Fivetears Account Talk

[Fivetears]

Threw my pens and rulers in the trash. These markets are just not guess-able. :nuts:

 

[Fivetears]

Wait a minute... perhaps they are. :notrust:

 

[Fivetears]

Sitting in an 18.92% YTD return at COB today in the G-Fund ; very pleased with my luck so far, and will drive away from the mud pits until I see a marked pull-back :notrust: .

 

[Show-me]

Good job Fivetears, nice return! I am looking at a little G fund time myself.

 

[Birchtree]

Go ahead you two - hop on that lilly pad. That will give me a chance to play catch up. Just the break I need.

 

[Show-me]

Go ahead you two - hop on that lilly pad. That will give me a chance to play catch up. Just the break I need.

Hey,

Old salty dog like you needs a like break now and then.:laugh:

 

[Fivetears]

Ya have to admit... the markets have been on fire, and could use a little bucket of water thrown on 'em; like maybe a 3 - 4% bucket over the next two weeks. If not... then I'm back in the pit with everyone else. I just sense a very short term pull-back is coming; nothing technical to substantiate it though. :notrust: Just a gut feeling. Probabally gas. :embarrest:

 

[Fivetears]

Spinning a 19.02% YTD. The "G" lilly pad doesn't float well either. I'm mud logged.
Looks like the Dems (and America) may have got their wishes. Texas will keep Republican Governor Perry; Not much to chose from though locally.

I wonder how our markets will react in the AM. :notrust:

 

[Fivetears]

Spinning a 19.13% YTD. The "G" lilly pad finally decomposed while waiting for a market dip. Its either sink or swim in the I-Pit; the S is just so over-bought right now. This was probably not one of my wiser moves. But then again... very, very few of my moves have any technical wisdom. I'll be looking for a new lilly pad in the meantime.

 

[Fivetears]

Looks like there's very little love in the International Pit today. On the other hand, there's love in the house; Pelosi made it. A nice victory for hard working women in the US. I'm no Democrat... but I can appreciate seeing National equal opportunity in action.

 

[kar_crazy]

here is a elci I painted and sold on ebay not bad but lost some $$$$

 

[Fivetears]

Split personality in the auto world. Car? Truck? My plate says truck.
Let there be no mistake though... they're Chevrolet's "MULLET" :nuts:
Still love 'em.

 

[Fivetears]

Nothin' beats gettin' your clock cleaned in the I-Fund. My slow STO say's I'm an idiot for being in it; guts feel otherwise.

 

[Fivetears]

Unless the EFA (I-Fund) slow STO %K line bounces back up today to cross the %D trigger line, things are going to get real expensive to continue throwing mud in this pit. Wish I had read up on Stochastics years ago. Thanks for the links to pointers on the subject Showme. I don't completely understand them YET, but it doesn't take a rocket scientist to see the correlation with the crossings matching up with the rise & fall of the fund.

 

[Fivetears]

A nice Stochastic bounce up today on the fast side; a definate intersection into the Red Zone on the SLO STO.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EFA&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p94843503486

I'm off work until December 2nd. :nuts:

 

[Fivetears]

From a historical standpoint regarding the I-Fund for the week after Turkeyday, the past three years go like this:
2003 - $12.15 up to $12.26
2004 - $14.41 up to $15.09
2005 - $16.90 up to $17.09
... every day up.
Wish I had access to 01 & 02 for y'all.

 

[tsptalk]

Good info, and with the dollar tanking again...

Since you are off until Dec 2, how about comparing those gains in the I fund to the C fund? My seasonality chart showed negative returns in the S&P the week after T-Day from 1950 to 2004. I'm wondering if C is down while I is up.

Thanks!

 

[Fivetears]

Very choppy for the C-Fund for the week after Turkeyday, the past three years go like this, Tom:
2003 - $11.19 $11.16 $11.14 $11.19 $11.11
2004 - $12.54 $12.49 $12.68 $12.67 $12.67
2005 - $13.62 $13.62 $13.54 $13.71 $13.71

 

[Fivetears]

With the USD seemingly having a bit of difficulty and volatility, and the EFA slow stochastic graph looking pretty decent, I'll stay in the I-pit. I think there's a bit more mud to be spun through the air.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EFA&p=D&st=2006-01-01&id=p07001365193

 

[Fivetears]

2 weeks in the I-Pit; 21.09% YTD COB today.
I need to figure a way to make up 1.43% to get back on top of it.
Ride another surge in the S if the dollar perks back up? It could happen.

Still 100% in the I-Pit,
but looking for an ugly airborne exit to solid land.