JTH's Account Talk

[JTH]

Last night I bought a 32" TV and set it up as a 2nd monitor, taking me to a 1920 x 1080 resolution. No it's not as great as a computer monitor, but tamping down the sharpness & brightness and amping up the screen refresh rate made it very usable. What's really great is the extra space I get to work with charts & Excel. Wify thinks I'm crazy, I'd pick up a second one, but I don't think the Lap Top's video card would be able to manage the media demands. Eventually I'd love to get a 4-monitor setup...

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[tsptalk]

Awesome!

 

[bmneveu]

Cool setup! I'm going the 2 widescreens route eventually. I can't wait

 

[JTH]

Some of you may be familiar with the combination of using 2 specific MACDs in conjunction with the Best/Worst 6-Months of the year. During the Worst-6 when the red MACD crosses under, this triggers the 6-month sell signal. For the S&P 500, last year it triggered on 2 April, it seems to be triggering early some years as some folks try to front-run Sell in May. The next time the red MACD crosses under may be a good sign the rally is over at least for a few months.

Stock Traders Almanac

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[JTH]

Circled in white we have potential for a bull flag on the 30 minute chart. If the bull flag were to trigger, I think we are more likely to get rejected at the upper most green trend-line, but anything could happen.

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[JTH]

It is very rare where you see stats with such a strong positive bias, the evidence strongly points to a positive close today.

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[RealMoneyIssues]

JTH Positive, Frixxxx negative

Looks like a flat day today

 

[Sensei]

JTH Positive, Frixxxx negative

Looks like a flat day today

Let's have BT be the tiebreaker.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Let's have BT be the tiebreaker.

 

[jpcavin]

Let's have BT be the tiebreaker.

I know my vote don't count but I vote positive.

 

[JTH]

It is very rare where you see stats with such a strong positive bias, the evidence strongly points to a positive close today.

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Sorry everyone, those stats are wrong, that's actually the 2-day price performance. I thought something seemed off, I forgot I have to rebuild the filter I use for price projections.

 

[JTH]

It is very rare where you see stats with such a strong positive bias, the evidence strongly points to a positive close today.

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Sorry everyone, those stats are wrong, that's actually the 2-day price performance. I thought something seemed off, I forgot I have to rebuild the filter I use for price projections.

Here are the accurate stats pertaining to Friday's price action leading into Monday.

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[rspring]

Why did you go to the F fund and how long are you staying?

 

[JTH]

I went to the F-Fund because this is typically the season where bonds perform well. This is the same thing I did last year, where I kept an F-Fund allocation from April to Aug, then focused on stocks for the remainder of the year. I will be here until either the markets pullback to an acceptable level below my last exit, or until I feel it is more plausable to go ahead and buy in again at higher prices. My experience tells me there's more risk to the downside than the upside. I have already missed out on some gains and may miss out on more, but in the long run I'm making the right choice for how I like to manage my account. I'm already at my minimum 12% goal for the year, at this point I'm willing to wait until the market comes to me, I doubt I'll be chasing this recent action, but I'm prepared to do so if needed.

 

[rspring]

That makes perfect since. I've made terrible timing decisions so far this year and like your imput. Thanks

 

[JTH]

It is very rare where you see stats with such a strong positive bias, the evidence strongly points to a positive close today.

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That makes perfect since. I've made terrible timing decisions so far this year and like your imput. Thanks

No problem, we've all had some not-so-fun learning experiences I took a big hit this time in 2011, I always tell myself it's ok to be wrong, just don't be wrong for too long

 

[JTH]

These past 2 days have not been fun for me, I've manged to lose .50% in the F-Fund and that's a lot to lose in 2 days. I'm also number 8 from the bottom on the Tracker MTD, Number 1048, it's pretty darn hard to get any lower than that. My patience is getting tested, my position in TZA will be a good guide as to what I should do, thus far it's holding...

 

[jkenjohnson]

These past 2 days have not been fun for me, I've manged to lose .50% in the F-Fund and that's a lot to lose in 2 days. I'm also number 8 from the bottom on the Tracker MTD, Number 1048, it's pretty darn hard to get any lower than that. My patience is getting tested, my position in TZA will be a good guide as to what I should do, thus far it's holding...

I was just getting ready to ask if you are still holding your TZA.

 

[JTH]

I was just getting ready to ask if you are still holding your TZA.

Yep, it's held the same low over the last 2 days, today will be a good test since Tuesday has a strong positive bias for the markets.

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[Cactus]

These past 2 days have not been fun for me, I've manged to lose .50% in the F-Fund and that's a lot to lose in 2 days. I'm also number 8 from the bottom on the Tracker MTD, Number 1048, it's pretty darn hard to get any lower than that. My patience is getting tested, my position in TZA will be a good guide as to what I should do, thus far it's holding...

Yeah, but the month is young yet -- only 3 trading days old. That's like worrying about your Tracker position on Jan 3. One day can change this completely and having seen your past trades I'm sure it will.