350zCommTech
Well-known member
It just means there's nowhere else to go but...
You must have two big bowling balls!!!
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Fivetears Account Talk
- Thread starter Fivetears
- Start date
You must have two big bowling balls!!!
350zCommTech
Well-known member
Two reports are due out tomorrow on the economic homefront; Durable Goods Orders & New Home Sales for the month of December. DG is forecasted at 7% while the USM expects 3.5%. That's the good news. NHS on the other hand is forcasted at 1055K while the USM expects 1050K. Up only 5K; no big party there. These two reports should be on the table well before the TSP IFT cut-off time.
Good luck all.
Holding 100% I.
Good luck all.
Holding 100% I.
Foghorn
Member
Fivetears: Will have the time and access to list a quick synopsis of these reports tomorrow morning? I'd appreciate it if you did. I don't always have time nor enough computer access at work to review reports. When I get the time I post my moves and that's all I get.
Foghorn
Will do Foghorn. 
The way I see it, we got a huge gift today, in that our drop (Percentage Wise) was only 0.99%. Things looked real ugly on the EAFE as everyone has surely learned by now. The S lost 1.06% and the C lost 1.15%.
Percentage's drive me. My goal this year is to beat the I fund, and I am presently doing that by 1.28%. As long as I stay put, I win my personal market battle. Birch, I missed the sign of today's pull-back, but I have gained some knowledge in the process. Riding and working these whipsaw markets isn't easy.
For some odd reason, I feel it's important to say, folks far from retirement should not let account dollar figures and fund share prices influence their decision making process's involving IFT's. On a personal note, I used to let them. But when I found myself becoming angry about loosing $1,000+ bucks on a bad IFT choice... I had to change my way of looking at things. Again... percentage's now drive me; I say let them drive you. I want 24% (or better) for 2007.
The way I see it, we got a huge gift today, in that our drop (Percentage Wise) was only 0.99%. Things looked real ugly on the EAFE as everyone has surely learned by now. The S lost 1.06% and the C lost 1.15%.
Percentage's drive me. My goal this year is to beat the I fund, and I am presently doing that by 1.28%. As long as I stay put, I win my personal market battle. Birch, I missed the sign of today's pull-back, but I have gained some knowledge in the process. Riding and working these whipsaw markets isn't easy.
For some odd reason, I feel it's important to say, folks far from retirement should not let account dollar figures and fund share prices influence their decision making process's involving IFT's. On a personal note, I used to let them. But when I found myself becoming angry about loosing $1,000+ bucks on a bad IFT choice... I had to change my way of looking at things. Again... percentage's now drive me; I say let them drive you. I want 24% (or better) for 2007.
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
5T,
IMHO, there wasen't a "sign". Maybe, a lack of a sign! The breakout had not established a trend (a brief pull-back and an advance) so a bull trap was a possibility. It happens! One thing that can mitigate a trap is lowering the risk and not playing 100% (RE: G-fund ointment).
Ideally, one would wait till the trend is established. However, in reality once it gets established it quickly becomes over-bought.......:suspicious:
A good conundrum!........
Maybe the process should be a mix of BAH and Bunny Hopping!...... ......Nnuut has the BH down pretty good!
Regards, and be careful!............ ............Spaf
IMHO, there wasen't a "sign". Maybe, a lack of a sign! The breakout had not established a trend (a brief pull-back and an advance) so a bull trap was a possibility. It happens! One thing that can mitigate a trap is lowering the risk and not playing 100% (RE: G-fund ointment).
Ideally, one would wait till the trend is established. However, in reality once it gets established it quickly becomes over-bought.......:suspicious:
A good conundrum!........
Maybe the process should be a mix of BAH and Bunny Hopping!......
......Nnuut has the BH down pretty good!Regards, and be careful!............
............SpafYessiree Mr. Spaf. I agree on both of your observations.
Maybe the process should be a mix of BAH and Bunny Hopping!......
Regards, and be careful!............
Here ya go Foghorn and anyone else pressed for time.
Durable Goods Orders
Actual 3.1%
Consensus 3.0%
Consensus Range 1.1% to 8.7%
Previous 1.9 %
Manufacturing is showing signs of strengthening with the latest report on durables orders. The rebound was led by the transportation component but was still healthy in other components. Overall, today's report shows a rebound in manufacturing. Shipments have been strong and will likely show up in exports and in consumer spending as shipments of nondefense capital goods have been lagging new orders since much of that is for aircraft. Even the auto sector is showing improvement. Today's numbers are going to put upward pressure on interest rates and support the dollar. Equities have been fickle on whether good news is good news or bad news and the reaction could go either way.
