvango]

Ok.. Leaving for Mexico Vacation tomorrow for a week. Currently 60%S 40%I, should I let it ride and not wory or pull it in to Safety... That is the question?

 

[Skorcher]

Ok.. Leaving for Mexico Vacation tomorrow for a week. Currently 60%S 40%I, should I let it ride and not wory or pull it in to Safety... That is the question?

Let it ride!

 

[JTH]

Ok.. Leaving for Mexico Vacation tomorrow for a week. Currently 60%S 40%I, should I let it ride and not wory or pull it in to Safety... That is the question?

Really don't know, I'm in, thus far the markets haven't given us a definitive direction, we may get that decision tomorrow, followed by confirmation on Monday.

 

[wvango]

Really don't know, I'm in, thus far the markets haven't given us a definitive direction, we may get that decision tomorrow, followed by confirmation on Monday.

I decided to just pull back to F fund and go on vacation, drink and not worry till I get back. Thanks for the input!

 

[JTH]

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Wilshire 4500 gets some follow through, triggering a Double Top Breakout. More importantly we now have a fresh 52-week high.

View attachment 32325

 

[Cactus]

I guess that means there is only one direction for it to go from here. Still it's amazing that it got this high with me still in the market. Do you know what the odds of that happening are? Astronomical I tell you. You are more likely to get a royal fizzbin.

 

[pmaloney]

Great Graph! Love the good action!

 

[jonfresno]

I guess that means there is only one direction for it to go from here. Still it's amazing that it got this high with me still in the market. Do you know what the odds of that happening are? Astronomical I tell you. You are more likely to get a royal fizzbin.

No worries, I just pulled half out. It will probably be at 1,100 by the middle of next week, in time for me to go 100% back in and catch the falling knife....:cheesy:

 

[JTH]

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It's all good, we needed a win, but it's not over just yet, the story is still unfolding...

 

[JTH]

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It's official, equities are in the green, bonds are in the red

This isn't too say all indexes are created equal, within the "box" theme the Wilshire 4500 leads all others, followed by SPX, NDX, then Tran. Point being, we need some assemblence of participation from more than 1 index. Just 1 does not get it done...

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Wilshire 4500 lagged with triggering a Double Top Breakout, but leads ahead of the other indexes, with new 52-week highs

View attachment 32328
View attachment 32329

 

[JTH]

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Trading the Stats: Week 6

 

[GUCHI]

Nice work Jason I appreciate your work.

 

[JTH]

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Trading the Stats: Week 6

Nice work Jason I appreciate your work.

No problem!

 

[JTH]

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Trading the Stats: Week 6

PnF: The Top Pops

 

[JTH]

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Trading the Stats: Week 6

PnF: The Top Pops

While the futures start off tonight with a decidedly bearish tone, they haven't been a great predictor of the following day's price action, so for the moment, they carry little weight with me. The stats for the last 11 Mondays have pickled up a bit of steam, with the S&P 500 falling inline with the statistical mean, with the last 2 closing up. Meanwhile, Trading day 6 of February has a decent winning ratio, with decent average returns, and over the last 4 years, this day has closed up.

View attachment 32379
View attachment 32380

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Thank you for "Trading the Stats -Week 6"....Very interesting information and also info on weeks 7,8,9. Will be watching for short-term downtrend. Best wishes on your investing! :smile:

 

[JTH]

Thank you for "Trading the Stats -Week 6"....Very interesting information and also info on weeks 7,8,9. Will be watching for short-term downtrend. Best wishes on your investing! :smile:

Thank you, here's to yet another fun-filled unpredictable week!

 

[JTH]

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Not exactly a "barn burner" of a morning, let's float it up!

 

[soon2retire]

Reminds me of an oxygen depleted pond with a bunch of dying fish on the top of the water trying to suck in some air....

 

[felixthecat]

Reminds me of an oxygen depleted pond with a bunch of dying fish on the top of the water trying to suck in some air....

Greece hanging over markets. Oil ready to start a tumble soon. Dollar will remain in precurious perched position. F Fund still under some pressure. Seasonality for Tuesday is down ( means up to me...contrarian). Therefore, with C/S/I Funds remaining near their breakout points...will stay in another day since expecting a little positive in the markets on Tuesday. Still looking for a brief up couple of days...then I'm out. I freakin hate this years market trading (too unstable, too volatile, too zig-zaggy, not for the faint of heart). Going to be a bad 1/2 half of the year. Only hope to makes some gain before June. Looks like that 13 percent return I had hoped looking a bit rosy in this environment.

No move today.