Epic's Account Talk

Another FYI....
10 year Bond Auction set to happen at 1pm Eastern today (in 30 minutes). I don't know much about it, but that seems to be the Buzz at the moment. Maybe that will contribute to volatility???
:dunno:

What does it mean to auction a bond?
A government bond auction is the process of selling short and long-term government bonds to investors in an attempt to minimize the cost of financing national debt. The process starts with the central bank announcing how much money it intends to borrow.
 
Treasury auctions are a cost-effective way to obtain financing from markets. The yield on these securities is determined through a public auction process. Those yields affect the secondary market for U.S. Treasuries. As I’m sure you’re aware, this is why yields and bond prices move in opposing directions.

Of course a better way to do it is to stop borrowing money and spend only what comes in. :laugh:
Like the rest of us.
 
site looks a little weird this morning :dunno:
Just FYI article. I think I'm slowly being desensitized to these types of insane numbers (billions and trillions), but I guess that's what we're stuck with. It still freaks me out though.
:scared1:
reuters.com
I'll just copy and paste here so you can avoid all the stupid ad's.

Fed’s aggressive rate-hiking campaign results in record loss of $114B for 2023

NEW YORK, Jan 12 (Reuters) - Rising income expenses pushed the Federal Reserve system deep into a record loss last year, the central bank said in preliminary figures released on Friday.
Fed income after expenses came in at a negative $114.3 billion last year, versus $58.8 billion in positive income the year before. The loss was tied to a jump in interest expenses faced by the central bank amid a rate hike campaign aimed at cooling inflation.
The Fed paid a mix of financial institutions $281.1 billion last year, versus $102.4 billion in 2022. Meanwhile, interest it earned from bonds the central bank owns totaled $163.8 billion last year, versus $170 billion in 2022. The Fed said operating expenses at the 12 regional banks, which are quasi private institutions overseen by the Fed Board of Governors, stood at $5.5 billion in 2023.
The Fed pays banks, financial firms and other eligible money managers interest to park cash on the central bank’s books as part of how it implements monetary policy and controls short-term rates. Aggressive Fed rate increases, starting in the spring of 2022 when the central bank's rate target was at near-zero levels, pushed that rate range to between 5.25% and 5.5% as of the December Federal Open Market Committee meeting, with the collective impact of those action ending the Fed's streak of strong profitability.
The Fed funds itself through interest it earns on securities it owns and via services it provides banks. Usually it is profitable and hands excess earnings back to the Treasury as required by law. When it loses money it books what it calls a deferred asset which tallies the loss, which the Fed expects to cover over time before again handing profits back to the Treasury.
At the end of last year, the deferred asset stood at $133 billion, and as of Jan. 10, it stood at $136.9 billion. Forecasting how big the loss will be is challenging because it depends on what the Fed does with interest rates, as well as how much further it shrinks its holdings of the bonds it currently earns interest from.
The Fed is almost certainly done raising rates based on officials' comments and if markets are right the central bank may be cutting them by spring. Meanwhile, it may also be approaching the end game for balance sheet shrinkage.
This could ultimately cap the losses, which until recently some analysts were putting in the $150 billion to $200 billion range. Meanwhile, recent research from the St. Louis Fed said it would likely take the Fed four or so years to cover its loss and start returning money to the Treasury.
Losing money doesn't impair the Fed's ability to conduct monetary policy, officials have stressed repeatedly. At the same time, the Fed has yet to face any real political pushback over the losses.


Reporting by Michael S. Derby; Editing by Andrea Ricci
 
Something for the Small Caps Crew (S-Fund). Not S-Fund specific, but just small caps in general. :cheesy:

Small cap stocks could soar as much as 60% in 2024 on compelling valuations, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee.

An overlooked area of the stock market is set to soar in 2024 after significantly underperforming the S&P 500 last year, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee.
In an interview on Tuesday, Lee told CNBC that small cap stocks could soar as much as 60% this year thanks to compelling valuations relative to the S&P 500.

Read more here >>> An overlooked area of the stock market could soar 60% in 2024 with valuations signaling a big run ahead, Fundstrat says

:banana::banana::banana:
 
Not TSP related, but:
Just
ONCEwould I like to catch one of these first thing, but nooooooooooooooooooooooooo . . . . . . . .
RVSN.PNG
Trying to do 30 things at once all morning, as usual. Didn't see it till around noon, and by then it was too late. RageB.PNG ​UUGGHHHH......

MyLuck.PNG :lmao:
 
Okay, so................. Nice run up for starting the week off on a Monday. I don't like that they ALL (C, S, I & F) shot up at the same time. That's never normal behavior. It's just not, but so be it.

1-29-24.PNG

Just be careful, and remember that tomorrow is......

TT.jpg





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Good Morning.....
Since Tom Lee is all the buzz lately with his "moving forward" insight and his fairly accurate market predictions, what better way to start the day.........
This is from yesterday
:D. Best of luck everyone !!!
Investors should brace for markets to hit an 'air pocket' after recent rally, says Tom Lee



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