Exnavyew's Account Talk

[exnavyew]

Fill'em up today!!??


[FONT=&quot]According to GasBuddy, the average price of gas will likely set a new all-time record in the next 12 hours.
https://www.wwnytv.com/2022/03/07/g...4 per gallon,according to data from GasBuddy.
[/FONT]

 

[exnavyew]

Say what?

[FONT=&quot]"Every measure we have shows 0% return the next decade" for the S&P 500, Bannister said, pointing to valuations and equity ownership levels among investors.[/FONT]



[h=1]The stock market is poised for a prolonged sell-off later this year after a brief rally driven by seasonal trends, Stifel says[/h]https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/stock-market-poised-prolonged-sell-193715756.html

 

[Whipsaw]

So does that mean we look for good dividend paying stocks/funds as there will be no equity appreciation?

 

[exnavyew]

Time to buy? :scratchchin:


[h=1]Charts suggest the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 could be days away from bottoming, Jim Cramer says[/h]
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/16/cha...days-away-from-bottoming-jim-cramer-says.html

 

[FAAM]

Hmmm - not read the linked piece yet but me thinks the NAZ and SP500 need to quit going up, & go down now, to bottom in days from now.

 

[exnavyew]

FWIW:

[h=1]The Fed is on the verge of repeating history[/h]https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/...epeating-history-morning-brief-091218037.html

 

[exnavyew]

Gulp.


[h=1]Goldman Sachs’ grim message for investors: Your portfolio will flatline this year—and that’s if you’re lucky[/h]https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/goldman-sachs-grim-message-investors-084755287.html

 

[Whipsaw]

Flat is better than down... right? Well, not if inflation is out of control - to answer my own question. :notrust:

 

[exnavyew]

Sure wish we could short TSP.

 

[exnavyew]

Wish I could short TSP!

[h=1]The S&P 500 could fall 17% as a decline in earnings means stocks will provide less protection against high inflation, Morgan Stanley says[/h]https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/p-500-could-fall-17-162936527.html

 

[exnavyew]

Just FYI:


[h=1]Nearly risk-free I bonds to deliver a record 9.62% interest for the next six months[/h]https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/02/i-b...percent-interest-for-the-next-six-months.html

 

[exnavyew]

FWIW: :scratchchin:

[h=1]Markets are due for a 'disappointment' in 2024: Strategist[/h]
Markets are due for a 'disappointment' in 2024: Strategist

 

[exnavyew]

FWIW:

[h=1]The job market is 'where the action is going to be' ahead of Fed rate cuts this fall[/h]
The job market is 'where the action is going to be' ahead of Fed rate cuts this fall

 

[TommyIV]

Like that article pointed out, tomorrow's release of the weekly intial jobless claims will be crucial for investors. The forcast for tomorrow's claims is 236,000. However, the actual number reported has alternated between higher than expected and less than expected over the last seven weeks.



If that trend continues, we would see inital jobless claims come in higher than expected tomorrow and likely take stock prices down.



[h=1]U.S. Initial Jobless Claims[/h]

 

[exnavyew]

Seems like we got a bit of 'buy the rumor, sell the news' action going on lately.
A rate cut seems to be fully baked in now and if anything even remotely seems to threaten that it could scare the market.
And of course we have the quadrennial circus in town as well.

 

[tsptalk]

How about buy the rumor, buy the news?

Chances of a 0.5% cut went down after the retail sales numbers. Still 100% chance of some cut.

 

[exnavyew]

Ha! Really.

[h=1]Surprise jump in retail sales casts aside recession fears[/h]Surprise jump in retail sales casts aside recession fears

 

[exnavyew]

Just FYI:

[h=1]Fed to deliver three 25 quarter-point rate cuts this year; recession unlikely: Reuters poll[/h]
Fed to deliver three 25 quarter-point rate cuts this year; recession unlikely: Reuters poll

 

[exnavyew]

Just FYI, Happy Trading. :smile:

[h=1]Stocks will hit fresh highs in the next 4 weeks — but investors should be careful around this key date, Goldman's trading desk says[/h]
Stocks will hit fresh highs in the next 4 weeks — but investors should be careful around this key date, Goldman's trading desk says

 

[exnavyew]

Just FYI:

[h=1]U.S. Treasury Bond[/h][h=5]Futures and Options[/h]
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/us-treasury/30-year-us-treasury-bond.html