JTH's Account Talk

[nasa1974]

JTH interesting looking avatar. Red to green back to red, now multicolor. It's not my avatar but I'm partial to the red one because it always reminds me of the great movie "2001 - A Space Odyssey".

 

[JTH]

JTH interesting looking avatar. Red to green back to red, now multicolor. It's not my avatar but I'm partial to the red one because it always reminds me of the great movie "2001 - A Space Odyssey".

It's something I'm toying with, once I get bored with it, I'll switch back to the regular HAL.

The HAL represents what I think the markets will do for that day
The Outer circle represents the historical probability of closing positive on that day
The Inner circle represents the historical average gains of that day

Added - I'm using rotational current and historical statical data, so it's an evolving process

View attachment 29401

 

[JTH]

Nearly 5 days of gains wiped out in 1 day, such it is where we have tiny slices up with big chunks down. It would have been nice to side-step today's action but it's a bit too early in the month to leave myself susceptible to an IFT shortage, so invested I am. Realistically I'd expect another 1-2% loss before buyers either step in or step off.

View attachment 29409

 

[nasa1974]

The S fund doesn't have a great record for being profitable in July. It's either really good or really bad. Since 2000 there have been 9 negative years and only 5 positive. I'm hoping for good. :worried:

 

[wvango]

What do you all think about an entry at COB today?

 

[rktect1]

What do you all think about an entry at COB today?

The magic Eightball says........

Maybe

 

[JTH]

What do you all think about an entry at COB today?

I tend to wait for some sort of confirmation before jumping in on a downswing.

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

I tend to wait for some sort of confirmation before jumping in on a downswing.

Hi JTH, Definitely agree.

Bollinger Bands are going flat, MACD crossed into negative territory and price fell way below 20 DAY EMA. Best to wait for price confirmation on direction.

Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index, XXWCPF Advanced Chart - (DJW) XXWCPF, Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com

 

[JTH]

The S fund doesn't have a great record for being profitable in July. It's either really good or really bad. Since 2000 there have been 9 negative years and only 5 positive. I'm hoping for good. :worried:

Correct my friend, W4500 is seasonally weaker than SPX, I mentioned this in my July's Projection post. It may have something to do with a sell in May rotation or perhaps folks want to steer clear of the earning reports for the small caps.

 

[JTH]

Back to 1030

View attachment 29424

 

[99percent]

Back to 1030

View attachment 29424

Well, we'll just see about that mister! This elevator is going up. ( *please, oh please, please*)

 

[JTH]

Well, we'll just see about that mister! This elevator is going up. ( *please, oh please, please*)

Buyers did not step in with conviction....

 

[JTH]

WHY YOU'RE FAT. | Furious Pete Talks

 

[99percent]

Buyers did not step in with conviction....

Yes, a little concerning there but I'll take 3 or four more days of this kind of action. I love a good melt up.

 

[sdouglas3]

Wow, I resemble that video...lol :worried:

 

[JTH]

Wow, I resemble that video...lol :worried:

Don't we all (or most of us) I'm currently on a diet, prepping for my PT test, I need all the motivation I can get

 

[JTH]

The futures have been fairly consistent this week, if it holds true for tomorrow, then we should expect a close down.

 

[WorkFE]

The futures have been fairly consistent this week, if it holds true for tomorrow, then we should expect a close down.

Hard landing enroute

 

[JTH]

From my perspective, I'll be looking for a break even day tomorrow, this is a good place to settle in. No I am not worried, sometimes I'll get caught in these downwaves, there isn't much I can do except ride it out or choose to absorb the loss. Under current conditions I'd rather ride it out.

 

[airlift]

From my perspective, I'll be looking for a break even day tomorrow, this is a good place to settle in. No I am not worried, sometimes I'll get caught in these downwaves, there isn't much I can do except ride it out or choose to absorb the loss. Under current conditions I'd rather ride it out.

JTH,

I, and many others, think you are fine. I am sure we know a bit about the laws of probabilities. It is normal to get caught in a downwave. We would otherwise have yearly gains of 100% plus. A good friend reminded me that we are now in the worst four months of the year. Your work is excellent. Good stuff!

BTW, let me change the subject to ask a question. Perhaps you, or other member can help out. Below, please find a recent offer regarding the YAHOO real-time ticker and charts. I already have had the real-time benefit for about 8 or 10 years. In fact, I also have a password for using YAHOO use (I am sure others do too); but when I refresh a chart, it keeps popping up the notice, something that is a needless distraction and I would like to be rid of it. I don't know whom to contact or how to stop its reappearance each time that I refresh the chart. What to do? Please see below. Thank you.

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