crws
Active member
Well, keep in mind I am certainly not a chart artist, but here is what I meant... the week +/- runup prior to OPEX Day 2009-2010. The arrow represents OPEX Day.
Looks trade-able to me. What do you think? Don't know if I will have time this week, but if someone pulls the net gain/loss of trading in the markets the 9 days or 1 week before OPEX, then out until the next 9 days or 1 week prior, what return would you have over this timeframe? This chart is by week. This approach would fit within our IFT limitations.
I think this is the trend RuffRyder was to trying to identify before he fell off the face of the earth.....
PS... just an observation- 3 out of the 4 Red weeks in 2009 essentially washed, for minimal gain loss.
So out of 19 weeks, 14 were up substantially, 3 washed, and 2 lost.
For me, the washed weeks are winners, so with that in mind, that makes it 89% probability of a win over 1.75 years and the crash.
Looks trade-able to me. What do you think? Don't know if I will have time this week, but if someone pulls the net gain/loss of trading in the markets the 9 days or 1 week before OPEX, then out until the next 9 days or 1 week prior, what return would you have over this timeframe? This chart is by week. This approach would fit within our IFT limitations.
I think this is the trend RuffRyder was to trying to identify before he fell off the face of the earth.....
PS... just an observation- 3 out of the 4 Red weeks in 2009 essentially washed, for minimal gain loss.
So out of 19 weeks, 14 were up substantially, 3 washed, and 2 lost.
For me, the washed weeks are winners, so with that in mind, that makes it 89% probability of a win over 1.75 years and the crash.
I've done some sudies in the past on Options Expiration and if you pull up a farmer's almanac you'll find some tidbits in there too. Truth is I've not found a pattern I've felt I could get an edge off of, enough to justify making a trade. My view is it can increase volitilaty, and/or increase the intensity of price direction.
View attachment 9807
Last edited: