DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

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Happy Friday to Everyone!!!!

Just looked at charts and definitely not getting in today. Looks like Stochastic is starting to cross below its signal line to move below 80. I am thinking market is going to test the 20 day SMA (mid-point on Bollinger Bands) or possibly a bit lower but in that area only because this also looks to be the next support zone down around 2740-2720 on C fund. If that does not hold then we might test the October lows. Keeping fingers crossed that we just test the mid-point on Bollinger band. Same thing for S fund around 1340-1320.


Hope you have a Great Weekend and Best Wishes on Your Investments!!! :smile: :dance:
 
Agreed. I’m not liking this enough to accept risk level. Taking my profit (reduced from my riding too long) and going back to the pad.
 
DreamboatAnnie said:
I know.... its crazy right??? :laugh:
Click to expand...

DB, I have been watching that chart you put up to see how it is plays out https://www.marketwatch.com/story/k...obal-risk-2018-09-04?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo. It is very interesting and today this was posted about small caps. I noticed the chart and Im wondering if we are in that small dip after the initial high in Nov. Going to have to keep my eyes open. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a...in-a-key-gauge-of-small-cap-stocks-2018-11-09.
 
I went back into the G Fund COB today. Should have got out yesterday, but wanted to see if it could hold. Looks like those gaps are going to fill. Oh well, I'm happy with a 2% gain for November.:banana:
Have a great weekend!
 
My biggest scare of the day was GE getting an analysis valuation adjusted down to $6 per share. Even if not true it still has fallen 50% this year. Combine that with a potential 50/200 crossover and call me spooked.

To all....Good luck on trades, have a great weekend, and a monster THANKS to all the veterans out there!
 
Sorry for posting a day late, but I still want to tell all Veterans and those serving our country, THANK YOU FOR YOUR SERVICE to our country!! Because of you we are Free. May God Bless You and Your Families Always!!!!

Yesterday I watched ceremony at Suresnes American Cemetery in Paris, where Trump honored Veterans and commemorated 100th Anniversary of the WWI Armistice. Very touching.


Happy_Veterans_Day_2011_06.jpg
 
Humm… I did not look at markets until 10 minutes before end of day. I must say I was surprised to see it test the next support level down in one swoop down. But it did with C fund closing at 2726.22 and S closing at 1322.47 Not sure if we hold here and move up, or if we move to next level down which would be to test the October lows. Still staying out and waiting for it to reach down to the 20 Stochastic line. If we continue downward a bit more, the 50 SMA will cross below the 200 SMA to hit a Death Cross on the S Fund (DWCPF) chart.

Both the S and C fund lost about 1.93% today but I understand it will not show up until COB Tuesday. But understand if you exited on Monday, it will record that loss (and would not net against Tuesday's gain or loss), or so I understand.


Wishing you all the best!!!!!! :smile:

DreamboatAnnie said:
… Looks like Stochastic is starting to cross below its signal line to move below 80. I am thinking market is going to test the 20 day SMA (mid-point on Bollinger Bands) or possibly a bit lower but in that area only because this also looks to be the next support zone down around 2740-2720 on C fund. If that does not hold then we might test the October lows. Keeping fingers crossed that we just test the mid-point on Bollinger band. Same thing for S fund around 1340-1320...
Click to expand...
 
BamaAF said:
I retired at 56 in Dec 2015 -- Taxes are hitting me pretty hard on my TSP withdrawals - still haven't got it down
Click to expand...

Bama due to the new tax law it is pretty hard to figure right now. I try to keep withdrawals within the lowest tax brackets (when added to other retirement income). After this year's computation should be a little easier to project.
 
Your C and S ranges are the bumpers this morning. I hope I'm wrong but another ceiling may be getting built.
 
I hope another ceiling is not built. But then again... I think already is and now just adding more plaster. If it goes back up then maybe the worse is over at least for a few days. Will see....
In any case, I am not thinking of entering at this point. Looking more like maybe wait until next week.

