JTH's Account Talk

I 'd pay you a premiums pay service anyday you start. Keep up the great work.
I've said it before and I'll say it again, I cannot predict the future, every single call I made for July was wrong. If I had followed my less risky G/C IFT recommendation it would have yielded 1.12% (a top-10 performance) while the F/S would have yielded -2.13%
 
I 'd pay you a premiums pay service anyday you start. Keep up the great work.

Thanks, we should also point out that IT's service did excellent during a difficult month, protecting the previous gains.
 
Thanks, we should also point out that IT's service did excellent during a difficult month, protecting the previous gains.

It was more of a struggle for my ETFs outside of TSP and it's always difficult to take a loss with TSP, but I remember 2008 vividly so I'm not afraid to lock it in and move on to the next month, just like you did. There where a lot of "holders and hopers" in 2008 that were probably close to jumping off a roof somewhere. Most investors have short memories though so they'll just keep buying the dips and that has been the best strategy for the last year and a half. One day, that dip will become a valley though. Maybe that time is now, maybe it's not.................:suspicious:
 
Me have long memory-all the way back to 2000-2003 when I wasn't paying attention and got hurt-a lot. dodged the 08-09 bullet thanks to that long memory of earlier pain and a lot of paying attention the second time around. I won't be a hold and hoper, even if I take a dip and end up in shallow bathwater. how's that for mixed metaphors?
 
Me have long memory-all the way back to 2000-2003 when I wasn't paying attention and got hurt-a lot. dodged the 08-09 bullet thanks to that long memory of earlier pain and a lot of paying attention the second time around. I won't be a hold and hoper, even if I take a dip and end up in shallow bathwater. how's that for mixed metaphors?

Like asking to pass the mayo before eating your sh!t sandwich.
 
The good news is I don't really care what any one of us thinks about these market conditions. The bad news is I do care about making money. In my estimation there is enough technical damage to warrant a consideration of the 1875-1900 levels, conversely, a close above 1954 followed by a higher low above the previous 1916 should be enough to bring buyers back.

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Missing JTH's words of wisdom!

Not much to report, the markets did precisely what they typically do, sellers fell short of capturing a 50% bounce off the previous up/down wave. Last week I contemplated taking an entry today, but the entry materialized on Thursday, thus I missed the window. For the moment, this is nothing more than an oversold bounce and has yet to to erase the previous technical damage. The parallel price channels have formed, and if they are any indicator as to future price action, then we should pull back within the next few days. If I see signs this rally has more upside, then I'll entertain an entry.
 
Rspring

For now, I've exited the F-Fund and reaped its gains, from this point on, I'll use my last IFT to look for the next window of opportunity. I missed the last window and chose not to chase it, my patience in this matter is infinite, I'm not going to force a square peg into a round hole. When I look at the charts, I see the patterns, but nothing within those patterns stirs within me a desire to jump in. It wouldn't be fair to give you an answer to something which has yet to materialize because my answer is not tangible. Simply put, I'll know it when I see it, or I'll be wrong.
 
Interesting word play. Other than diagonal line, pattern looks like beginning of the year?

Your exit from F Fund was intriguing as I can only imagine two potential reasons for not waiting there for a window and neither are good for bonds.

Thanks for making me think.

This is typically where I'd expect to see a reversal...

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