Even more on the I fund

[puertorico]

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[ 1.3% increase of the basic annual salary ]

actual 14% tsp.
Today I will contribute 15% to TSP BEGUINING JANUARY

Today 100%-I-fund expeting to hit 15.00 :^if that happen I'm done "I-FUND"
will be4 days in a row of gain 100-IFUND I can no ask for more.

tODAY for Tomorrow I'LL do the same Tom said plit and diversifie.


allocation between g.c.s.i.25% each

I like to have a least 25% in G just in case of a down move
then I can buy lower.A little caution not bad .The law say
grap the profit...:^

Will be BACk 100% stock inthe last 2 week of december

Thats my scheduled

 

[smedlap]

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Good plan. Market is sagging today and especially the I fund. Will need to see how this plays out as the dollar has continued to drop in value which means the I fund loss will be somewhat deminished. Overseas markets are starting to crack. Thought we could at least get to December 31 before going S account. Will have to watch the softness with Tom as I am feeling it also. Still very happy with past results and can endure some small pain if I need too.

 

[Rod]

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I'm sorry to see those that were in the I Fund yesterday, and still in today, to lose those gains from yesterdayand then some.

I just got in today at 40%, so I lost some with you too. Tomorrow Iwill be 30% I.

Unless the dollar gains backa lotof its strength, I'll probably remain at least 25% I.

Better luck for us tomorrow, fellas!

God Bless:^

 

[puertorico]

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Rod Yesterdays when from 14.85 to 14.91:^

Smedlap
I like to stay in I fund but after some gain is better for me to get
defensive .but good luck to u .may you benefic from dollar down

All people a talk about the market lately,WHen I says ALL my money
is in one stock fun they open their eyes and do not agree which me.

THey sayd to risky betterget diversifie.

 

[Timer]

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smedlap wrote:

Well, at least you ended up firmly in the S fund, a positive return.

smed, I don't know how I got there but I'm glad I'm not in I fund today. Not that S is great today :?. Hmmm..... that G fund is looking better and better. :shock:

 

[Guest]

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puertorico wrote:

Rod Yesterdays when from 14.85 to 14.91:^

Smedlap
I like to stay in I fund but after some gain is better for me to get
defensive .but good luck to u .may you benefic from dollar down

All people a talk about the market lately,WHen I says ALL my money
is in one stock fun they open their eyes and do not agree which me.

THey sayd to risky betterget diversifie.

Prove em wrong PR, I am...........:^

 

[Rod]

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puertorico wrote:

Rod Yesterdays when from 14.85 to 14.91:^

Yes. But it will probably be down to around 14.82 attomorrow's open.

That's what I was referring to.

 

[puertorico]

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:s

 

[coolhand]

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tsptalk wrote:

This article discusses my concerns on playing the international funds with the dollar this low. (How low can it really go?)...

Good question Tom.

Our domestic position continues to be one of letting the market dictate the dollars value. Asia is generally still pegged to our dollar keeping their products competitive in our market. Up until recently forex currency was streaming into our treasuries and holding down long-term interest rates, which continues to spur moredomestic spending (U.S. consumers just can't pass up low interest rates). Having said that it is also clear that forex inflowsare much diminished of late (which is what had kept the dollar from falling even more).

If there is a sell-off of dollars in the forex market the dollar will get weaker and interest rates will rise. I would think the "I" fund will benefit as a sell-off would probably be rather dramatic. Institutional investors in bonds are not going to want to be standing pat if long term bonds shed several points. Hence we would probably also see a lot of domestic pressure on bonds as well. Will this happen? Bond traders are spooked by the possibility as there is a significant forex component in treasuries and bonds.

A sell-off in my opinion is not likely to happen as it would adversely affect the Asian export paradigm. Greenspan expects the global marketplace to gradually correct theexchange imbalances through measured steps over time.

The articledoes not advocate "long-term" investments in foreign equities and to some extent I can understand that. However, we are not talking about 3rd world countrieshere and the companies held by the "I" fund are solid.I think the "I" fund is a great place to invest as long as one understands the risks and watches what is going on in the global economy in terms of currencies and individual (asian, european, and austrailian) markets.

