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Ebb's Account Talk
- Thread starter ebbnflow
- Start date
TSP-roulette
Well-known member
Re: Brain Exercise
TENTATIVE
TENTATIVE
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
You must have been thrown off by the girl that looks like she's about to take a plunge.
Nope. The 9-letter word contains the letters T and N (in no particular order).
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Not that word either, ramen. The 9-letter word contains the letters T, N, and R, in no particular order. It's a simple word.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
If you look at the girl sitting with her back against a wall of water you'd be deceived. But if you tilt your head to the right and look at the same picture, it all becomes clearer...the girl is lying with her back on top of the swimming pool. It gives you a different perspective, doesn't it? :nuts:
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
What 9-letter word do these pictures have in common? And, a Merry Christmas to all!
Not too generic in this case because we have a couple of meanings in this puzzle. You are getting quite good at this, ramen!
A) Indifferent.
B) Seeing it differently.
C) Different shades of green.
D) Different perspective.
TSP-roulette
Well-known member
One more try...."CONNECTED"... Merry Christmas Everyone; Santa's almost here in my neck of the woods.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Played mind games with a nephew this holiday. I had him standing in front of a bookcase sideways facing me. I then pointed a laser pen on the wall next to the bookcase. As I concentrated, I told him to watch how I can make the laser point scatter and become fuzzy. Unbeknownst to him, I pasted a small piece of aluminum foil on the side of the bookcase beforehand.
Whenever I want the laser point to scatter, I merely bounce it off the irregular surface of the aluminum foil (and not the wall). Boy, was he surprised when I hand him the laser and no matter how hard he tried, can't do the same thing. He is a big fan of Star Wars, so I kept telling him to think like a Jedi.
Whenever I want the laser point to scatter, I merely bounce it off the irregular surface of the aluminum foil (and not the wall). Boy, was he surprised when I hand him the laser and no matter how hard he tried, can't do the same thing. He is a big fan of Star Wars, so I kept telling him to think like a Jedi.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
A double pattern 8-8 (Jan. 14-15) showed up on the ebbchart for this Tuesday and Wednesday, so I did an IFT before noon today. The 1st day has a win percentage of 54% while the 2nd day has a win percentage of 70%. With the gains today, I hope there's more left tomorrow. It's only a one day move to the S-fund, so I'm back on the sidelines (F-fund) by Thursday. By the way, the last four excursions I did because of a bullish double pattern resulted in gains (+0.72%, +0.73%, +0.11%, +1.99%). Might need a little luck here.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
A double pattern 8-8 (Jan. 14-15) showed up on the ebbchart for this Tuesday and Wednesday, so I did an IFT before noon today. The 1st day has a win percentage of 54% while the 2nd day has a win percentage of 70%. With the gains today, I hope there's more left tomorrow. It's only a one day move to the S-fund, so I'm back on the sidelines (F-fund) by Thursday. By the way, the last four excursions I did because of a bullish double pattern resulted in gains (+0.72%, +0.73%, +0.11%, +1.99%). Might need a little luck here.
It was another successful entry into equities (only for one day on Jan. 15/Wednesday, S-fund, gain +0.52%). So far, all five entries using double patterns (started in 2013) have resulted in gains (+0.72%, +0.73%, +0.11%, +1.99%, +0.52%). The system went back in the F-fund on Jan. 16/Thursday for a gain of +0.22%. Today, the F-fund had a gain of +0.05% while the S-fund lost -0.35%. The ebbchart system is now up +1.53% for the year.
Last edited:
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Still Clueless?
Below is the 7-yr. ebbtally chart for the ebbchart patterns. If you want to have an idea what the ebbcharts expect of the funds (C, S, I) on any given day, then this is the chart to look at. Don't mind the bottom-half of the chart, it just tells us the expected win percentages of the patterns after x number of wins/losses.
Today (Friday): Pattern 7/red-grn-grn (see chart below).
7-yr. win percentage (CSI 51.7%): C 54.0%, S 53.0%, I 48.0%.
7-yr. S&P 500 win percentage: 54.8%.
How to use this information to gauge the funds' strength or weakness today:
Pattern 7's win percentage in the C-fund (54.0%) is below the S&P 500's win percentage of 54.8%, so the forecast here is for weakness in the C-fund. The pattern's win percentages in the S (53.0%) and I-fund (48.0%) falls below 54.8%, so selling pressure in these funds are also expected.
