F Fund

COOL!
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I'm Tryin' It!
They don't call it the Fn' fund for nothing.
Ya know how I use technical analysis to plan my allocations? I have been working on this system for 5 years, and back tested it for 3 years. I flip a coin two out of three, if I get two heads I go all "C" fund, two tails all "S" fund, three heads all "I" fund, three tails all "G" fund, if I drop a coin "F" fund!:D Works every time!!:p
 
Bonds pull back on inflation fears
Early Treasury gains erased by stronger-than-expected PPI reading; dollar splits.
NEW YORK - Treasury prices pared early gains Wednesday after a key gauge of inflation at the wholesale level came in higher than expected. Bonds pulled back to mostly unchanged after the government reported that the Producer Price Index reading, or PPI, slowed to a 0.9 percent increase in December, but topped Wall Street expectations. Bond investors fear inflation since it erodes the value of the fixed-income paying investment. On Thursday, bond traders will look for signs about inflation pressure at the retail level with Thursday's consumer prices index for December.
http://money.cnn.com/2007/01/17/markets/bondcenter/bonds/index.htm?postversion=2007011709
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.php?p=72667&postcount=344
 
"F" has gone nnuuts today +.43 at 10:25!! What!!!:D Opps back down to .29% 2 minutes later. Yahoo is having a brain fa$$!
 
... must be yahoo because AGG for my TD Ameritrade account shows today's high for agg at $99.76, the price retreated a tad from there proving the 20 SMA as a point of resistance. Low in the price channel, and oversold in the slow stochs, BUT in the middle of what appears to be a falling wedge.
 
"F" has gone nnuuts today +.43 at 10:25!! What!!!:D Opps back down to .29% 2 minutes later. Yahoo is having a brain fa$$!

Yields have just reversed course and are now even for the day. So no change for the F fund at the moment. I'll bet the pricing figures in the ISM had a lot to do with it.
 
... must be yahoo because AGG for my TD Ameritrade account shows today's high for agg at $99.76, the price retreated a tad from there proving the 20 SMA as a point of resistance. Low in the price channel, and oversold in the slow stochs, BUT in the middle of what appears to be a falling wedge.


Never seen this before.... go to AGG at the bottom of tsptalk and it says the opposite of what Bigcharts is showing...at least at 10:55est.
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?symb=AGG
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=AGG&t=1d
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=^TNX&t=1d&l=on&z=m&q=l&c=
http://money.cnn.com/markets/bondcenter/
 
From Bloomberg..." Bernanke in his twice-yearly Congressional testimony last week helped push up Treasuries by saying inflation pressures may be subsiding. His remarks were followed by data showing drops in new housing construction and industrial production last month.

``There is room for yields to go down,'' said Nagai of Daiwa Securities. ``Inflation is not a serious problem now. The level is high but not accelerating.''

Ten-year yields may fall to 4.5 percent by the end of the month, he said. "


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601009&sid=au8Phq3k3fB4&refer=bond
 
Bad day for the F fund. Looks like a loss of 3 cents so far. Bond yields moved up despite a higher than expected jobless claims. This makes absolutely no sense to me. That's why I will continue to stay away from the F fund. IMHO, the reward is not worth the risk. Perhaps yields are just bouncing of support.

View attachment 1421
 
Hopefully we will get the bounce tomorrow and I can escape the Frog pond. just waiting for the opportunity to get back in stocks. Did I mention I hate the Frog pond?:sick:
 
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