DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

[DreamboatAnnie]

P.S. Thers is also Puerto Rico. I understand a big debt payment comes due May 1. Have not heard much about that lately. So another possible monkey wrench! Yes, i know...im hoping all goes well. Where is Birchtree's optimism when you need it? Lol....

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Woo... hooo!!!! So now what? :smile:

Reduce exposure???? or keep hoping the rocket ship is not stopping anytime soon?????

Best Wishes to Everyone on Your Investments!!!!! :smile:

P.S. Will make decision on reducing exposure a bit more in the next 15 minutes. This is a tough call but 3 days up.... ahhhhh...

Decision made. Even though 3 days of upward momentum, I am staying in. There will be a gap down---though no telling when. But I am comfortable with the 40% in right now. I think it has more steam left ...but expect to see it get a little more volatile when it starts to consolidate. Do not want to fight the momentum. These Charts are what I have been DREAMIN of!! SO I will enjoy it! Maybe exit tomorrow or Friday or next week or so. Will see how the wind is blowing....... Don't have access to business news right now, but noticed price is starting to drop (intraday) ever so slightly now. Not sure what the afternoon will bring.... could be a totally different critter by then!! But happy for now!!

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

So momentum is still to the upside. Lots of news could affect market. So still debating partial if not a complete exit... I really do not want to exit with momentum up as I did get in near start of this latest rally. A few big ones report today (Alphabet, Amazon) and one more really big one... forget... plus tons of others. Reportedly good possibility of healthcare vote maybe Friday or Saturday. Still the momentum is what is great. Then again the problem is that the momentum is great. Is market too exuberant?? Is it time to exit? Will prices fade Friday afternoon if I wait until tomorrow? Who knows.... ?

May reduce exposure and pocket a little more today. Maybe go G-80, S20 to pull another 20% out of S. Will see.... seems very conservative, but then again ... I am.

But I would just like to stay in... I still think this market has a little more juice... just not sure I want to risk it... so leaning towards at least that partial exit. Typically my strategy says to get out 2-3 days after a candle wick touches the 20 EMA line after having been within the 10 EMA trend channel on strong upward momentum (which this is) but I do not know if I will follow it this time. Bad.. Bad... Bad.

Best Wishes to you and Everyone on Your Investments!!!!!!!!! :smile:

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Decision made... reducing exposure to 20%S and going into May with that allocation until the Strategy exit is triggered. Rest in G fund. I feel comfortable with that. Someone said something about taking little bites... oh wait... maybe that was poker!!!

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Hi, So, I've been out of sorts lately. I'm sorry. I am much better. I hope you all are doing well.
Wishing you a peaceful and happy weekend.

Best wishes to you on your Investments!!!!!!! :smile:

P.S. will hopefully post some this weekend...

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Good morning! I've been enjoying the short and concise training videos on indicators on the Stock Market Strategy website. Really good tips!

This one is on Stochastics. Definitely worth listening to this 7 minute video, as well as all others on this site! Just click on video link after you get to link below. Best wishes! :smile:
Get your coffee ready... and enjoy!

Stochastic
https://www.stock-market-strategy.com/tutorials/stochastic

Moving averages
https://www.stock-market-strategy.com/tutorials/moving-averages-ma

Length of MA
https://www.stock-market-strategy.com/tutorials/what-moving-average-length-should-i-be-using

MACD
https://www.stock-market-strategy.com/tutorials/moving-average-convergence-divergence-macd

Bollinger bands
https://www.stock-market-strategy.com/tutorials/bollinger-bands

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

.. so got to go hear a blues/rock band in downtown Austin today. Band: Rochelle and the Sidewinders. Rochelle has a MAGNIFICENT voice. Band has awesome lead guitar and sax player. Went with a friend.. had a few Lemon drop shots, Lemon drop martinis and Mexican Martinis. ha ha.. the band commented on the party style when we sat down and in a few minutes had delivery of shots and martinis. :laugh: Very good time!

