DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

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Holding tight for now in equities... but am holding my breath. I knew I should have waited a day... but I was anxious to get in. Yes.. patience is a virtue and that is very hard for me. I have some balance with some in F fund so that takes the edge off. Will see what tomorrow brings!!! A slight pull back is okay... but I have my stop set and will be watching the action closely.

Hope you are all having a great day! Best wishes to you on your investments!!!!!!! :smile:
 
Humm.... so prices dropping. Seems to be holding at support. But candle wick starting to touch 10 DMA line and it looks like a bit of consolidation is starting. So, I will likely exit soon... but not today!

Oddly---the F fund is also dropping with equities. What is up with that????? :suspicious:

Hope you are having a great day!!! Best Wishes to Everyone on your investments!!!!!!! :smile:
 
Nice to see the prices going up. I am now above my entry point on Monday...wheewwwww.... :nuts: I was starting to think I made a very bad mistake to enter market. But will see....I do like that prices are still in the 10 day EMA channel, Bollinger bands sloped up, MACD still has breadth above its signal line. Slow Sto now changed direction upward; but it is a momentum indicator so it always reflects that... but nice to see it going up. Means there is hope!!! More importantly, the 20 EMA is crossing upward above the 50 EMA on some equity charts. It is approaching it on the I Fund (EFA) chart as well.

So at this point, will stick with it... still looking to exit next Tuesday but will see how it goes....
Reportedly the euphoria of EU QE/negative rates should not last long... I mean really... eventually some reality should set in. Really thought about exiting today, but will "gamble" a little longer. Historically, when the 10 and 20 EMAs cross above the 50 EMA, it is OFTEN an indication the bottom has been seen. Look back at 2009, 2011, etc. But then again.. anything can happen so will stick to those daily indicators and not bank on anything...most prudent thing to do. If the bottom falls out quickly, which it still can, I will be only 50% invested which is a prudent overall strategy when in an overall downtrend. This is a nice Counter Rally though! Will enjoy it while it lasts. :dance:

So this is a nice way to start the weekend and a good way to blow off some steam is ........ yes... Karaoke night!!! Woo Hoo...... and a few jello shots to boot!!! Now market, don't you dare blow my high by days end!! :laugh: maybe I should just close my eyes!!! :rolleyes:

Hope you have a Great Weekend!!!! Best Wishes to Everyone on your investments!!!!!!!! :smile:

P.S. Happy Happy Happy...Joy Joy Joy!! :love:
 
Hope everyone is feeling well today :worried: .... gosh... but it's a hum bug of a day. Nice Up-day yesterday and then look at today... ugghh... So will not exit at this time. Will see how tomorrow goes. Darn that Bank of Japan!!! :notrust:

Would like to exit the rest of my position on a good strong Up-day. I am hoping for a strong thrust up on Wednesday after Fed announces they will not raise interest rates (??)... gosh. But will it be seen as good or bad???

Best Wishes to Everyone on your Investments!!!!!!!!!!! :smile:
 
DreamboatAnnie said:
Hope everyone is feeling well today :worried: .... gosh... but it's a hum bug of a day. Nice Up-day yesterday and then look at today... ugghh... So will not exit at this time. Will see how tomorrow goes. Darn that Bank of Japan!!! :notrust:

Would like to exit the rest of my position on a good strong Up-day. I am hoping for a strong thrust up on Wednesday after Fed announces they will not raise interest rates (??)... gosh. But will it be seen as good or bad???

Best Wishes to Everyone on your Investments!!!!!!!!!!! :smile:
Click to expand...

Hang in there Annie! I think you will have the opportunity to sell at higher prices soon. I went 10% F, 30% C, S, & I today on a gut feeling. Also, some articles I've read say it is time to buy the dips. Hope they are right because it's been hard for me to time any due to our restrictions. Best of luck.
 
Well I guess I only hung in a couple more days. I'm still in but very little. Decided to reduce exposure further. Now at 45G/40F/10S/5I.

Yesterday and today seem strong in the F fund and MACD crossing its signal line up... so no reduction.
No reduction in I fund because MACD still has good breadth and 20 EMA is just now crossing the 50 EMA moving up.

Reduced S fund by 1/2 because MACD now going flattish, Slow Stoc starting to move down. Its nice that the 20EMA is already crossed over the 50 EMA... might continue up. So leaving just a bit in. I still think its more probable that it moves down some ..maybe next week.