Below is the 7-yr. ebbtally chart for the ebbchart patterns. If you want to have an idea what the ebbcharts expect of the funds (C, S, I) on any given day, then this is the chart to look at. Don't mind the bottom-half of the chart, it just tells us the expected win percentages of the patterns after x number of wins/losses.
Today (Friday): Pattern 7/red-grn-grn (see chart below).
7-yr. win percentage (CSI 51.7%): C 54.0%, S 53.0%, I 48.0%.
7-yr. S&P 500 win percentage: 54.8%.
How to use this information to gauge the funds' strength or weakness today:
Pattern 7's win percentage in the C-fund (54.0%) is below the S&P 500's win percentage of 54.8%, so the forecast here is for weakness in the C-fund. The pattern's win percentages in the S (53.0%) and I-fund (48.0%) falls below 54.8%, so selling pressure in these funds are also expected.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Re: Still Clueless?
Official results: G +0.01, F +0.11%, C -2.09%, S -2.50%, I -2.78%.
Now that's what I call a perfect snapshot. The results followed the relative weakness in pattern 7's win percentages (C 54%, S 53%, I 48%) for the funds to a tee. With the I-fund having a win percentage of only 48%, it's not a surprise that it took the worst hit.
The sell-off is going to leave a sea of red in the autotracker. The system should be up +1.87% for the year, and squeeze it into the top ten.
Below is the 7-yr. ebbtally chart for the ebbchart patterns. If you want to have an idea what the ebbcharts expect of the funds (C, S, I) on any given day, then this is the chart to look at. Don't mind the bottom-half of the chart, it just tells us the expected win percentages of the patterns after x number of wins/losses.
Today (Friday): Pattern 7/red-grn-grn (see chart below).
7-yr. win percentage (CSI 51.7%): C 54.0%, S 53.0%, I 48.0%.
7-yr. S&P 500 win percentage: 54.8%.
How to use this information to gauge the funds' strength or weakness today:
Pattern 7's win percentage in the C-fund (54.0%) is below the S&P 500's win percentage of 54.8%, so the forecast here is for weakness in the C-fund. The pattern's win percentages in the S (53.0%) and I-fund (48.0%) falls below 54.8%, so selling pressure in these funds are also expected.
Official results: G +0.01, F +0.11%, C -2.09%, S -2.50%, I -2.78%.
Now that's what I call a perfect snapshot. The results followed the relative weakness in pattern 7's win percentages (C 54%, S 53%, I 48%) for the funds to a tee. With the I-fund having a win percentage of only 48%, it's not a surprise that it took the worst hit.
The sell-off is going to leave a sea of red in the autotracker. The system should be up +1.87% for the year, and squeeze it into the top ten.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Re: Still Clueless?
Tuesday's MSCI EAFE guesstimate is for a loss of -1.42% in the I-fund. But if we add Monday's FV buffer of +1.12%, then it's only a loss of -0.30% in the I-fund.
It was a great month for the system, up +2.17% for January. That would place it at #9 on the autotracker.
Tuesday's MSCI EAFE guesstimate is for a loss of -1.42% in the I-fund. But if we add Monday's FV buffer of +1.12%, then it's only a loss of -0.30% in the I-fund.
It was a great month for the system, up +2.17% for January. That would place it at #9 on the autotracker.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Re: Still Clueless?
We have pattern 7/red-grn-grn on Friday and pattern 8/red-grn-red next week on Monday (see chart below)
Gauge: Win percentages falling below the 7-yr. S&P 500 win percentage of 54.7% faces selling pressure.
Note: Pattern 7/red-grn-grn has a win percentage of 53% in the S-fund and pattern 8/red-grn-red is even worse at only 52% (see chart below). I'd be concerned being in the S-fund for the next couple of trading sessions.
We have pattern 7/red-grn-grn on Friday and pattern 8/red-grn-red next week on Monday (see chart below)
Gauge: Win percentages falling below the 7-yr. S&P 500 win percentage of 54.7% faces selling pressure.
Note: Pattern 7/red-grn-grn has a win percentage of 53% in the S-fund and pattern 8/red-grn-red is even worse at only 52% (see chart below). I'd be concerned being in the S-fund for the next couple of trading sessions.
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