GDPNow GDP Estimates

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On August 19, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 2.3 percent, down from 2.5 percent on August 15.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

 

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On August 26, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 2.2 percent, down from 2.3 percent on August 19.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

 

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Big adjustment:

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On August 29, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.5 percent, up from 2.2 percent on August 26.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

 

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On September 2, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.0 percent, down from 3.5 percent on August 29.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

 

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On September 16, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.4 percent, up from 3.1 percent on September 10.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

 

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On September 16, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.4 percent, up from 3.1 percent on September 10.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

 

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On September 26, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.9 percent, up from 3.3 percent on September 17.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

 

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On November 3, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 4.0 percent, up from 3.9 percent on October 27.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

 

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On November 17, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 4.1 percent, up from 4.0 percent on November 6.
The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, November 19.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

 

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Interest rates are lower and quantitative tightening is ending next month with GDP at 4.2% plus? What's not to like?


Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On November 19, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 4.2 percent, up from 4.1 percent on November 17.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

 

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On November 25, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 4.0 percent, down from 4.2 percent on November 21.

 

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On November 26, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.9 percent, down from 4.0 percent on November 25.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

 

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On December 4, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.8 percent, down from 3.9 percent on December 1.