RealMoneyIssues
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- 101
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JTH's Account Talk
- Thread starter JTH
- Start date
- Reaction score
- 743
Yeah, I heard, but since Mr. Air Force Brought it up...
Hey, whats wrong with the Air Force?
RealMoneyIssues
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 101
bmneveu
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 85
I spent 3 months at Goodfellow AFB for training. Gotta admit, the maids that clean the barracks rooms every day is a nice touch. The chow ain't the same though!
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 1,012
Don't hate the player, hate the game
Maids don't clean barracks they clean billeting, and please let me apologize on behalf of the USAF for Goodfellow AFB, there are much better places to spend 3 months.
burrocrat
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 162
that was some interesting reading at that statistics site. the article about the deficits and debt was startling. basically, it goes like this:
1) the comptroller of the currency in his report to congress cannot certify to the accuracy of the numbers because there's no way to independently confirm them. and it is a crime for a financial officer, even a government one, to say the books balance according to generally accepted accounting principles when they obviously don't.
2) the share of $17 trillion of national debt is about $100,000 for each and every citizen, trust funders and preschoolers in line for head start alike. but if you count unfunded liabilities it's more like $350,000 each. all the gold ever mined in the history of the world is only $10 trillion. and we don't have that kind of money, so we're in a pretty big hole here.
3) unfunded liabilities means social security and medicare, here's how the accounting works: borrow money from the bank to buy a house and record it as an asset but do not list the corresponding debt as a liability then lease the place out. and on the income/expense ledger note the rental income recieved (taxes) but don't mention the mortgage payment and interest due (entitlements). viola, we're only in hawk 17 trillion instead of 45 trillion! that's not so bad is it? only if the printing press stops running.
thanks for peeing in my economic wheaties frixxxx. and this is a fine soapbox you got here jth.
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 1,012
Good morning
Over the past 60 days there have been 10 Mondays, 8 of which have closed down. As stats go, this is fairly high and I suspect it needs to balance out. Of the last 9 of 10 occasions where both Friday & Monday closed down, we saw lower intraday prices later in the week.
View attachment 23221
In the far right column are the intraday % swings from low to high. The past 6 down days have seen higher intraday % swings then the last 6 up days. What does this mean? It means that over the last 12 days there is more risk in being invested because the risk to the downside is greater than the risk to the upside.
View attachment 23222
This is week 14 and while it appear to be flat over the last 20 years with 50% up/down and a .-.01% average, over the last 3 years this week has closed down.
View attachment 23223
We aren't off to a good start for month 4, but with a 70/30 win ratio it is the 2nd most winning month over the last 20 years (December being first.)
View attachment 23224
Over the past 60 days there have been 10 Mondays, 8 of which have closed down. As stats go, this is fairly high and I suspect it needs to balance out. Of the last 9 of 10 occasions where both Friday & Monday closed down, we saw lower intraday prices later in the week.
View attachment 23221
In the far right column are the intraday % swings from low to high. The past 6 down days have seen higher intraday % swings then the last 6 up days. What does this mean? It means that over the last 12 days there is more risk in being invested because the risk to the downside is greater than the risk to the upside.
View attachment 23222
This is week 14 and while it appear to be flat over the last 20 years with 50% up/down and a .-.01% average, over the last 3 years this week has closed down.
View attachment 23223
We aren't off to a good start for month 4, but with a 70/30 win ratio it is the 2nd most winning month over the last 20 years (December being first.)
View attachment 23224
rcknfrewld
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 8
Love your stats...have you ever thought about researching the 1st of the month stats...heard that being invested for the 1st of the month then taking profits that day has produced fantastic returns with only being exposed to the market once a month
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 1,012
Sorry buddy, we talked about this a couple of weeks ago, if it were true, I'd be doing it, I've done scans on this is the past going back to 1950, it isn't true, far from it.
Frixxxx
Moderator
- Reaction score
- 131
This too is cyclical. Depending on when you start your stratedgy. We've seen those who make the cash utilizing that method, but it doesn't hold up to back testing.
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 1,012
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 1,012
Took a foolish trade on Thursday that worked out, bought at 2.26, sold today @ 2.39
View attachment 23238
View attachment 23238
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 1,012
Chalk today up as a victory for the bulls, some questions are still left unanswered, but the majority of the hard work is done.
View attachment 23246
View attachment 23246
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 1,012
Looking at the evidence it's hard not to conclude that the bottom isn't in, certainly when you look at the Transports. Today, they put in a convincing performance striking through the dominant lower trendline and confirming a close above the 50SMA. Another positive close could easily put the bears to bed.
View attachment 23248
View attachment 23248
Intrepid_Timer
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 71
