DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

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Scout333 said:
Thanks for the good wishes DBA! I just put on another layer of super glue in my sticky pants. Yeesh!
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Ouchy! Be careful there! :D

Well... I surely hope it has a nice bounce back up tomorrow and Friday...maybe enough for folks to gain some back.

This market is so very volatile. I was playing around with different Exponential Moving Averages this evening just to see how various settings give cross overs that pan out to give adequate notice to exit before these big red days. No matter what I did it just seems we are in a very tight range and most you have one day to get out after cross over and you still take a hit...though not as much as today's second day punch.

I used 5, 8, 10 day; 2, 5, 7. It just doesn't matter how you slice it...just too volatile. It's almost like you can only stay in a day or two and hope you timed it right on entry. Just so very risky now.

This daily 1-year chart set at 2,4,10. Gosh...just enlarge chart and check out the 2/4 day cross overs!!

S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com

I am thinking to jump in tomorrow and just stay in a day, but then changed mind on that....hummm....so much risk. :(

Well ...like I said earlier, hoping the best for all! Damn crazy market...just so unstable!! I can see it go up a ton and can just as well see it tank very fast. Looking at charts we are at March low levels....definitely could continue its seesaw down to the December or October 2014 level. Tend to think it will do these next two months...so my entry, if I chance it will be very brief!!!

Best Wishes again!!!!!!! :smile:
 
DreamboatAnnie said:
Yes!!! :laugh:

But I cheated. I had to Google it! I'm a noisy trade! The paper even mentions Ira Epstein.

Noise Traders, Market Sentiment, and Futures Price Behavior - ResearchGate

P.s. Hope that is what you were getting at because it was th only acronym that looked to fit! :rolleyes:
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WOW! DBA! :D :D I'm dying... :D ... I think we ARE a noisy trading bunch on this site! But, boy, while it seems DSSW theory certainly applies, you give me waaaaaayyyy too much credit :o... DSSW... 'Did Somebody Say Whipsaw?' :D Sooooooooooo funny! I'm sorry... BTW, your charts and analysis rock; the one you posted yesterday showed the bollinger bands compressing and then boom! The bottom drops out! Now for my real weak point, when to jump back in. Jeeeze, I really hope you're laughing... =:-o
 
That was a great find DBA! You hit it on the head (pearls from the internet). What would we do without Google! We are noisy traders and we don't appear to influence the markets: or for that matter the FRTIB though many have tried!!:D:D:D

FS
 
Whipsaw said:
WOW! DBA! :D :D I'm dying... :D ... I think we ARE a noisy trading bunch on this site! But, boy, while it seems DSSW theory certainly applies, you give me waaaaaayyyy too much credit :o... DSSW... 'Did Somebody Say Whipsaw?' :D Sooooooooooo funny! I'm sorry... BTW, your charts and analysis rock; the one you posted yesterday showed the bollinger bands compressing and then boom! The bottom drops out! Now for my real weak point, when to jump back in. Jeeeze, I really hope you're laughing... =:-o
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Of course I'm laughing!!! :laugh: Quite the coincidence. Last night I thought...ohhh how fun, a new game! Just what I need to keep me out of trouble!! :D

P.S. Gosh... market looking wicked, should I buy in????? Do I want to risk catching falling knife? Then again could be great opportunity.... uGgghh..tring to decide. Maybe get feet wet in a bit....will see..
 
Sometimes when you take that kind of risk you kill it and make big bucks, the majority of times you don't. But if your move into the market on a big loss I think it's a good idea to consider that Dollar Cost Averaging if it continues down, don't get out and lock in your losses.
 
nnuut said:
Sometimes when you take that kind of risk you kill it and make big bucks, the majority of times you don't. But if your move into the market on a big loss I think it's a good idea to consider that Dollar Cost Averaging if it continues down, don't get out and lock in your losses.
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Hi Nnutt...that is definitely what I will be weighing. Futures are down right now but not looking a bad as I feared. As Whipsaw likes to say, lets hope for a DCB!! That is the ony thing I will be waiting/hoping for....still think more downside to come but maybe we get a few days up during middle of week. Will see how sticky my pants are!! I might need some Superglue!!:D

Best Wishes to you and Everyone on investments!!!!!!! :smile:
 
Charts!!!You already know they are bad, but notice we're now at the December/January lows! More downside could get to October lows??? Price is so far outside range of lower Bollinger Band... Gotta hope for a bounce!! If not I will kick myself for the strategy of jumping In Friday. Of course had no idea it would drop that much! Ugghh....well still hoping for the best!!!! :smile:

The SPX/C fund chart is set to show 20,50,200 EMA. We are way below 200.