But the band topped it all .. Rochelle had pipes as strong as Aretha and Chaka Kahn. They sang their own tunes plus stuff by 60s-70 bands including Van Morrison, James Brown, etc but all sung in blues and soulful way. There is nothing like great music to lift your spirits!!!

So going back for Mother's Day afternoon and dinner at Truluck's next Sunday! Bringing sons so they can hear this awesome band! Nice outdoor venue on 5th street, Austin.

Best wishes to everyone and hope you are having a wonderful Sunday and Weekend!!!! :smile:

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Hi, Many years ago, I took a management class. Took all kinds of tests, but what I remember is that it said I was not high in resilience. I never could understand what that meant. But I think I do now. It is like you can't change your thinking or emotions on a dime. It takes a little time.

So, I'm not as fast as others in resolving or accepting changes. And when others are involved, they need to have a little more patience with me for things to work out. But Things eventually can work out well! But often I need that chance.

So, the market has no patience. It moves like lightening. It waits for no one. Analyzing charts must be done carefully and pretty quick to take advantage of a fast market, but I've been moving too slow. So I guess I need to work on that, if its not too late.

I hope i get the chance to rework strategy and turn my stuff around into a win-win. Will see....

Best Wishes to Everyone on Your Investments!!!!!!! :smile:

 

[Whipsaw]

I hear you DBA; I was ready to jump in the S-Fund the other day, would have caught a half percent or so... then I'd be wondering where it is going now, jumping out and being done for the month. Yes, need better analysis skills.

 

[evilanne]

I hope i get the chance to rework strategy and turn my stuff around into a win-win. Will see....

Best Wishes to Everyone on Your Investments!!!!!!! :smile:

I'm having trouble figuring out what you think you need to turn around :scratchchin:

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Myself. I just need a Chance to change my thinking and especially my emotions. I tend to get caught up with emotion and don't change quickly enough to properly suit the situation. But I think I can.

Working to get better skills and looking at market strategy to see what I need to change around. I guess I can only try my best and recognize when situations change more than I thought. The best thing is to try to keep up, accept change completely...and work more diligently to address those changes....within myself...within my own thinking.

Improve technical analysis skills. Build and improve. Stop executing on emotion. Accept and execute on indicators "as they are" and not so much on my emotion. I guess a clearer, well-defined entry and exit strategy would help.

 

[rspring]

DBA, you already have excellent analysis and understanding on how things effect the market. The limits on how many times we can trade in and out of the market causes us to over think our execution because if you get out of the market and don't have another IFT then we might miss out getting back in for a bigger move. I have been able to outperform my TSP account, with my brokerage account (almost twice as much) by being able to not have these restrictions. I will be retiring in a few months and have already started setting up other accounts to move my TSP in to. You might open a brokerage account and see if your performance improves. I'll bet you will be surprised at how much better you will do. Good luck!

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Thanks for the information Rspring. I have been thinking I need to explore Brokerage accounts. Really have not delved into the intricacies of withdrawing money, options of moving money outside TSP, TSP Roth, etc. It's all pretty much Greek to me at this point. I am eligible to retire in June but will keep working at least 3 more years. So I have a little time, but I really need to get into it. Hoping TSP gives more withdrawal options before I retire.

Yep those limited IFTs and that darn LONG lag time after we place our orders and the close can be killers to our profits. That window is way to huge! So much can happen during those few hours. I hold my breath every time I exit. For that reason I like making sure my 2nd IFT of the month is an entry so I have unlimited exits to G fund in increments spread out over a couple days....just in case something unexpected happens that drops the market.

