Consumer Price Index (CPI)

[James48843]

CPI at 3.0%


Inflation held stubbornly around 3% in September, government data showed Friday, but came in slightly cooler than analysts expected across the board as investors continue to assess the Federal Reserve’s path toward its 2% target.

The latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.0% year over year in September, up from 2.9% in August but slightly below economist expectations for a 3.1% increase. That marks the highest reading since May and remains above the 12-month average of 2.7%.

More:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/september-cpi-inflation-comes-in-lower-than-expected-but-holds-firm-near-3-123503719.html

 

[tsptalk]

For future reference:

From briefing.com

CPI For: Sep
Actual: 0.3% |
B.com Forecast: 0.3%
B.com Cons: 0.4%
Prior: 0.4%

Core CPI For: Sep
Actual: 0.2%
B.com Forecast: 0.2%
B.com Cons: 0.3%
Prior: 0.3%

 

[tsptalk]

I could have sworn this was one that was being delayed until January? Maybe it was the PPI?

CPI For: Nov
Actual: 0.2%
B.com Forecast: 0.2%
B.com Cons: 0.3%

Core CPI For: Nov
Actual: 0.2%
B.com Forecast: 0.2%
B.com Cons: 0.3%

 

[tsptalk]

December core consumer prices rose at a 2.6% annual rate, less than expected

The core consumer price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% gain on a monthly basis and 2.6% annually. Both were 0.1 percentage point below expectations.

On a headline basis, the CPI posted an increase of 0.3% for the month, putting the all-items annual rate at 2.7%. Both were exactly in line with the
Dow Jones consensus estimate.

Food prices jumped 0.7% for the month, though egg prices tumbled 8.2% and fell nearly 21% from a year ago after soaring previously.

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/13/cpi-inflation-report-december-2026.html

 

[tsptalk]

Inflation cools more than expected

The annual core consumer price inflation rate in the United States, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, edged down to 2.5% in January 2026, the lowest since March 2021, from 2.6% in the prior month. Figures came in line with market forecasts. The heavyweight shelter index increased 3%, down from December's 3.2%.

Other indexes registered slower price- growth including recreation (2.5% vs 3%) and household furnishings and operations (3.9% vs 4%). Medical care inflation was unchanged at 3.2%, whereas personal care accelerated to 5.4% from 3.7%. On a monthly basis, core consumer prices rose by 0.3%, picking up from the 0.2% increase in the previous month and in line with market expectations.

source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

United States Core Inflation Rate

Core consumer prices in the United States increased 2.50 percent in January of 2026 over the same month in the previous year. This page provides - United States Core Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

tradingeconomics.com

 

[tsptalk]

This was just before oil prices started spiking....

CPI For: Feb
Actual: 0.3%
B.com Forecast: 0.2%
B.com Cons: 0.3%
Prior: 0.2%

Core CPI For: Feb
Actual: 0.2%
B.com Forecast: 0.3%
B.com Cons: 0.2%
Prior: 0.3%

Highlights
Total CPI increased 0.3% month-over-month in February (Briefing.com consensus 0.3%) and was up 2.4% year-over-year, versus 2.4% for the 12 months ending in January.
Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.2% month-over-month (Briefing.com consensus 0.2%) and was up 2.5% year-over-year, versus 2.5% for the 12 months ending in January.

Key Factors
The food index was up 0.4% month-over-month and up 3.1% year-over-year.
The energy index was up 0.6% month-over-month and up 0.5% year-over-year.
The shelter index was up 0.2% month-over-month and up 3.0% year-over-year.
The used cars and trucks index was down 0.4% month-over-month and down 3.2% year-over-year.
The apparel index was up 1.3% month-over-month and up 2.5% year-over-year.
The services index was up 3.1% year-over-year (services less rent of shelter was up 3.3% year-over-year).
The all items index less food, shelter, and energy was up 2.1% year-over-year.

Source: https://www.briefing.com/calendars/...rticleId=ER20260311083000CPI&FileName=cpi.htm