Dr Faustus's Account Talk

well, the charts say to get out of the S fund today. But the charts look squirrelly, so I'm not sure what to believe. Still, it's a system, so ... 100%F cob today ( 2/11 )
 
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The charts are saying to get into the S fund today. But ... I've maxed out my monthly IFTs so I can't act on this. But I thought I'd tell everyone out there in TSP land anyway. Happy Rebalancing!
 
The charts are saying to get into the S fund today. But ... I've maxed out my monthly IFTs so I can't act on this. But I thought I'd tell everyone out there in TSP land anyway. Happy Rebalancing!

I think we made very similar recent IFT's. I'm out for the month and can't get back in 'til March. Hopefully a good drop-off follows here, giving us a delicious low to buy back in at!
 
My charts are generating another buy signal for the S fund. Given today's performance so far, this seems like a scary time to buy - lots of fluctuation in the market. I'm going to hold off a bit before pulling the trigger.
 
S fund is still showing a buy ... but I'm still scared to get in. There seems to be a lot of downward pressure in the morning which the markets are having to claw their way out of. Im not sure what this means. The children are antsy but the adults are calm? The adults are playing the children for fools? Im gonna hold off ... am off work tomorrow, so unless I get to a PC, I'll be out for the weekend as well. I dunno ... I just have the feeling there's a huge dropoff out there somewhere and we're driving uphill in the fog.
 
The S fund is showing an ALERT today, signaling a possible buying opportunity. A good showing today would push it into the green, I think.
 
Well, yesterday's performance didn't help us much. Still showing an ALERT for today with a possibility for a BUY signal if we close strong.
 
Am showing a BUY signal for the S fund today. It would take a SERIOUS down day to turn this into a SELL signal tomorrow, so ..... Tally Ho! Im in.
 
Well, back in the days when we were allowed to rebalance every day, my strategy was the 'Dead Cat Bounce' strategy - I'd buy a dip and then get out the next day or so. That worked out fairly well for me - I did ok with it. I suppose my 'system' is based on a similar philosophy but I'm really having a hard time dealing with the IFT limits. Of course, I was never a believer in the theory that the TSP was a low-cost investment strategy anyway - it was low cost because the majority of 'investors' put their money in the G fund and just let it ride. That was proven out when the TSP board freaked because several of us ( and lets face it, a relatively small number of TSP investors ) started to shift money in and out of the I fund on a daily basis. ( Thanks, Ebb! lol :D ) So in their infinite stupidity, they decided to throttle us back. Oh well, it is what it is.
 
Well, this is typical. I get in the market and it takes a nosedive. Someone out there in marketland has it in for me, I swear ....
 
Well .. the S fund is telling me it's time to get out. Trouble is, the F fund is saying the same thing, so ... I guess it's time to switch to G. ( running home to mama with my tail between my legs )
 
Well .. the S fund is telling me it's time to get out. Trouble is, the F fund is saying the same thing, so ... I guess it's time to switch to G. ( running home to mama with my tail between my legs )

I too was considering the F-fund move, but it looks like it was dropping faster than the S and C's and was already at a pretty decent high of close to $18 here recently. I see more pullback to that until I buy into it close to the start of June. (hopefully)
 
Market looks like it's going up today but my charts are indicating that we should continue to hold the phone. It's going to take a +1 sigma or better day to change the indicators from a SELL to an ALERT status. Even a +3 day still only generates an ALERT. So ... my suggestion is to hold the phone for the nonce.
 
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