Best wishes on Your Investments!!!!!!!! :smile:

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

exiting my 20% to G fund. Best wishes to Everyone on your Investments!!!!!!! :smile:

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Bringing forward some charts from earlier post.
Also link to futures... Right now DOW down 112 points
Pre-Market Data

Best wishes to you on your Investments!!!!!!! :smile:

CHART LINKS -These should be permanent links that update daily. I hope! :smile: Best wishes to you on Your Investments!!!!!!!!!!
(Note: You can manipulate these to an extent-- Changes to overlays and indicators are limited to 3 each. No intraday options without the subscription--but you can see intraday info on Bigcharts.com)


DAILY

S FUND - DAILY - 6 MONTHS
$DWCPF - SharpCharts Workbench - StockCharts.com

C FUND - DAILY - 6 MONTHS
$SPX - SharpCharts Workbench - StockCharts.com

I FUND - DAILY - 6 MONTHS
EFA - SharpCharts Workbench - StockCharts.com

F FUND - DAILY - 6 MONTHS
AGG - SharpCharts Workbench - StockCharts.com

WEEKLY

S FUND - WEEKLY - 2.5 YRS
$DWCPF - SharpCharts Workbench - StockCharts.com

C FUND - WEEKLY - 2.5 YRS
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=2&mn=6&dy=0&id=p54602226377&a=516248556

I FUND - WEEKLY - 2.5 YRS
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EFA&p=W&yr=2&mn=6&dy=0&id=p59149484914&a=516248955

F FUND - WEEKLY - 2.5 YRS
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AGG&p=W&yr=2&mn=6&dy=0&id=p57787464995&a=516248957

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Just reposting charts - Changed a few settings.

These have two Stochastics:14,3 and 7,3 settings. I am liking the 14, 3 for entries and ecots, but when MACD is below signal line, sometimes it seems the 7,3 marks a top better. The MACD and PMO are virtually the same too! But I am still studying to decide which I like best. PMO is smoother.


6 Month Daily Charts - With 5, 10, 20, 50, 100 Day EMAs

S Fund - $DWCPF
$DWCPF - SharpCharts Workbench - StockCharts.com

C Fund - $SPX
$SPX - SharpCharts Workbench - StockCharts.com

I Fund - EFA
EFA - SharpCharts Workbench - StockCharts.com

F Fund - AGG
AGG - SharpCharts Workbench - StockCharts.com



2 Year WEEKLY Charts - Using 2, 4, 20 Week EMAs

S Fund - $DWCPF
$DWCPF - SharpCharts Workbench - StockCharts.com

C Fund - $SPX
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p67876007293&a=525139660

I Fund - EFA
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EFA&p=W&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p67876007293&a=525140599

F Fund - AGG
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AGG&p=W&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p67876007293&a=525139074


Futures Link
http://www.cnbc.com/pre-markets/


Best Wishes to Everyone on Your Investments!!!!!!!!!! :smile:

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

So I decided to enter. So everyone can start exiting now!

I am in 35S-25C-20I-10F. Last week F and I fund looked best, but now S and C fund are also looking better with a few positive days and most importantly Stochastic touched 20 and now moving up so I am heavier into S and C fund. The only thing that bothers me is that MACD is still below its signal line though moving upward on both charts. If it can clear its signal line in the next day or two, that would indicate a strong move upwards.

The I fund still looks good on daily chart with momentum still up on Stochastic and MACD/PMO but obviously overbought. Still... it looks good and price is within its 10day EMA channel. But the weekly chart shows Stochastic starting to touch signal line so it may drop a bit in short term, but MACD/PMO still upward on that weekly chart.

F fund looked better last week but it also is high and in its 10 day EMA channel on weekly chart. It still looks good as Weekly Stochastic is crossing above its signal line and MACD and PMO still are moving upward. On the daily chart, Stochastic starting to drop below its signal line but MACD/PMO still up.

Best Wishes to Everyone on your investments!!!!!! :smile:

P.S. CBO releases numbers on the Healthcare bill tomorrow, so that will have impact on markets tomorrow.... or ... hum... we will see......:laugh:

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Decided its best to exit F and I fund. So still 35S and 35C. They are looking good.

Best wishes to everyone on your investments!!!!!!!!! :smile:

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Reducing exposure. Going 80G-10S-10C.

 

[rspring]

I took the exit to 85G & 15F today. I always like to exit on a strong positive day. I will have 1 IFT left for hopefully a better entry later in the month. However; it looks like money is being put to work here so who knows if we will get a chance to time a re-entry with our end of day transaction. I wish we had immediate transactions and more IFT's. Best of luck.