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Even more on the I fund
- Thread starter Wheels
- Start date
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Hi gang, the market is holding and I think nicely as we predicted. A small retraction so far of about 1%. Two big events are in front of us that need attention - OPEC and FOMC. It's not that the results will be bad, just that big players might want to use the opportunity to grab a little extra cash. I do like how the I fund is controlling its losses and hanging in there. That's where i will return to on Tuesday. I like the way you guys are thinking though. You're interacting and now studying the market trends. I can see it in your posts!
Hi gang, the market is holding and I think nicely as we predicted. A small retraction so far of about 1%. Two big events are in front of us that need attention - OPEC and FOMC. It's not that the results will be bad, just that big players might want to use the opportunity to grab a little extra cash. I do like how the I fund is controlling its losses and hanging in there. That's where i will return to on Tuesday. I like the way you guys are thinking though. You're interacting and now studying the market trends. I can see it in your posts!
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I am actually thinking of going 100% G fund until the end of the month...anyone what to join me ?
The economic reports are coming in worse and worse...
I am actually thinking of going 100% G fund until the end of the month...anyone what to join me ?
The economic reports are coming in worse and worse...
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I did not realize we were in such bad shape...raising inventories means squeezed earnings and lay offs down the road.
To bad we can not short the market in the TSP or at the very least do not have to wait a day to get out of dodge.
I am making a ton shorting the market today...but I am stuck in the TSP so I will stay there.
I did not realize we were in such bad shape...raising inventories means squeezed earnings and lay offs down the road.
To bad we can not short the market in the TSP or at the very least do not have to wait a day to get out of dodge.
I am making a ton shorting the market today...but I am stuck in the TSP so I will stay there.
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I agree Tom. Although I nested in I much of November I think I will reenter C Fund Tuesday trading morning. Euro is projected to rise to 1.37 to $1 by March but I think I will be out of the market most of February so I Fund minor gain isn't as intertaining as the C fund strength. Of note, C fund has regained it's losses this week, S fund is sucking eggs likeI fund. Again an excellent market post this AM. I remain 100% G and patient.OPEC meeting so far hasn't cause any real retreat so far but it is also Friday. Be an interesting 3 market days to study! Good luck all!
I agree Tom. Although I nested in I much of November I think I will reenter C Fund Tuesday trading morning. Euro is projected to rise to 1.37 to $1 by March but I think I will be out of the market most of February so I Fund minor gain isn't as intertaining as the C fund strength. Of note, C fund has regained it's losses this week, S fund is sucking eggs likeI fund. Again an excellent market post this AM. I remain 100% G and patient.OPEC meeting so far hasn't cause any real retreat so far but it is also Friday. Be an interesting 3 market days to study! Good luck all!
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I am going to play chicken. As I told eukrate the other day, with all things being equal, I would continue to play the I fund. But I expect the U.S. markets and funds to do well through the end of the year so I don't want to have to worry about if the the dollar is going to rebound. I'll stay heavy in the C and S funds when I make my transfer next week. I won't deal with the I fund for now.
I am going to play chicken. As I told eukrate the other day, with all things being equal, I would continue to play the I fund. But I expect the U.S. markets and funds to do well through the end of the year so I don't want to have to worry about if the the dollar is going to rebound. I'll stay heavy in the C and S funds when I make my transfer next week. I won't deal with the I fund for now.
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tsptalk wrote:
Bill
tsptalk wrote:
Hope you are right but I went G fund and will be very happy with my .01 gain today. The OPEC thugs are going to have their day today. Good luck!
Bill
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After reading the whole article, it doesn't seem that OPEC has really done much this time. I suspect at these prices, even the million barrell a day cut won't hold as they would want to get as much as they can, while they can.
Associated Press
Update 8: Oil Prices Climb on OPEC Production Cuts
12.10.2004, 08:27 AM
Crude futures rose Friday as OPEC delegates said the group agreed to cut production back to target production levels early next year - a move that would take about 1 million barrels a day off the market.
Benchmark light, sweet crude for January delivery traded at $42.90 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up 37 cents. Brent crude was fetching $40.20 on the International Petroleum Exchange, up 53 cents.
http://www.forbes.com/home/feeds/ap/2004/12/10/ap1704277.html
After reading the whole article, it doesn't seem that OPEC has really done much this time. I suspect at these prices, even the million barrell a day cut won't hold as they would want to get as much as they can, while they can.
