JTH's Account Talk

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Im hoping to jump in on the next dip too. It's a matter of being patient and knowing that you have already made your goal which allows you to sit and wait instead of jumping the gun. Many more opportunities out there
 
I'm sitting 50% C now and 25% F and 25 L2030. I'm thinking to pull back soon but not sure where to hide. Any suggestions?
 
Since you did ask - I'd go 100% C fund right now and reap the gains over the next several years. Let Ferdinand the bull be your guide. People who decide to cluck this bull will end up leaving dollars on the table.
 
Danny said:
JTH, first off, thanks for sharring all your insights!

Question, if you did not have a second IFT left to play with in Mar, and you were not protectecting a sweet AT%, would you agree that staying invested would be prudent for a longer while? I went out end of Feb and back in monday.

Thanks,
Danny
Click to expand...

Under those conditions I'd stay invested for the remainder of the month, we should expect some weakness in the last week of March as folks window-dress out of S into C, but the first week of April is historically strong, so you may want to start off April already invested.

TSP4Soccer said:
I'm sitting 50% C now and 25% F and 25 L2030. I'm thinking to pull back soon but not sure where to hide. Any suggestions?
Click to expand...

The F-Fund is in a definitive downtrend off the December 2012 top. For myself, when I do IFT, I've been choosing G over F, sure it's slower gains, but the stability is guaranteed. As a warning, if I didn't spend 1-3 hours daily analyzing the markets, I wouldn't be trying to time it. The majority of us should stay invested. It is VERY difficult to outperform a bull market, the vast majority of us will fail in that pursuit.
 
Thanks! I ended up moving the 50% that I had in C to G and kept the other 50% in S.

I did just about the same thing last month and it sucked because I still had to use an IFT to go get all my funds back "in" in Mar. So I quess I'll be trying to time a top toward the end of Mar and pull my last 50% from S and add it all back in early April.

Thanks again,
Danny
 
JTH said:
Today, IFT 100G EOB today :) we are within 1-3 days of what should be a short-to-intermediate-term top, I've met my goals. I'll still have 1 IFT to get back in and may use it earlier than expected, but that's ok.

I tried to get out but the website was running real slow...my transfer went through but was late so will not be posted till tomorrow for Friday EOB. Now I have to decide if I should cancel my move.
Click to expand...
 
A quick summary of AGG, over the last 4 days it's been in a tight but consistently declining channel. On this timeframe we've retraced 50% but at some point in time over the next 1-3 days I expect a small bounce, filling the gap I've outlined on the 2nd chart.

View attachment 22778


For AGG, within the 30 minute timeframe, small gaps usually get filled within a few days, if they don't than it can be indicative of more downside to follow. Currently within this timeframe, all gaps except the last, are filled.

View attachment 22779
 
I "was" wondering. Maybe a flux capacitor? You would need some urananium though to generate the 1.21 gigawatts needed.
 
RealMoneyIssues said:
How about owning 33000 shares of CYIG at $0.03 on Friday, March 1st and selling at 3pm on Monday?
Click to expand...

Even I can't count that high, at the $1.40 peak that would be a crap load of money... $46,200 to be precise, not bad for a 1K investment :)
 
Last post of the night.

It's not everyday you get to make an exit 3 days away from the top, jump back in on the next bottom, then jump back out above the previous exit. I doubt this will be a repeatable event, but that doesn't mean I won't try :D

View attachment 22784
 
JTH said:
Last post of the night.

It's not everyday you get to make an exit 3 days away from the top, jump back in on the next bottom, then jump back out above the previous exit. I doubt this will be a repeatable event, but that doesn't mean I won't try :D

View attachment 22784
Click to expand...

Yes its not everyday, its 87 days to accomplish that feat!
 
Good evening

As of now, I'm projected to go back in anytime from now to mid-next week. I have no concern over the jobs report, just how the markets react to it. For now, I'd love to see prices pullback, after all what's the point in timing the market if you can't accumulate more shares with less money? My charts look unchanged, nothing worth posting except for another gap down on AGG. The American indexes ramped up into the close, telling me they expect a good number, the question then becomes are those numbers already priced in?
 
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