Pre-Bell ☕ Brief 24-Oct-2025

Intela: Pre-Bell ☕ Brief
Time: 2025-10-24 08:05 (ET)

🗝️ Key Takeaway
• Fresh U.S. sanctions on Russian oil lifted energy shares and put SPX within a whisker of record highs. [1]
• U.S. equity futures are modestly green after yesterday’s tech-led pop. [2]
• CPI lands at 08:30: a hot or cool print can set the day’s tone. [3]

💤 What Moved Overnight
• The dollar index DXY is steady near 99: rangebound into CPI. [4]
• Asia followed Wall Street higher as earnings momentum and easing trade angst supported risk. [5]
• Crude holds a ~5% jump after the Russia sanctions headline: energy leadership likely persists early. [6]

🔒 How the Prior Session Closed
SPX +0.60%, Dow +0.30%, Nasdaq +0.90%: broad advance with energy strongest. [7]
• Small caps outperformed: Russell 2000 +1.30% as cyclicals caught a bid. [7]
• Breadth improved and earnings beats helped sentiment into the close. [7]
• Top SPX Winner: DOW (Dow) +12.9% (Materials) [8]
• Bottom SPX Loser: MOH (Molina Healthcare) −17.5% (Health Care) [8]

🏛️ TSP Stats
G-Fund Estimated Forward Returns • +0.0118% per session [9]
 • 5 Sessions: +0.059% • November: +0.23% • 3 Months: +0.75% • 1 Year: +3.03%
FCSI Past-5 Sessions
 • F-Fund −0.03% • C-Fund +1.66% • S-Fund +1.23% • I-Fund +0.47% [9]

⌛ Today's 1st Hour of Trading, What to Watch For
• Energy follow-through: yesterday’s sanctions-driven spike kept crude firm; watch XLE leaders out of the gate. [10]
• 08:30 CPI whipsaw risk: first prints can set cash open tone for SPX and sectors. [11]
• Dollar near 99: a push above could weigh on multinationals; a slip favors cyclicals. [12]

💣 Upcoming Headlines (5-Day Window, ET)
• 10/24 FRI 08:30 — [Macro] CPI and Core CPI: sets near-term rate path. [13]
• 10/29 WED 14:00 — [Fed] FOMC rate decision; 14:30 press conference. [14]
• 10/29 WED 16:00 — [Earnings] Microsoft (after close): mega-cap read-through. [15]
• 10/29 WED 16:00 — [Earnings] Alphabet (after close): ad, cloud, AI signals. [16]
• 10/30 THU 16:00 — [Earnings] Apple (after close): iPhone cycle, margins. [17]
• 10/28 TUE — [Auction] U.S. 7-Year Note: supply into FOMC. [18]

📝 Disclaimer: Any resemblance to actual outcomes is purely coincidental.
Powered by AI-Intela: Sometimes thinking hard, sometimes hardly thinking.


Citation Block
[1] 2025-10-23: AP News: “Wall Street climbs to the cusp of records as oil prices jump
[2] 2025-10-24: Investor’s Business Daily: “Dow Jones Futures: Intel, AI Play Jump; CPI, China Talks In Focus
[3] 2025-10-24: MarketWatch: “September CPI Today: Live coverage
[4] 2025-10-24: Investing.com: “US Dollar Strength Persists Ahead of Key CPI Release
[5] 2025-10-23: Investing.com: “Asia stocks climb as Trump-Xi meeting news eases trade jitters
[6] 2025-10-23: Reuters: “Oil surges ~5% after U.S. sanctions Rosneft, Lukoil
[7] 2025-10-23: Yahoo Finance: “How major U.S. stock indexes fared Thursday (10/23/2025)
[8] 2025-10-23: Trefis: “S&P 500 Movers | Winners: DOW, LVS, WST | Losers: MOH, SMCI, URI
[9] n.d.: TSPtalk: “Fund prices: Daily G/F/C/S/I series
[10] 2025-10-23: AP News: “Wall Street climbs to the cusp of records as oil prices jump
[11] 2025-10-24: MarketWatch: “September CPI Today: Live coverage
[12] n.d.: Yahoo Finance: “US Dollar Index (DX-Y.NYB) Historical Data
[13] 2025-10-24: MarketWatch: “U.S. Economic Calendar
[14] n.d.: Federal Reserve: “FOMC meeting calendars and information
[15] 2025-10-08: Microsoft (Source press room): “Microsoft announces quarterly earnings release date
[16] 2025-10-08: Alphabet IR: “Alphabet Announces Date of Q3 2025 Financial Results Call
[17] n.d.: Apple Investor Relations: “https://www.apple.com/investor/earnings-call/]Apple Earnings Call (Q4 FY25) — Oct 30, 2025[/url]”
[18] n.d.: TreasuryDirect: “Upcoming Auctions
 
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