Associated Press
Update 8: Oil Prices Climb on OPEC Production Cuts
12.10.2004, 08:27 AM
Crude futures rose Friday as OPEC delegates said the group agreed to cut production back to target production levels early next year - a move that would take about 1 million barrels a day off the market.
Benchmark light, sweet crude for January delivery traded at $42.90 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up 37 cents. Brent crude was fetching $40.20 on the International Petroleum Exchange, up 53 cents.
http://www.forbes.com/home/feeds/ap/2004/12/10/ap1704277.html
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Oil production cut to start 1 Feb 05. Another reason to bail out of the market the end of January 2005....but who's crazy idea has been that for months?
Good luck!
Oil production cut to start 1 Feb 05. Another reason to bail out of the market the end of January 2005....but who's crazy idea has been that for months?
Good luck!
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Good morning Chaplain and Bill, Market Timer. I too will enjoy a quick G fund take, and I agree with you chaplain on the oil. Reduction will not take effect until January and will not impact until April. Look how long it tookfrom ramp upproduction to delivery in refinery tanks. Acompora and most everyone else ispredicting a good 6 months butbeyond that, a later uncertain assessment. So I still agree with MT onbeing out of the market before the last week in January. I may go back in April and May but too many days out to decide right now. Acompora also predicted 6 month 25% gain but one knows these sayers! Right Chaplain! Would be nice though!Further, the dollar is exoected to continue it's decline. Now while I enjoy the I fund and the posters here, I think I'm going to reenter into the C fundeffective Tuesday morning. Any counter thoughts to keep me out until Wed???
Again, nice post this AM by TSPTALK - Tom or Bill, I'm not sure if I have the real name right?
Happy holidays, and shopping!
Good morning Chaplain and Bill, Market Timer. I too will enjoy a quick G fund take, and I agree with you chaplain on the oil. Reduction will not take effect until January and will not impact until April. Look how long it tookfrom ramp upproduction to delivery in refinery tanks. Acompora and most everyone else ispredicting a good 6 months butbeyond that, a later uncertain assessment. So I still agree with MT onbeing out of the market before the last week in January. I may go back in April and May but too many days out to decide right now. Acompora also predicted 6 month 25% gain but one knows these sayers! Right Chaplain! Would be nice though!Further, the dollar is exoected to continue it's decline. Now while I enjoy the I fund and the posters here, I think I'm going to reenter into the C fundeffective Tuesday morning. Any counter thoughts to keep me out until Wed???
Again, nice post this AM by TSPTALK - Tom or Bill, I'm not sure if I have the real name right?
Happy holidays, and shopping!
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I agree TGA but I still don't think until Tuesday or Wednesday. The dollar is supposed to start declining again. I think the C may have a better run up to New Years' and then maybe the I takes over with just a slight lead. Not to much left to give up even with the Euro at 1.4 and the yen 100 to 1. About a 2% advantage. We keep looking for that "better" consolidation but this is the end of the week on oil warning news and then we have happy monday and I'm sure the cry of inflation warnings. For me - Tues or Wed are better. I've been waiting WHICH SOME TIMES IS HARD!!!!!
I agree TGA but I still don't think until Tuesday or Wednesday. The dollar is supposed to start declining again. I think the C may have a better run up to New Years' and then maybe the I takes over with just a slight lead. Not to much left to give up even with the Euro at 1.4 and the yen 100 to 1. About a 2% advantage. We keep looking for that "better" consolidation but this is the end of the week on oil warning news and then we have happy monday and I'm sure the cry of inflation warnings. For me - Tues or Wed are better. I've been waiting WHICH SOME TIMES IS HARD!!!!!
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Hi guys. I'm sure you have done this. Click on EAFA symble at TSPTALK.com, which will take you to Barchart.com Go to opinion and take a look. Some of us think for many other reasons the I fund is not the right place right now even though it has been great for the year. Maybe next week. I'm 100% in G and enjoying every minute having played I most of November. I fundcertainly will turn but one has the FOMC on Tuesday. Go with the flow and be patient. Good luck and nice weekend. Don't feel bad about a bad day. We have all had too many ourselves and there will unfortunately be more!:^
Hi guys. I'm sure you have done this. Click on EAFA symble at TSPTALK.com, which will take you to Barchart.com Go to opinion and take a look. Some of us think for many other reasons the I fund is not the right place right now even though it has been great for the year. Maybe next week. I'm 100% in G and enjoying every minute having played I most of November. I fundcertainly will turn but one has the FOMC on Tuesday. Go with the flow and be patient. Good luck and nice weekend. Don't feel bad about a bad day. We have all had too many ourselves and there will unfortunately be more!:^
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