New Home Sales
Actual 1,120,000
Consensus 1,050,000
Consensus Range 1,020,000 to 1,100,000
Previous 1,047,000
There's more good news from the housing sector. New home sales rose 4.8 percent in December to a higher-than-expected annual rate of 1.120 million. Though housing supply is still high and indications of strengthening sales are still tentative, more and more signs are pointing to stabilization in the sector in what would be a big success for the Federal Reserve and its efforts to guide the economy on a soft landing. Treasuries eased and the dollar firmed in initial reaction to the data. A further decline in supply would be good for new construction but even holding steady would likely be seen as a positive given the significant decline in November.
http://fidweek.econoday.com/reports/US/EN/New_York/new_home_sales/year/2007/yearly/01/index.html
Durable Goods Orders
Actual 3.1%
Consensus 3.0%
Consensus Range 1.1% to 8.7%
Previous 1.9 %
Manufacturing is showing signs of strengthening with the latest report on durables orders. The rebound was led by the transportation component but was still healthy in other components. Overall, today's report shows a rebound in manufacturing. Shipments have been strong and will likely show up in exports and in consumer spending as shipments of nondefense capital goods have been lagging new orders since much of that is for aircraft. Even the auto sector is showing improvement. Today's numbers are going to put upward pressure on interest rates and support the dollar. Equities have been fickle on whether good news is good news or bad news and the reaction could go either way.
New Home Sales
Actual 1,120,000
Consensus 1,050,000
Consensus Range 1,020,000 to 1,100,000
Previous 1,047,000
There's more good news from the housing sector. New home sales rose 4.8 percent in December to a higher-than-expected annual rate of 1.120 million. Though housing supply is still high and indications of strengthening sales are still tentative, more and more signs are pointing to stabilization in the sector in what would be a big success for the Federal Reserve and its efforts to guide the economy on a soft landing. Treasuries eased and the dollar firmed in initial reaction to the data. A further decline in supply would be good for new construction but even holding steady would likely be seen as a positive given the significant decline in November.
http://fidweek.econoday.com/reports/US/EN/New_York/new_home_sales/year/2007/yearly/01/index.html
Foghorn
Member
Thank you much FiveTears. I just got on. From the looks of it, I'm going to hold my position in stocks.
I really appreciate this.
I really appreciate this.
Lost 1.32% for the week; Still within my 2.00% stop.
Still waiting for the Rokid Talley to see how far up I need to climb again.
I'll right this thing and get 'er going. :nuts:
Looks like I rolled down to 12th.
http://www.tsptalk.com/utilities/tally_012607.pdf
Still waiting for the Rokid Talley to see how far up I need to climb again.
I'll right this thing and get 'er going. :nuts:
Looks like I rolled down to 12th.
http://www.tsptalk.com/utilities/tally_012607.pdf
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Number 11 for week six.
http://www.tsptalk.com/utilities/tally_020207.pdf
Well, at least it's sitting upright on all fours.
The C, S, & I funds are all busted through the top charting channels indicating a possible overbought condition.
I may stay put in the G for now. Not sure yet. :suspicious:
ALSO:
Feb 6, 1:30 PM ET : Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke speaks about the distribution of economic well-being to the Greater Omaha Chamber of Commerce.
Feb 6, 10:00 AM ET : Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to tesify on the FY 2008 budget to the House Ways & Means Committee.
Feb 6, 1:00 PM ET : Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Michael Moskow (FOMC voting member) to speak at a jobs, housing and transportation planning summit.
Feb 6, 2:45 PM ET : Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to testify to Senate Finance Committee on the Bush administration's FY 2008 budget.
Feb 6, 3:30 PM ET : San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Janet Yellen to speak at a conference on the Asian Financial Crisis Revisited.
http://www.tsptalk.com/utilities/tally_020207.pdf
Well, at least it's sitting upright on all fours.
The C, S, & I funds are all busted through the top charting channels indicating a possible overbought condition.
I may stay put in the G for now. Not sure yet. :suspicious:
ALSO:
Feb 6, 1:30 PM ET : Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke speaks about the distribution of economic well-being to the Greater Omaha Chamber of Commerce.
Feb 6, 10:00 AM ET : Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to tesify on the FY 2008 budget to the House Ways & Means Committee.
Feb 6, 1:00 PM ET : Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Michael Moskow (FOMC voting member) to speak at a jobs, housing and transportation planning summit.
Feb 6, 2:45 PM ET : Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to testify to Senate Finance Committee on the Bush administration's FY 2008 budget.
Feb 6, 3:30 PM ET : San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Janet Yellen to speak at a conference on the Asian Financial Crisis Revisited.
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