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Looks like we made a pretty good move going 100% into I yesterday as I is setting up to be an OUTSTANDING day today. Now just got to figure out the right time to exit. Im leaning towards getting out of I today, but not certain yet as the markets havent opened.Any thoughts on how you are going to play it Griffin?
Anyway you decide to play it, stay in stocks until this sucker starts to implode. Don't try to incorporate capital preservation. In hindsight, this should have been the strategy through all of September which is the same conclusion I came to in April about the first half of the year. I've been kicking my own butt for not following that lesson learned. I even mentioned this in several other comments in the past month, but I got cocky after pulling a 5+% return in August.
Dave - thank you.
FS - If we get stripped of the gains through FV tonight, I may hang out in the I through Monday. As you mentioned earlier - the foreign markets are riding low in their channels - I really do not see a catastrophe developing here.
This is totally a gut feeling and has no basis in reality but....my crusty balls tell me - the CPI data is going to come out tomorrow and folks are going to realize we are NOT headed for a recession, then the Fed is going to throw us a rate hike, and folks are going to realize that the economy is still trucking along, too fast. I don't want to get all Birchtree here, but in my gut, I feel we are headed for a rally that leaves us a solid 2-3% over May's highs - despite the common logic you would hold for the CPI and the Fed.
Test is a success.
Hey, Griffin, he is beautiful!
Is he for real ??![]()
...think he wants to go for a run...??
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(hey Board - I had to have something to do while I waste away in G.....)
Griffin,
Just wanted to pass along a thank-you as a new member but long time watcher for the information that you post. I am attempting to educate myself on the markets and trends that this information might (or might not) bear on my TSP account. It is obvious that you and many others make an earnest attempt to gauge market conditions and post your thoughts on what they mean: it is a real source of information to all of us on this site.
Thanks again.
BigJohn
It looks like there may be some juice left in the OSM for us today after all! Although, theres not quite the historical rally on C and S happening right now that I would expect. Im thinking about moving into G from this position.
I am definitely happy with the direction the Nikkei took today. But I am a bit disappointed in the Eurozones lack of follow through. With the OSMs flirting with support, the potential for some significant positive action is out there.
What does OSM stand for? (Thanks in advance.)