GDPNow GDP Estimates

[tsptalk]

A technical recession looks certain.


Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On July 1, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is -2.1 percent, down from -1.0 percent on June 30.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Recession is almost official:

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On June 30, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is -1.0 percent, down from 0.3 percent on June 27.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx


Sell the rumor, buy the news? :scratchchin:

 

[tsptalk]

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Ticks Up

On June 27, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is 0.3 percent, up from 0.0 percent on June 16.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On June 15, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is 0.0 percent, down from 0.9 percent on June 8.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On June 7, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is 0.9 percent, down from 1.3 percent on June 1.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Falls

On June 1, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is 1.3 percent, down from 1.9 percent on May 27.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Up

On May 27, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is 1.9 percent, up from 1.8 percent on May 25.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On May 25, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is 1.8 percent, down from 2.4 percent on May 18.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases

On May 17, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is 2.5 percent, up from 1.8 percent on May 9.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On May 9, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is 1.8 percent, down from 2.2 percent on May 4.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases

On May 4, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is 2.2 percent, up from 1.6 percent on May 2.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Down

On May 2, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is 1.6 percent, down from 1.9 percent on April 29.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Initial Estimate of Second-Quarter GDP Growth Is 1.9 Percent

On April 29, the first GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is 1.9 percent.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On April 26, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2022 is 0.4 percent, down from 1.3 percent on April 19.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Up

On April 19, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2022 is 1.3 percent, up from 1.1 percent on April 14.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Ticks Up

On April 8, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2022 is 1.1 percent, up from 0.9 percent on April 5.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On April 5, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2022 is 0.9 percent, down from 1.5 percent on April 1.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

First-Quarter GDP Growth EstimateTicks Up

On April 1, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2022 is 1.5 percent, up from 1.3 percent on March 31.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

First-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On March 24, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2022 is 0.9 percent, down from 1.3 percent on March 17.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[FAAM]

Wow - reading all the successive posts here from JAN '22 till now gives me a whoopsie-doopsie "WHIPSAW" feeling (Ha). I've been fairly conservative with my TSP allocations for years leading up to my recent retirement - & now too; I'm 96% in G now & do not know what to make of the markets, future(s) and world events. I sure do appreciate all I read on TSP-Talk though! Thanks.