I am not in C fund, but it looks a little healthier than S fund. C fund has a reducing but still okay breadth with its signal line and sloped up slightly. Slow Sto is just below 90 and Bollinger bands still sloped up. Looks good... too bad I am not in it.

C Fund
S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com

S Fund
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index, XX:DWCPF Advanced Chart - (DJW) XX:DWCPF, Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com


Hope you all are having a great day!!!! Best wishes to everyone on your investments!!!!! :smile:
 
Today looks Great!! Since I have so little skin in the game at this point (15%), I will stay with what I have. No choice to increase position as I am out of IFTs for the month. Plus I am comfortable where I am at right now. I would like to wait a few days just to see if it is going to blow through resistance to newer heights and to wait for a small decrease to get a little better buy in. (obviously at start of April with no IFTs left).

I fund - looks okay. Lots of breadth in MACD above its signal line.

F fund - looks good. Bollinger bands bowing out (expanding) and price along the upper band with slopes up.

C fund - looks good but MACD is starting to get slim....breadth (space between it and its signal line) is starting to decrease but still sloped up. Bollingers are sloped up and price is in the 10 day EMA channel... very nice. More importantly, the 20 EMA is crossed above 50 day EMA for about 7 days now. Good space between the 10 and 20 day EMAs. Blew through the last resistance line around 2015. Price now at 2041 and looks like next resistance is at 2090ish ...Looks like this could continue up for a bit longer (maybe another week?)

S fund - looks good. MACD is starting to lose its breadth but still sloped up, Slow Stochastic above 80 near 90and still heading up. Bollinger bands are sloped up and price is nicely in the 10 day EMA channel. More importantly the 20 day EMA is crossed above the 50 EMA two days ago, so this could be just the start of a larger upthrust? hum... just depends how it handles the major resistance line it is now hitting, which is around 975 to 990. Price is at 985.86. Slow Stochastic is around 85 and heading upward.

We are really at a point of seeing whether the downtrend that started last year is come to an end, or is this just exuberance due to Spring time/cyclical/seasonal up-thrust???? If I had an IFT, I might consider entry/increase here with just a little money...but would like to wait for a little pull back...maybe Monday or Tuesday? Looks like another nice day in the market. In hindsight, starting to think I should not have reduced exposure but I am good with it. It was nice to pocket some change. I continue to be cautious. Still think we are in a downtrend (kinda hard to shake that until I really see a break above the December highs so for now I consider this a very strong counter rally and that is all.)

I hope you have a GREAT weekend! Best Wishes to everyone on your investments !!!!!!!! :smile:

P.S. YOu can click on links from yesterday to view charts. Those links update each day.
 
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All I can say is ditto! inching along .... hmmm... what happens tomorrow.? keep thinking 'twill pull back...

Wishing you a very good evening. Best wishes to everyone on your Investments!!!!!!!!! :smile:
 
You're probably right DBA. I keep reading that the VIX will likely drop into the high 12s by close on Friday and the market may make 2070 and oil $45. So, the market will likely do something else. The only thing that gives me pause is the SO....LOWWWW....VOLUME which seems to keep this market just percolating along.. really weird stuff right now... makes me wonder about full moons, planetary alignments, comets, whatever that makes people goofy.

FS
 
Hi Whipsaw! It all seems weird to me too.

I was just reading Chris Ciovacco's latest article and weekly video. Nnutt has been posting them on the Ciovacco thread and so that is great!... but I had problem getting video to run. Anyways found it on You tube. So I posted it here. Saw his article on safe haven.com too. Here is link to latest article and video. Both very interesting.
I really like his stuff because he keeps focused on technical indicators. In the article he talks a bit about upcoming buyback blackout period. In video he compares current charts to downtrend 2008 and uptrend that started in 2009. Note that while it mentions Feb 12, the video uses 3/18 stock charts.... so it s current.

How Important Is The Coming Buyback Blackout Period For Stocks? | Chris Ciovacco | Safehaven.com


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhkehcrTG74

Good night and best wishes to you and everyone on your investments!!!!!! :smile:
 
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Well I am still in minimally...gettin close to resistance. I want to get out! I should have exited today, but too busy at work. Maybe tomorrow. Just see MACD breadth closing. Still in downtrend until proven otherwise.

