DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

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to understand that you would have to go down the rabbit hole of currency valuations and geo-political friendliness to business money. I kind of take stuff like that into account via a grey, murky haze as the backdrop to where the "real" money is going. I always look at the fv applied to the I fund and shake my head in frustration.
 
Now hearing the Parliament will vote on that Brexit agreement a day earlier on December 11, so I guess article linked above was not correct.

I am thinking about changing my allocation today.... possibly moving more to C fund ..looks to be gaining more in comparison to S fund. Also thinking to reduce overall exposure....hum.. maybe change from 80S/20C.... to 20G/10S/70C.
 
So I do feel comfortable at 75% exposure to equities. No further reduction today. Charts still showing upward momentum in Stochastics and MACD. Overhead Resistance still a little ways up. Looking good today! :dance:

Best wishes to you all!!!!!!!! :smile:
 
Good call on the reallocation. Since we are so close to end of month I am following with something similar. That way I start off December with my 2 moves to play with. Just wish I had gotten online yesterday to move a bunch to c.

Correction: no move for me. Used both of mine already so can only go to G now. Letting it ride for at least today.
 
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well....maybe not. Seems to be a neutral day...like market waiting on more news. here are daily charts as of a few mins ago. C fund still looks stronger; hence my reallocation yesterday...but S fund definitely getting weaker. I am looking at how the Stochastic and MACD lines (5,9,2 most sensitive) are starting to touch their signal lines...look like they are going to cross to go lower. also look at the bars on MACD getting smaller. C fund still sloped up and looks good. I may exit the remaining 5% left in S fund tomorrow...will see. i should do it today.

image.png

image.png
 
IMO....still a maybe. Both c and funds are in a winding up mode while they wait to see. C is just trying to get a head start.
 
Not liking this pause point in the climb up. Possible ceilings forming around 2734 for c and 1333 for s. Could be ok still but makes me fear a pop and drop.

If this is a ceiling forming it likely will qualify as a strong lower high and I be thinking bearish from here on out.
 
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Just looked at your crystal ball chart again. Not a mirror image, by any means, anymore...but this action today may have put December’s portion as possible again. 😀
 
And now we are at the 2734ish (C) and 1333ish (S) pause points again. 20 or so minutes to decide but getting less confident of further gains now. Seems like the bears are fighting to make the lower lows and lower highs a reality.
 
I wish I had reduced exposure another 25%. But will see about doing it tomorrow. The 2734ish number for C Fund stuck it out for the day. ..ended a tiny tad higher, and same for S Fund. I would like to be 50% invested moving into December, but will see how things look. My thought is to exit as soon as Stochastic touches 80, but will see how other indicators look before exiting. Still using bear strategy (quick in and out and reducing exposure ) and I am not anticipating a long upswing, but we shall see...I still think prices will drop again before Santa truly arrives later in month!

Best Wishes and Good Night!!!!!! :smile:

C Fund 3 mos 11-29-18.png

S Fund 3 mos.png
 
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One thing I really like is that the Mid-point line on Bollinger Bands for both C and S fund charts are just starting to slope up. That is very positive.
 
Decision made to reduce exposure to 50% C fund with rest in G fund.

Hoping for a neutral to up day. So doing this means I meet my goal of only being invested 50% going into December. While I think we will get some positive news out of the G20, I prefer to not count on it. The MACD (5,9,2) is headed upward but I can also see that the momentum is slowing (see MACD histogram bars). That is the same for both S and C fund. Obviously this does not predict the future, but we getting closer to being over bought (reaching 80 on Stochastic). I wanted to reduce exposure yesterday only because I thought many would want to book some gains today and that could still occur as a fade towards end of day, but I just want to keep myself in a position to not be fully invested until we clearly are out of the downtrend. The mid-point on Bollinger bands is a great confidence builder and indicates to me that this could be the case. Will see...


Best Wishes to you on Your Investments and Wishing you all a GREAT Weekend!!!!!!!! :smile:
 
DBA,

Who knows what DJT will do, say or tweet with Navarro and XI at the dinner table tomorrow night. I'm cautiously optimistic though.

HAGWE
 
Hotwings, Looks like Trump and Xi came through. But I am a bit surprised that the rally is not greater. It was over +400 on DOW this morning and now it is faded quite a bit down to a positive +218. I am thinking to exit today. Problem is I would like to just reduce exposure further from 50% to 25% in equities but that would waste an IFT … with only 2 IFTs for the month. I am thinking one to fully exit and then 1 to enter just before the Santa Rally which typically comes later in the month.

Here are the charts right now. We have gapped up. We are getting close to overhead resistance. My goal of staying in until we reached oversold 80 on Stochastic has been met. Of course it doesn't mean it can't go higher, but now looking at MACD (5,9,2) and do see a little weakness coming for S fund. C fund seems okay right now. I may let it ride one more day as I am only in the C fund …. Will see..

Best Wishes to you and Everyone on Your Investments!!!!!! :)


C Fund 3 mos 12-3-18.png

S Fund 3 mos.png 12-3-18.png
 
Oh man, DBA....Why you do this to me?!?!?! I was just going to say that I'm bailing to G and you post this???

Talk about a mind %^#:eek:
 
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