My feeling isthat I think we are getting close to the bottom in terms of a weakdollar. I for one do not expect to hold thefund for too much longer (I play it day-to-day).I think the dollar will fall a little more without direct foreign intervention, but it's getting more difficult to ascertain what may happen. We still have the deficits and trade imbalance which leads me to believe that the dollar is not going to go up too quick if it does start to recover(a dead cat may bounce, but not very high) .

 

[puertorico]

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Rod wrote:

puertorico wrote:

Rod Yesterdays when from 14.85 to 14.91:^

Yes. But it will probably be down to around 14.82 attomorrow's open.

That's what I was referring to.

Wao Rod u make it the call I-FUND wHEn down to 14.83 ...[u said 14.82]
I lost 7 pennys in there now:sfrom 14.91 to 14.83...:s

I- lose 7
s -lose 2
c - lose 5
f - lose 1

fasten ur seatbelt

 

[Guest]

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puertorico wrote:

Rod wrote:

puertorico wrote:

Rod Yesterdays when from 14.85 to 14.91:^

Yes. But it will probably be down to around 14.82 attomorrow's open.

That's what I was referring to.

Wao Rod u make it the call I-FUND wHEn down to 14.83 ...[u said 14.82]
I lost 7 pennys in there now:sfrom 14.91 to 14.83...:s

I- lose 7
s -lose 2
c - lose 5
f - lose 1

fasten ur seatbelt

Tough call an hour and a half before closing, LOL.

 

[puertorico]

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mlk-man

I'mTaking in consideration the dollar vs eurofactor.You dont know if the I fund
finish given some pennys even when I fund is in red.sometimes do ?

 

[smedlap]

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Your most correct puertorico. The dollarvarience has to be factored in. We'll kow tomorrow what the loss is. Patience. However, there have been valued postings regarding the I fund. Tom provided a good post. Agree with the pullback. Of note, his best mark was 1.5% on average for the C fund. I am 5.88% right now for Nov not including today's post. I'm happy. I'm still I and watching S. Let me be frank - the US market is clearly the best. It is just the accounts Delta that is causing the dollar to decline. Let's see how things turn out tomorrow. Think i will still be into G Monday morning waiting for that pullback unless it is on us right now!

 

[smedlap]

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By the way Coolhand - very find post and I agree with every part of your analysis! I remain 100% I, patient and watchful!

 

[Rod]

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That's not too much of a loss for you, PR.:^

Oh I almost forgot, we'll gain most of it back today.:!

 

[smedlap]

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Good morning all.

On 30 November, the EFA recorded a 0.67% loss. This mornings account posting to my TSP I fund after EFA was adjusted to dollar decline reflects a - 0.54% loss. I'll take it and my close out for November of 6.02%

Thanks all for your post contributions. It was a good month and a fun month. I remain 100% I Fund, but watchful. Just a little more!

 

[Guest]

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Hang on! This could be a really great one... more than make up for yesterday... up over 1% at appx 10am :^. Go for the green!

 

[smedlap]

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Chaplain, are you praying for our success?

1. Tuesday GDP in positive!

2. Wednesday US ISM Mfg strong (note - a very poor mfg situation in Europe)!

3. Oil down based on heating oil invetory gains (although we have Christmas tree lighting tonight and it's raining hard with snow to finally come!)

4. Doller continues to slide meaning a further market close positive kicker to the EAFE when the I fund is posted!.

5. Friday - Who dare bets against a good employment report??????

Row, row, row your boat - gently down the I....

 

[puertorico]

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Smelap I'm happy that u patience in I-fund make it :^
Today u gonna be in great shape $$$$$$$

 

[smedlap]

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Thanks puertorico. Nice to hear from you. I think you retreated?? Keep an eye on Coolhand as he plays a Surehand!! I am comfortable with my nearterm startegy and do not feel a change needed. Family is heading back to Phoenix so I'll have some privacy to attempt to study and time the consolidation sometime next week. Will be watching Mike's posts but I think I am more matched with the way Surehand plays. Oh sorry - that's Coolhand!