GDPNow GDP Estimates

First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On April 29, the standard GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 is -2.7 percent. The alternative model growth estimate is -1.5 percent.

 
Initial Estimate of Second-Quarter GDP Growth Is 2.4 Percent

On April 30, the initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 2.4 percent.

 
Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On May 1, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 1.1 percent, down from 2.4 percent on April 30.
The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, May 6.

 
Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On May 6, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 2.2 percent, up from 1.1 percent on May 1.

 
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