Right now Intradays are up... S fund up +.99% and C fund up +.62%. Good. A little bounce back up. Looks like it is trying to build an inside day type candle. Short term MACD (5,9,2) ticked up a tad . Just going to need to watch the next few days to see how it does. Hoping this support level holds... if not, October lows are next.

Best Wishes to Everyone on their investments!!!!!!! :smile:
 
Mcqlives said:
Generally I agree with the benefits of Roth...but not necessarily in regards to TSP. You have to look at the tax brackets you are in while working and what your TSP contributions do to drop you into a lower bracket. If you are 24% ($82.5g to $157.5g) bracket you have already paid taxes on what you throw into Roth at that rate. If you throw it into TSP (with the very low costs) and draw down in retirement you likely will be in the 22% bracket. This could make regular IRAs more cost effective than Roths when you are on retirement income (again-likely lower income and lower taxes).

Everyone has to crunch their numbers...
Click to expand...
Just wanted to comment on this...very good points ! Thank you Mcqlives! :smile: Also, a big Thanks to Alevin, BamaAF, daze823, Clester and Scout333 on your points on this topic too... I gave some reputation points to extent that I could. :D. Retirement and TSP points very helpful. Hoping to retire in a few years.
 
Hi Quabit, That is what I was hoping but apparently not---not with the drops that have happened this week. :(

As for the Death Cross in Russell 2000, you can see that our S fund (DWCPF) is about there too! But by the time this milestone is hit, the market is already seriously down. So I guess that is why the article mentions this is viewed by some as signifying a longer downtrend.

quabit said:
DB, I have been watching that chart you put up to see how it is plays out https://www.marketwatch.com/story/k...obal-risk-2018-09-04?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo. It is very interesting and today this was posted about small caps. I noticed the chart and Im wondering if we are in that small dip after the initial high in Nov. Going to have to keep my eyes open. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a...in-a-key-gauge-of-small-cap-stocks-2018-11-09.
Click to expand...
 
Last edited:
S fund COB

I like to be mindful of 10 SMA crossing below 20 SMA, and 20 SMA crossing below 50 SMA....or when the Bollinger band Mid-Point (equals 20 SMA) is sloped downward. Entries during those times are higher risk. As of late, I am trying to only enter when I think there will be a quick bounce and try to only stay in a few days. Finding the bottom is very hard. ugghhh… looking for it to hit 20 Stochastic before entry.

View attachment 43759
 
Ohhhh... not a good day on market again... uggh… I was hoping to get in today and hoping it would be a bit neutral. Reassessing if I want to enter at this point. Is this Grinch market going to take my turkey leg too??? Dang....:blink:

Wishing you all the best in your investments!!!!!! :smile:
 
With such a icky morning its time to get moving.... one of my favorite dance songs... J LO !! Oh yeah... she kicks it out of the park... I like that little weird change in the middle... oh yeah … time to shake it and take a little dance around the kitchen.. !! ( This market sure aint) This video will wake up men a little more then me but that is ok! as I do have coffee!! :laugh: She is one of the most beautiful women in the world, talented and great voice! :smile:


P.S. Hoping to be able to sing this in December for Karaoke party at a great Karaoke bar... but will do with sis as it requires two voices due to the vocal layering. Still working it....:D
 
I thought about buying in at least a bit today.... but decided it is best to not get in the way of the fast moving freight train... going downhill. :(

The cow guy ( Steve Shalady) on FBN thinks this drop is due to sentiment and algorithmic trading...these folks want tp people with weak hands out of the market.


Varney says the following 5 are what is causing this: Dems won so no new tax stimulus, Global slow down, no good news out of China, Goldman sees economy slowing down late next year, plus Tech bust---going on now.

Of course there are many talking about the Fed and raising interest rates and more importantly that they say what will be done in next 18 months, etc. hmm....

Best wishes to you on your investments!!!!! I definitely feel for anyone in the market right now... its hard. Keep you chin up and this too shall pass.... hopefully soon. But at some point, must consider conserving your capital...:( Of course, I am now hearing some saying this is close to bottom.... I guess because blood is in the streets. So some are saying to buy... You always have folks with opposing views. Some see this as an opportunity.
 
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