Jkenjohnson's Account Talk

[jpcavin]

Re: Signal

I have heard people say "Sell in May and Stay Away".

I take this phrase as seriously as the phases of the moon. :nuts: Hope TSPIntel is not watching.

 

[jkenjohnson]

Re: Signal

I have heard people say "Sell in May and Stay Away".

Yeah that is the saying. Get back in in October I think?

 

[jpcavin]

Re: Signal

Yeah that is the saying. Get back in in October I think?

Well, if we're looking for a rhyme....Sell in May buy in July. :laugh:

 

[jkenjohnson]

Re: Signal

Well, if we're looking for a rhyme....Sell in May buy in July. :laugh:

I would have to look at the charts but I don't think the summer has been very kind to the stock market in the past. Maybe somebody will post some data.

 

[jkenjohnson]

Nice move up today (1.58%). System is up 13.85% YTD.

A lot of people went to the G fund today - Will that be the right move or will we continue to climb, and those of us that are still in, end up with additional gains? Are we approaching overbought territory? Not according to the average P/E ratios - They indicate more room to run. Anybody out there thinking about an exit strategy? My guess for tomorrow is we will trade sideways or even give some back. Hope I'm wrong, but that has been the trend for most of March.

 

[nasa1974]

Re: Signal

Tom had this seasonal bar graph that showed the average gains by month...I can't find it anywhere. Wish he would post the link..

Is this what you are looking for?



TSP Talk Market Commentary

 

[tsptalk]

Re: Signal

Tom had this seasonal bar graph that showed the average gains by month...I can't find it anywhere. Wish he would post the link..

www.tsptalk.com/images/030112c.gif

 

[nasa1974]

Re: Signal

www.tsptalk.com/images/030112c.gif

That's why your the big dog.

 

[jpcavin]

Re: Signal

www.tsptalk.com/images/030112c.gif

Thank you Tom.

 

[FAB1]

Re: Signal

Thank you Tom.

That and $3.50 will buy you a cup of coffee (starbucks)

 

[jkenjohnson]

Nice move up today (1.58%). System is up 13.85% YTD.

A lot of people went to the G fund today - Will that be the right move or will we continue to climb, and those of us that are still in, end up with additional gains? Are we approaching overbought territory? Not according to the average P/E ratios - They indicate more room to run. Anybody out there thinking about an exit strategy? My guess for tomorrow is we will trade sideways or even give some back. Hope I'm wrong, but that has been the trend for most of March.

Actually my YTD is 13.88% as the S fund gained .03% more than I said.

 

[jkenjohnson]

Re: Signal

www.tsptalk.com/images/030112c.gif

This is the one I was looking for. April depicts good returns and then after that, except for July, it's sort of ho hum until October. My gut instinct is to get out after April and get back in around November, but I'll see how it plays out for a little while.

 

[jkenjohnson]

Re: Signal

Yeah, thanks Tom for posting the seasonality chart.

 

[jkenjohnson]

Re: Signal

For those that may be imterested, J - Trader went short today.

 

[jkenjohnson]

Unless consumer confidence improves dramatically, today may be ugly. Housing prices fell more than expected.

 

[Sensei]

Re: Signal

For those that may be imterested, J - Trader went short today.

What is that, software or something?

 

[jkenjohnson]

Re: Signal

What is that, software or something?

He has blog. I think he is on RMI's OCD Chart. I look at his blog ocaasionally to see what he is saying. Here's a link.

J-Trader's Market Analysis

 

[Sensei]

Re: Signal

He has blog. I think he is on RMI's OCD Chart. I look at his blog ocaasionally to see what he is saying. Here's a link.

J-Trader's Market Analysis

Ah, OK. Thanks. I think I remember him posting a few times in the Sentiment Survey thread. Or if not this J-Trader, someone else who used the name. Good to have the link - another blog to troll. :toung:
:embarrest:

 

[jkenjohnson]

Re: Signal

Lost .55% today. System is 13.33% YTD.

 

[bmneveu]

Re: Signal

What is that, software or something?

I look at J-Trader's blog almost daily. His backdated returns for the new adjustments to his system are astronomical. Definitely a great weapon to add to your arsenal.