S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com

DWCPF/SFund
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index, XX:DWCPF Advanced Chart - (DJW) XX:DWCPF, Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com


EFA/I Fund
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF, EFA Advanced Chart - (NAR) EFA, iShares MSCI EAFE ETF Stock Price - BigCharts.com
 
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DreamboatAnnie said:
Hi Nnutt...that is definitely what I will be weighing. Futures are down right now but not looking a bad as I feared. As Whipsaw likes to say, lets hope for a DCB!! That is the ony thing I will be waiting/hoping for....still think more downside to come but maybe we get a few days up during middle of week. Will see how sticky my pants are!! I might need some Superglue!!:D

Best Wishes to you and Everyone on investments!!!!!!! :smile:
Click to expand...

Double down on the super glue! Could be a rocky road for the next 2-3 weeks at least. Good luck to us all!!!
 
Scout333 said:
Double down on the super glue! Could be a rocky road for the next 2-3 weeks at least. Good luck to us all!!!
Click to expand...
Oh NOOOOO..... futures down 800+ points on Dow and 100 points on S&P??? uhhh... I probably will not make it that long. Will have to see... really not expecting this large a drop. I may take a deep breath and wait another day to exit. Just gotta think about it...... :(


Gosh... not sure.... maybe buy in more once a clear bottom is established to try to cut the loss?????
Don't know.... might need to hang in now... but really that seems insane.... then again...
So what to do? For now I am hanging tight.
 
Still have Sticky pants on! No FEAR!!!!!! NO FEAR!!!! Hope to be riding it up soon!! Trying to keep fear in check. Actually it is now just a tiny bit better than it was on the open.... so maybe the those bargain buyers will step in this afternoon. The I Fund and C fund are starting to move up from huge 4% drop to now at about a 2% drop... maybe we seeing the bottom. Hoping it gets better as the day moves on....trying to stay positive.... definitely staying in today.

Best Wishes to Everyone on your investments!!!!! :smile:


this guy is calling for people to go all in! ??

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/24/amid-carnage-strategists-predict-bounce-go-all-in.html
 
Cocky or Stupid??? Yes... now thinking about sinking my other 35% into equities. Most likely would be across the board. Just a thought at this point... have less than an hour to decide. Hum.... that is called DCA...dollar cost averaging??? cut the loss... ??? I might wait on that.... still thinking .... hum...
 
DreamboatAnnie said:
Cocky or Stupid??? Yes... now thinking about sinking my other 35% into equities. Most likely would be across the board. Just a thought at this point... have less than an hour to decide. Hum.... that is called DCA...dollar cost averaging??? cut the loss... ??? I might wait on that.... still thinking .... hum...
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I'm having the same thoughts... not seeing anything but supposition on a bottom being in. A partial position maybe. You've already got a partial position... You have 1 move left?
 
Whipsaw said:
I'm having the same thoughts... not seeing anything but supposition on a bottom being in. A partial position maybe. You've already got a partial position... You have 1 move left?
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yep... just one move left... I think. YES... one moveleft... 11 minutes. I want to go in the rest (35%) to DCA. But I think you said the market turning down again during last hour???? I see it going up right now... but it will likely be a roller coaster and who knows what happens at end of day. uggh... 8 minutes.... OK... I am not going in more... I'm risking enough at 65% in right now.
 
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On a brighter note, this is what I test drove on Saturday with a friend of mine! Wow! What a blast! And yes.i want this Jazz Blue! Put a BIG smile on my face! :D. Switching from Camaro to Challenger.... No not Hellcat, but that is okay. This 2015 SXT plus, base model plus, is a V6, 305 HP, and it Growls!! ........and its puuuurrrrrrrrrrrrrdddyy! In the sun, the speckle metallic paint is gorgeous! Looking to buy by Labor Day!

http://imganuncios.mitula.net/2015_dodge_challenger_sxt_jazz_blue_pearlcoat_in_morada_california_100917449823683381.jpg

http://i.ytimg.com/vi/R0a7Y2vRDJY/maxresdefault.jpg
 
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