clester's Account Talk

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Dollar strength is hurting I fund. But the stocks in the fund are doing well so they're offsetting. I think we are owed some fair value from yesterday but today's fair value could erase it.

All stock funds still a buy.
 
clester said:
Dollar strength is hurting I fund. But the stocks in the fund are doing well so they're offsetting. I think we are owed some fair value from yesterday but today's fair value could erase it.
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Currency manipulation is making this hard to track. Not necessarily our manipulation of the dollar but others manipulating the global currency markets make it a hard game to figure out.
 
Mcqlives said:
Currency manipulation is making this hard to track. Not necessarily our manipulation of the dollar but others manipulating the global currency markets make it a hard game to figure out.
Click to expand...
Yep. The I fund parts are hard to follow. The biggest part of I fund is currency. When it's volatile it's hard predict. What I've decided is to not worry about currency, Greece etc and just focus on technicals of the EFA chart. Even though it's not a perfect relation to O fund, at least you can combine all the variable there. Just trade the EFA chart. The other stuff is interesting but not actionable imo.
 
clester said:
Yep. The I fund parts are hard to follow. The biggest part of I fund is currency. When it's volatile it's hard predict. What I've decided is to not worry about currency, Greece etc and just focus on technicals of the EFA chart. Even though it's not a perfect relation to O fund, at least you can combine all the variable there. Just trade the EFA chart. The other stuff is interesting but not actionable imo.
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Actionable...No. Frustrating...yes!!!!! And then when Russia and China start messing with their currencies it really gets frustrating.
 
Europe and Japan up big
dollar up against yen, but down against euro.
all profits go to the fund managers and not us?? :disappointed:
 
Valkyrie said:
Europe and Japan up big
dollar up against yen, but down against euro.
all profits go to the fund managers and not us?? :disappointed:
Click to expand...

Dollar stronger across the board. All negative for I fund. Euro 1.47% Pound 0.93% Yen 0.6% are the main ones but Swiss frank is a big one too. Stocks were up big too but not enough to offset dollar. Yen is opposite others so positive number is stronger dollar
 
clester said:
Dollar stronger across the board. All negative for I fund. Euro 1.47% Pound 0.93% Yen 0.6% are the main ones but Swiss frank is a big one too. Stocks were up big too but not enough to offset dollar. Yen is opposite others so positive number is stronger dollar
Click to expand...
I fund owes us at least +0.2% probably more
 
All stock funds remain on buy. S fund looks the weakest because it's yet to break out to new high.

We are a long way from a buy or sell signal. RSI values are well below 70 and prices are well above the 50 dma.
 
I fund getting hurt by strong dollar again but the stocks in it are down too. A double whammy. But it is still above the 50 dma and in a bull market, so it's a buy. S fund is testing its 50 dma today an C fund is still above it's so they are still in buy zone too. End of the month too this week.

Leaving this weekend for another drive out to San Diego. This time it's a vacation. Going to be gone almost a month. Going out we'll go through New Orleans , San Antonio, Austin then we're not sure of route. Hope we miss all the flooding and bad weather in Texas!
 
clester said:
I fund getting hurt by strong dollar again but the stocks in it are down too. A double whammy. But it is still above the 50 dma and in a bull market, so it's a buy. S fund is testing its 50 dma today an C fund is still above it's so they are still in buy zone too. End of the month too this week.

Leaving this weekend for another drive out to San Diego. This time it's a vacation. Going to be gone almost a month. Going out we'll go through New Orleans , San Antonio, Austin then we're not sure of route. Hope we miss all the flooding and bad weather in Texas!
Click to expand...

Sounds like a nice trip. Keep posting while you are gone please.
 
jkenjohnson said:
Sounds like a nice trip. Keep posting while you are gone please.
Click to expand...

Thanks. I will.

The C fund tested its 50 dma today, the S fund broke through its a little and I fund is still above its. This is a good place for a bounce. Hope the USD doesn't keep going up.
 
I fund owes us for today. Not sure where the fair value accrual is but add about 0.3% or more for today.
 
clester said:
Warning for EFA. Below the 50 dma today.
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clester, thanks for posting this information! I'm seriously considering an entry into the I Fund, but will not pull the trigger today. To be completely honest, I think an agreement on the Greece situation is imminent. I think both sides are holding out waiting for the other to blink. I think it's imperative for all players involved to reach a deal. Any thoughts?

Ofcourse, I have been wrong in the past!!!
 
kave said:
clester, thanks for posting this information! I'm seriously considering an entry into the I Fund, but will not pull the trigger today. To be completely honest, I think an agreement on the Greece situation is imminent. I think both sides are holding out waiting for the other to blink. I think it's imperative for all players involved to reach a deal. Any thoughts?

Ofcourse, I have been wrong in the past!!!
Click to expand...
I agree. They will have to come up with an agreement. Usd is a big issue too. But, the bottom line for me is that I look at the charts and ignore the noise. For the I fund all we have is the EFA. It's holding at the 50 dma right now. So are C and S funds. We are still in buy status but flirting with a partial (50%) sell signal on all stock funds.
 
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