JTH's Account Talk

[JTH]

Lol everybody's got a joke. No friends I won't be offering a premium service anytime soon. It is a tremendous responsibility to manage someone else's financial future. I am in the process of consolidating several systems into one, but it's a painstakingly tedious task. Assembling the result is difficult enough, but given the unique criteria I'm using, computerized backtesting it is even more complex, perhaps too complex for me to implement. It may take more than a year to put this all together.

In the meantime, I'll just sit back, relax, and throw out a chart or two.

 

[amoeba]

Double dip ariveth

http://www.portlandonline.com/bds/index.cfm?c=41449

Commercial Y/Y March 2010/2011
2010:
http://www.portlandonline.com/bds/index.cfm?c=51898&a=294403

2011:
http://www.portlandonline.com/bds/index.cfm?c=53991&a=344241

143 vs. 216

J-M 2010
436
J-M 2011
525

Residential Y/Y March 2010/2011
2010:
http://www.portlandonline.com/bds/index.cfm?c=51898&a=294410

2011:
http://www.portlandonline.com/bds/index.cfm?c=53991&a=344246

335 vs. 357

J-M 2010
918
J-M 2011
897

http://www.city-data.com/housing/houses-Portland-Oregon.html

Housing prices flattened in Dec.
Look around.... it's gonna pop.
Keep in mind it has been the 3rd wettest April on record in this area.

http://www.kgw.com/news/April-on-track-for-Portlands-3rd-wettest-120825389.html

Well crws:

I read all of that and none of it has to do with home starts or median prices going anywhere north. Prices of homes are comin down. Have a double dip of chocolate.

If you don't believe winter data (and many don't); May-June sales and prices will gong loud enough for everyone to hear the music.

No prisoners this summer. Great time to be renting.

 

[MaStA]

Lol everybody's got a joke. No friends I won't be offering a premium service anytime soon. It is a tremendous responsibility to manage someone else's financial future. I am in the process of consolidating several systems into one, but it's a painstakingly tedious task. Assembling the result is difficult enough, but given the unique criteria I'm using, computerized backtesting it is even more complex, perhaps too complex for me to implement. It may take more than a year to put this all together.

In the meantime, I'll just sit back, relax, and throw out a chart or two.

Well I definitely appreciate and enjoy your posts.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Well I definitely appreciate and enjoy your posts.

Me Three

 

[amoeba]

Me Three

Me four - and don't forget the blog - even though JTH didn't have any IFT's to act on his suggested triggers, I did:

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/blog.php?b=1168


1,420 in may did you say? now that would be something.

 

[MaStA]

Me four - and don't forget the blog - even though JTH didn't have any IFT's to act on his suggested triggers, I did:

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/blog.php?b=1168


1,420 in may did you say? now that would be something.

Oh nice! Thank you for pointing me to that.

 

[JTH]

It was an outstandingly bullish day across the indexes. Had you caught the 5 May bottom like I did, but instead stayed in, you'd be up over 2.65% MTD. Whatever you're goals are, just be aware of who your are and what your prepared to lose. If we get another strong up day, I'd consider an exit, because for myself, it's the little battles that win the war...

For the S&P 500, median price for this month is 1360, our current level. The middle EOM trendline and the yellow 128-day Linear bars confirm this as a middle-of-the-road price. I use this terminology so that you don't get too elated, I consider this fair value.

View attachment 11056

 

[JTH]

The yellow arrow is where I made my entry, this position is up 68% At this point I may use rising stops. This isn't a dividend paying stock, it's a trade.

View attachment 11057

 

[konakathy]

Me four -

Me five, although my eyes start to cross looking at the charts. I'll get it one day. Mahalo!

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

The yellow arrow is where I made my entry, this position is up 68% At this point I may use rising stops. This isn't a dividend paying stock, it's a trade.

View attachment 11057

I made mine at 0.97, and 1.33, and 1.68

I am looking for an out at 2.50; you?

"Rising stops"?

 

[crws]

Re: Double dip ariveth

Well crws:

I read all of that and none of it has to do with home starts or median prices going anywhere north. Prices of homes are comin down. Have a double dip of chocolate.

If you don't believe winter data (and many don't); May-June sales and prices will gong loud enough for everyone to hear the music.

No prisoners this summer. Great time to be renting.

Not starts per se, it's about the permits issued for construction, both in the private and commercial sector.

It's the leading edge, my friend.

 

[crws]

The yellow arrow is where I made my entry, this position is up 68% At this point I may use rising stops. This isn't a dividend paying stock, it's a trade.

View attachment 11057

vindication for all the believers. that was along time coming..... congrats

 

[weatherweenie]

 

[JTH]

I made mine at 0.97, and 1.33, and 1.68

I am looking for an out at 2.50; you?

"Rising stops"?

I may just sell, this sucker is way overbought and due for a correction back to the rising channels. I mostly just scalp in & out of this stock, I'm a suscriber too.

The current stop is at 2.12, as long as price keeps rising I'll normally raise the stop each week till the stop eventually gets hit.

 

[Birchtree]

Remember now that every time you trade the IRS is getting a 1099 - good luck with your schedule D. Every time you make a buy the IRS will get a 1099 - so they know both sides of the trade. Myself, I worry about these peter heads sticking their nose in my business.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

The current stop is at 2.12

is this a short stop?

 

[JTH]

Nope, if 2.12 gets hit from above, the sell order (stop) gets executed.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Nope, if 2.12 gets hit from above, the sell order (stop) gets executed.

Ah, gotcha. Thanks... I am thinking about pulling the trigger and move on; I just don't have a good feeling about whether SIRI will continue to go up or this is just trading euphoria (or shorts covering their shorts) :worried:

 

[Valkyrie]

Remember now that every time you trade the IRS is getting a 1099 - good luck with your schedule D. Every time you make a buy the IRS will get a 1099 - so they know both sides of the trade. Myself, I worry about these peter heads sticking their nose in my business.

legal theives and they want your money.

 

[Frixxxx]

Nice spot to be in today JTH, I may just start following you!:blink: