Even more on the I fund

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Good for you Rod. I love when I love when I "hit the nail on the head" as far as getting out and going to G fund. I think I deserve a beer! Hmmm, what time is it? Oh that's right, it's five o'clock somewhere! :l
 
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For anyone interested, I got a "sell" signal for the I fund on Sept. 2nd. It's not going anywhere too soon................:t
 
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mlk_man wrote:
For anyone interested, I got a "sell" signal for the I fund on Sept. 2nd. It's not going anywhere too soon................:t
Thanks M_M. My luck with the I fund in 04 has not been good. I was thinking about getting in. I'm in C and S now. Time to get out soon?
 
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My "system" said get out now. You've probably noticed the big spike up the indices just had. I think this is due to short selling. Probably go back down by the end of the day. I may for go my "system" next week and hop back in based on historical data. We'll see. I doubt it's gonna go up too much more before we get the dreaded pull back. Then again, some peeps have been calling for a "bull" market all year, so maybe now is the time?

My system's been working so I'll probably just stick with it. Hard to sit around and wait sometimes though.

Hey, why you asking me? Ask MT!!!!! :P
 
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Timer wrote:
mlk_man wrote:
For anyone interested, I got a "sell" signal for the I fund on Sept. 2nd. It's not going anywhere too soon................:t
Thanks M_M. My luck with the I fund in 04 has not been good. I was thinking about getting in. I'm in C and S now. Time to get out soon?
I really would stay away from the I fund though. Appears the dollar may be gaining strength and another rate hike would certainly prove this.

M_M
 
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mlk_man wrote:
Hey, why you asking me? Ask MT!!!!! :P
OK, you caught me, I was just being polite, trying to make you feel better given the crappy year you are having. I admit it, I really only care about what MT thinks.

Seriously, my hat's off to you M_M. You're doing something right.

I care about what everyone thinks, pr, Az, Rolo, Rod, you, even Tom :oo,I take it all in. However, with MT, how do I say this - I think that I am speaking for a lot of us, I haveconcerns about the tone. At first it was stimulating, he's intelligent and a good researcherbut now the tone is often uncouth :h. I, like Rolo am bi-polar so I take exception to the 'label' being used to insult or belittle people but I too get the impression that there is some kind of instability. In the manic mode, bp's are often loquacious and he seems to never have an unspoken thought - he even answers questions pointed at other posters. MT, no offense guy but you should see a good psychiatrist, you show a lot of markers for bp (takes one to know one). Bp is more common than people think. I take mood stabilizers and am fine.
 
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The I fund had a nice day Friday, reaching a two month high. As you might think, the dollar tanked which helped. The dollar is now at a support level where it will be make or break. I will base my short term I fund decisions onwhether this support area holds or not. I'll post the chart in Monday's comments.

Tom
 
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I'm reluctant to jump back into the I fund with an interest rate hike looming. If the dollar continues to struggle post-hike, I'll probably move back in... preferably after the fund dips a bit.
 
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I believe as long as the trade deficient are at these levels ($50b each month) the I fund will do very well. Keep in mind we get over 70% of our oil from foreign markets. It costs them very little to yank out of the ground yet sells for over $40 a barrel. Actually what products are made in U.S. that are cheaper then U.S. made goods? Walmart should be named - MADE IN CHINA. The next rate hike may cause a blip on the NAV of the I fund. I use to do what Tom did and bought into the I fund when the U.S. market had a good day that day. That does not work as well now. Which is a bummer.

Present allocation 50% S and 50% I. Monday should be a good day for both :!.

MT


 
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The US has been running massive trade deficits for years now, so I don't think it has much of an impact on the I fund.

I'd argue that US fiscal policy (or lack thereof) will hurt the I Fund long-term due to the upward pressure that all this deficit spending/debt expansion will place on the interest rates.
 
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Mike,

That is the U.S. sending $50B PER MONTH to I Fund countries. If you have been following the I fund it has outperformed the U.S. Markets for the last three plus years. We have hitting record highs - ding ding - during this period.

When the Japan and European currencies are stronger thing ours the impact of a .25 rate hike is pretty nil.

If you avoid the I fund then you are avoiding the best and least expense ratio fund you will find.

Good luck!

MT

Mike wrote:
The US has been running massive trade deficits for years now, so I don't think it has much of an impact on the I fund.

I'd argue that US fiscal policy (or lack thereof) will hurt the I Fund long-term due to the upward pressure that all this deficit spending/debt expansion will place on the interest rates.
 
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I've avoided it lately. I was holding 30-35% in there through June 30th before I transferred out.

If the coming rate hike doesn't prop up the dollar much, I'll move back in at the next buying opportunity.
 
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Mike wrote:
I've avoided it lately. I was holding 30-35% in there through June 30th before I transferred out.

If the coming rate hike doesn't prop up the dollar much, I'll move back in at the next buying opportunity.
Last 12 months:

I 22.85

S 12.22

c 11.46

Jun #1,Jul #2, Aug #1, that is pretty consistant.

Good luck! MT
 
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If I was really smart, I would've transferred all my C/S/I into G on the 30th (rather than only bailing out of the I fund). Then I could've gotten back in when we hit the August lows. Man, that would've generated nice returns. Blech. :P
 
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MarketTimer wrote:
. If you have been following the I fund it has outperformed the U.S. Markets for the last three plus years. We have hitting record highs - ding ding - during this period.

Wow, MT twisting the facts again to meet his own needs? Say it ain't so Joe!!!!

Since inception in 2001: S fund up 25.2, I fund up 9.54. Which would you rather be in? True the I fund is up the past twelve months, but you said 3 plus years. Just the facts MT, just the facts..........
 
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Notice how MT doesn't respond when he gets "busted"? :u
 
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I guess I'll have to wait for an I fund opening that happens after monday due to the account access blockage in place. Thank you, U.S. government. :P
 
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Just for the fun of it, and from the TSP Historical rate share prices: for 1 year as of 26 Nov the I fund has gained 24%:^, the S Fund 16%:), and the C fund 14%;). Anyone have different figures??? Why split your play? Why play out of the box? Why day trade? Better to play Tom's weekly charts for bumps and curves.

What's hot this next week? - Tuesday - GDP, Wed - ISM MFG Index, Friday - Employment. All should be up:^

Following week - prelude to FOMC and a for sure rate hike:? Mixed feelings as I am 100% I Fund. Where you been Puertorico? In the sunshine! Your play?
 
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I'M HERE SMEDLAP ALL DAYS

I just read to learn an taking ideas from all of you.
Rightnow I-fund 100% .looking forward for a transfer
may be Monday or wendnesday.I dont now if I'm doing
bad but there something in thursdays market that I
do not like. Most of the time when is pay-week. i CAN see...

When wednesday, pay week, my money is deposit in tsp.
nex day the market take part of that money that has been
deposit on wednesday.So,most of the time when thursdays
coming, after that deposit ,take some $$$$$$$$$$$$$:?.
that happen to me in a row but that make me miss a big rally too.

THATwhy I miss the big rally ,2 WEEK ago in that holiday
on thursday and friday.

So that idea of thursdays' bad day most of the time of pay-week.
I cant no take out of my mind...:?Let's see thisthursday.
may I has to start a new and forget:D

About I-FUND
I like it becouse dollarhas noany idea to go up ,just down.
I think we most take advance of that dollar down trend putting
something in I fund.Even in a verry bad day,I-FUND not
look that bad and u finish wich some gain insted of loss.:^

A little fear becouse i-fund almos hittin 15.00 but the season and
the trend is positive.

"warning"

not body take my tips, I'm just a bigginer ok.good luck everybody...:D
 
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