-
Please read our AutoTracker policy on the IFT deadline and remaining active. Thanks!
-
$ - Premium Service Content (Info) | AutoTracker Monthly Winners | Is Gmail et al, Blocking Our emails?
Find us on: Facebook & X | Posting Copyrighted Material
-
Join the TSP Talk AutoTracker: How to Get Started | Login | Main AutoTracker Page
-
The Forum works well on MOBILE devices without an app: Just go to: https://forum.tsptalk.com ...
Or you can now use TapaTalk again!
Ebb's Account Talk
- Thread starter ebbnflow
- Start date
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Unofficial results for today:
S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.47%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.30%; EFA (I-fund): +0.42%.
Monday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.20% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).
TNA: +0.90% (YTD: +23.08%).
The market showed two faces today, down-before-noon and up-at-the-close. Jumping back in if it's down was supposed to be good, but we got faked instead. :suspicious:
Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.
S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.47%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.30%; EFA (I-fund): +0.42%.
Monday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.20% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).
TNA: +0.90% (YTD: +23.08%).
The market showed two faces today, down-before-noon and up-at-the-close. Jumping back in if it's down was supposed to be good, but we got faked instead. :suspicious:
Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Unofficial results for today:
S&P 500 (C-fund): +1.04%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.34%; EFA (I-fund): +1.42%.
Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +1.46% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).
TNA: +4.80% (YTD: +28.86%). Time to stick a fork in it?
Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.
S&P 500 (C-fund): +1.04%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.34%; EFA (I-fund): +1.42%.
Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +1.46% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).
TNA: +4.80% (YTD: +28.86%). Time to stick a fork in it?
Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
This post is about the initial timing of triple patterns.
The stats below show how the triple patterns can be 10 days early or two months late, and still end up catching most of the gains and losses. Here are the key entry (red) and exit (green) signals of the triple patterns (using the S-fund):
4-4-4-4 (Dec. 07, 2007 - Apr. 17, 2009): Avoided loss of -39%.
Selling two months earlier (Oct. 10, 2007): Avoided loss of -42%.
5-5-5 (Apr. 20, 2009 - Jun. 09, 2011): Gained +79%.
Buying a month plus earlier (March 09, 2009): Gained +143%.
2-2-2 (Jun. 10, 2011 - Sep. 22, 2011): Sidestepped loss of -17%.
Selling a month later (Jul. 07, 2011): Sidestepped loss of -23%.
3-3-3-3 (Sep. 23, 2011 - xxx): Gained +50%.
Buying 10 days later (Oct. 03, 2011): Gained +58%.
I thought bullish red pattern 5-5-5 did exceptionally well, but seeing what missing a month's worth of early gains meant really surprised me (compounding can do that).
The stats below show how the triple patterns can be 10 days early or two months late, and still end up catching most of the gains and losses. Here are the key entry (red) and exit (green) signals of the triple patterns (using the S-fund):
4-4-4-4 (Dec. 07, 2007 - Apr. 17, 2009): Avoided loss of -39%.
Selling two months earlier (Oct. 10, 2007): Avoided loss of -42%.
5-5-5 (Apr. 20, 2009 - Jun. 09, 2011): Gained +79%.
Buying a month plus earlier (March 09, 2009): Gained +143%.
2-2-2 (Jun. 10, 2011 - Sep. 22, 2011): Sidestepped loss of -17%.
Selling a month later (Jul. 07, 2011): Sidestepped loss of -23%.
3-3-3-3 (Sep. 23, 2011 - xxx): Gained +50%.
Buying 10 days later (Oct. 03, 2011): Gained +58%.
I thought bullish red pattern 5-5-5 did exceptionally well, but seeing what missing a month's worth of early gains meant really surprised me (compounding can do that).
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Unofficial results for today:
S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.00%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.39%; EFA (I-fund): +0.86%.
Wednesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.98% for the I-fund (no FV tonight). The I-fund racks up another solid gain, but the late afternoon swoon leaves something to be desired. :suspicious:
TNA: +1.65% (YTD: +30.99%). TNA using the triple patterns (YTD): +37.12%.
Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.
S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.00%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.39%; EFA (I-fund): +0.86%.
Wednesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.98% for the I-fund (no FV tonight). The I-fund racks up another solid gain, but the late afternoon swoon leaves something to be desired. :suspicious:
TNA: +1.65% (YTD: +30.99%). TNA using the triple patterns (YTD): +37.12%.
Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
I am reposting this comment (made a couple days ago) because it helps explain why triple patterns work.
