JTH's Account Talk

[FAB1]

Nevermind me sitting in the G I have a vested interest in seeing a sizable pullback.

Me too - you are always invested while in the TSP its just that one's hope may be going to come from different direction than another investor.

 

[JTH]

Nevermind me sitting in the G I have a vested interest in seeing a sizable pullback.

Me too - you are always invested while in the TSP its just that one's hope may be going to come from different direction than another investor.

Yes, I don't wish anyone any ill will, I just want to buy at a discount.

 

[JTH]

Added PNS this morning, that's 9 positions.

 

[crws]

fyi- next month's POMO out at 2 pm EST
http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_operation_schedule.html
OPEX next week.... getting that thinly stretched feeling?, or is it all my imagination? :nuts:

 

[JTH]

fyi- next month's POMO out at 2 pm EST
http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_operation_schedule.html
OPEX next week.... getting that thinly stretched feeling?, or is it all my imagination? :nuts:

Thanks

 

[JTH]

This doesn't happen very often. My position is up 32% after 9 days in the trade. Up 18% today...

View attachment 10602

 

[sdouglas3]

This doesn't happen very often. My position is up 32% after 9 days in the trade. Up 18% today...

View attachment 10602

Sweet - Thats Awesome...

Steve

 

[nasa1974]

crws, OPEX week has me a bit nervous as well. Last month the S fund got hit pretty hard. However last year February's OPEX week the market did OK.

 

[crws]

This doesn't happen very often. My position is up 32% after 9 days in the trade. Up 18% today...

View attachment 10602

interesting- that chart seems to emphasize investors taking profits after a spike

 

[crws]

crws, OPEX week has me a bit nervous as well. Last month the S fund got hit pretty hard. However last year February's OPEX week the market did OK.

When I went into L2050, I was concerned that there wasn't enough exposure in S, but when I looked around, the Russell 2000 (not entirely identical, I know) was at it's 5 year peak, while the Dow and AGG had quite a bit of headroom.
I'm more concerned with the dollar and that it may stage a rally, giving the I fund a smackdown and putting a strain on valuations of Dow components.
In other news, Bennie will spend looks like a minimum of 81B during the next month of trading days, so I suspect any down time will be minimized, but IMO, if Egypt escalates and the dollar spikes, allocation presents a question mark.

 

[JTH]

Thanks everyone, I got stopped out at 3.29 taking the profits. I'll push it back over to my watch list to look for a lower re-entry. Long story short, made 50 bucks off a 260 dollar 10 day play. This account is still a snowball account, I'm building it up brick by brick.

 

[JTH]

God bless America, I just can't seem to find an ideal entry point into the TSP markets. I stayed out last weekend partly due to Egypt and I suppose I'll stay out this weekend too. Although I'm not meeting all my goals I am following the rules I've establish for myself this year. If I had to guess, I'd say I'll take an entry next Friday the 18th.

 

[Birchtree]

Buy higher and keep on buying. The Transports are providing an outperformance today - heading for 5300 and far beyond. Keep your eye on that 14.66 level of the VIX - that may provide a short term entry point. But until then the best poilcy is to stand in front of the train - the Grand Trunk is on the move.

 

[JTH]

Buy higher and keep on buying. The Transports are providing an outperformance today - heading for 5300 and far beyond. Keep your eye on that 14.66 level of the VIX - that may provide a short term entry point. But until then the best poilcy is to stand in front of the train - the Grand Trunk is on the move.

Thanks BT, the trend is right, as are you. I'm waiting for a double top breakout on the Transports. At that point, I will have zero valid excuse to stay out of the markets.

 

[crws]

Thanks everyone, I got stopped out at 3.29 taking the profits. I'll push it back over to my watch list to look for a lower re-entry. Long story short, made 50 bucks off a 260 dollar 10 day play. This account is still a snowball account, I'm building it up brick by brick.

20% nice

 

[Birchtree]

The reason I keep buying wall flowers and adding to my flower power is that to the extent that a portfolio can generate sufficient cash income for an investor to avoid the need to sell assets to support lifestyle, the safer the long-term financial future for that investor with a lower risk of outliving assets. Another bear market will eventually come along but even though I may get devalued again my income will remain supportive. This becomes very important in retirement. So let the near vertical rally roll on once the S fund consolidates. Do it all in one day like last month - Monday would be perfect.

 

[JTH]

Re: MARCON

View attachment 10617

MARKON: Markets remain bullish with a 76% reading. The Dow Transportation Average picked up the pace last week. Next week we're looking for either a bearish double top or bullish double top breakout as an indication of price direction.
View attachment 10613

F-Fund: Condition RED with an 8% reading. Prices are embedded to the downside.
View attachment 10614

C-Fund: Stable and bullish with an 88% reading.
View attachment 10615

S-Fund: Stable and bullish with an 88% reading.
View attachment 10616

I-Fund: Stable and bullish with a 72% reading. The dollar has gained some ground and has room to gain more, this could suppress the I-Fund's performance next week.

Take care... Jason

 

[Cactus]

Thanks for the commentary, Jason. Quick question for you: did you change symbology on the MARCON chart? I notice this one doesn't have the previous week = < > indicators or the week count numbers. Since I'm new here, I don't know if this is a change.

 

[JTH]

Thanks for the commentary, Jason. Quick question for you: did you change symbology on the MARCON chart? I notice this one doesn't have the previous week = < > indicators or the week count numbers. Since I'm new here, I don't know if this is a change.

Yea I changed it due to technical errors in Open Office Org. No matter how many different times/ways I formatted the cells, it wouldn't let me type in the info correctly.

 

[Birchtree]

The Transports are now at 5270.20 and pushing toward 5300 - is that a confirmed break out for a positive Dow Theory bull move? I think 5400 is just two weeks away.