Good night and Best wishes to you all on your investments!!!!!!! :smile:
 
Okay... so I am getting out. Just in 15% (10% in S and 5% in I fund), but I see MACD turning down and getting ready to cross below its signal line. Slow Stochastic moving down as well. Plus the Bollingers are starting to turn to slope down. Looks like the party may be over for a bit. :( But oh well... that is how it goes!!! :rolleyes:

I am glad I reduced exposure over the last week or so... pocketed a little coin :D and so the big day down today is not bothering me for an exit. Might bounce up a bit tomorrow (maybe a better exit) but I think it just as well could continue down. Of course, I could be wrong, but I think it best to exit at this point. So, I am out for the month except for the 40% in F fund.

Best wishes to everyone on your Investments!!!!!!!! :smile:
 
Hello everyone,

Feels like forever since I've written. Been working lots and with the Easter weekend and more work.... and playing poker in the club, I'm quite busy.

But getting back to it.. at least for a few days. I am now just in F fund (partly) and took a look at charts. To me that fund is looking good, for a move up.
Wishing you all a very good evening, good day tomorrow (Tuesday) and Best Wishes to you in your investments!!!!!!!!! :smile:


P.S. Yellin talks tomorrow afternoon to some group....can't remember who. So will see how that goes as well. Gosh just wish she would stop talking!!! :blink:



F Fund - AGG - Bollingers are spreading, price is riding the upper band, MACD is sloped up and over its signal line, Slow Stochastic is moving upward and also sloped up. Will see what happens.....
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF, AGG Advanced Chart - (NAR) AGG, iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF Stock Price - BigCharts.com



Oh yes... and here are a few more charts for the other funds.
I can only say the market looks like it is figuring out what to do next.

C fund - SPX - BBs are sloped up, price in 10 day channel... good. But MACD is now touching its signal down.. looks like it will cross down...but will see what happens tomorrow. Slow Stochastic also sloped down and moving in that direction.
S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com


S fund - DWCPF - Upper Bollinger Band starting to slope down (yuk), price fell out of its 10 day channel just a bit, MACD touching its signal line, Slow Stochastic moving down.. near around 35.
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index, XX:DWCPF Advanced Chart - (DJW) XX:DWCPF, Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com


I Fund - EFA - Similar to S fund. 20 still above the 50 daily EMA though.
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF, EFA Advanced Chart - (NAR) EFA, iShares MSCI EAFE ETF Stock Price - BigCharts.com
 
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Wow... Changes, Changes, Changes!! Funny how this market can just turn on a dime. No more IFTs for me... so will sit on the sidelines. So now we know which way the market decided to break, though I do believe it was partly Fed-induced. But again, that has been the case for quite sometime now. So I just want to go with the flow!!!

Wishing you a great Day!! Best Wishes to everyone on your investments!!!!!!! :smile:
 
Well...finally getting back into looking at market. Been on vacation since last week. Charts look iffy. Need to review further.

Looks like MACD in both C and S fund are just starting to cross downward. Tested resistance earlier this week, so maybe tomorrow or next couple days we confirm direction. It could go back up to test again. So far prices have not exceeded the Nov, Dec or Jan highs. Very close to Jan highs...So still a down trend until it breaks through. Earning reports coming up so the proof will be in the pudding!

Good evening and Best wishes to everyone on your investments!!!!!!!!! :smile:

C fund
S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com

I Fund-this one crossed down below signal line for several days, now touching Lower Bollinger band (bowing out) so looks like this is more advanced in downward movement...looks like it could slip more.
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF, EFA Advanced Chart - (NAR) EFA, iShares MSCI EAFE ETF Stock Price - BigCharts.com

S Fund
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index, XX:DWCPF Advanced Chart - (DJW) XX:DWCPF, Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com

F Fund - looking good. MACD has a little breadth above its signal line
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF, AGG Advanced Chart - (NAR) AGG, iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF Stock Price - BigCharts.com
 
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I really love the weekly videos that nnuttposts on Chris Ciovacco thread. Very informative and discusses many technical indicators. In latest post he discusses volume and observes that it was high in Feb rally; but now very low in March rally indicating a weak rally. Yes it was a good rally but institutional investors now out. So not a lot of liquidity in market. Something to consider. Best wishes to you all!!!!!! :smile:
 
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