Right from the get-go, I had a feeling that there was a signal in the ebbcharts just waiting to be discovered. A couple years ago, I thought I saw it in the form of a triple pattern (5-5-5). It took time for the triple patterns to present itself, but fortunately I was able to piece things together early last year. I knew about all this because of fractal patterns -- zoomed in, small patterns appear, but zoomed out, we see the same patterns, only bigger. Now, let’s take a gander at the ebbchart patterns -- each day a bullish or bearish pattern is produced, but in a longer time frame, we can find a pattern that’s three times as big (triple pattern). And guess what, the same bullish or bearish behavior is exhibited by the bigger pattern, only longer. Ain't that a kicker! :nuts:
Right from the get-go, I had a feeling that there was a signal in the ebbcharts just waiting to be discovered. A couple years ago, I thought I saw it in the form of a triple pattern (5-5-5). It took time for the triple patterns to present itself, but fortunately I was able to piece things together early last year. I knew about all this because of fractal patterns -- zoomed in, small patterns appear, but zoomed out, we see the same patterns, only bigger. Now, let’s take a gander at the ebbchart patterns -- each day a bullish or bearish pattern is produced, but in a longer time frame, we can find a pattern that’s three times as big (triple pattern). And guess what, the same bullish or bearish behavior is exhibited by the bigger pattern, only longer. Ain't that a kicker! :nuts:
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Unofficial results for today:
S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.40%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.64%; EFA (I-fund): +0.53%.
Thursday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.75% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).
TNA: +1.86% (YTD: +33.43%). There's a reason why stocks are making a mad grab for gains (be wary). :suspicious:
Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.
S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.40%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.64%; EFA (I-fund): +0.53%.
Thursday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.75% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).
TNA: +1.86% (YTD: +33.43%). There's a reason why stocks are making a mad grab for gains (be wary). :suspicious:
Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Jpcavin, thanks for taking notice of the triple patterns. Obviously, you haven't checked the links (my sig) I provide in every post I make. But if you did, but somehow can't access it, here's another link: What a triple pattern looks like in an EbbChart.
Folks, this is the reason I keep "spamming" whenever I can.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
You must have been blinded by the charts. Try squinting your eyes at first, then prepare yourself for...when the light hits your eye, like a big pizza pie, that's amore. Bells will ring, ting-a-ling-a-ling, ting-a-ling-a-ling and you'll sing... :laugh:
Seriously, a daily ebbchart pattern consists of red and green signals. Pattern 1 is green-green-green, pattern 2 is green-green-red, pattern 3 is green-red-red, pattern 4 is green-red-green, pattern 5 is red-red-red, pattern 6 is red-red-green, pattern 7 is red-green-green, and pattern 8 is red-green-red. Eight possible combinations in all. :toung:
A triple pattern consists of the same pattern stretched over three or four consecutive days. It's hard not to miss, and you really don't have to know anything else about the charts. Example: Monday shows a pattern 5/red-red-red, Tuesday shows another pattern 5/red-red-red, and Wednesday shows a third pattern 5/red-red-red. It doesn't occur often, but when it does, watch out.
jpcavin
Well-known member
Ok, I think I've graduated from First Grade to Second Grade.
I'm self diagnosed OCD so I find this extremely fascinating. I have a couple of questions (imagine that). I don't know what is considered proprietary and what's not so please excuse my ignorance and just tell me you can't answer if that is the case...
1. When you come upon a triple pattern, at what point do you make your entry/exit? At the start of the pattern or at the end or at another point in time?
2. What determines the color(red or green) of a particular cell for any given day? I stared at the chart for quite some time but there was no epiphany.
I'm self diagnosed OCD so I find this extremely fascinating. I have a couple of questions (imagine that). I don't know what is considered proprietary and what's not so please excuse my ignorance and just tell me you can't answer if that is the case...
1. When you come upon a triple pattern, at what point do you make your entry/exit? At the start of the pattern or at the end or at another point in time?
2. What determines the color(red or green) of a particular cell for any given day? I stared at the chart for quite some time but there was no epiphany.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Unofficial results for today:
S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.18%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.43%; EFA (I-fund): +0.10%.
Friday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.07% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).
TNA: -1.48% (YTD: +31.46%). Market experiences fainting spells (3 days in a row). Diagnosis: Fear, stress.
Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.
S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.18%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.43%; EFA (I-fund): +0.10%.
Friday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.07% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).
TNA: -1.48% (YTD: +31.46%). Market experiences fainting spells (3 days in a row). Diagnosis: Fear, stress.
Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
Ok, I think I've graduated from First Grade to Second Grade.
I'm self diagnosed OCD so I find this extremely fascinating. I have a couple of questions (imagine that). I don't know what is considered proprietary and what's not so please excuse my ignorance and just tell me you can't answer if that is the case...
1. When you come upon a triple pattern, at what point do you make your entry/exit? At the start of the pattern or at the end or at another point in time?
2. What determines the color(red or green) of a particular cell for any given day? I stared at the chart for quite some time but there was no epiphany.
The entry/exit is made at the start of the pattern. The initial timing of triple patterns can be late or early, but so far it has never failed to catch most of the gains and losses.
The red and green signals are determined mostly by the price and volume my ebbtracker database keeps track of. The daily ebbchart patterns have been following the market's rhythm since 2007, so predicting its bear or bull cycle phase is not a problem.
Last edited:
rcknfrewld
Active member
Glad you started your own thread...hopefully the troll stays away
rcknfrewld
Active member
maybe I should have added a smiley face...just reacting to what I read...nothing personal...
rcknfrewld
Active member
Letting everyone know the troll sent me a nasty private message...you just proved me right
Similar threads
- Article
- Article
