clester's Account Talk

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My system has a buy on C and I funds but S fund is still on sell. If the S fund is the leader then we should head lower.

I fund is only fund that has broken out to the upside. C fund is nearing highs again and if it follows the I fund it will breakout too. If it does I will have to change my long term view I think. Or it could follow the S fund which is what I expect but I won't fight it if it goes against me.
 
clester said:
My system has a buy on C and I funds but S fund is still on sell. If the S fund is the leader then we should head lower.

I fund is only fund that has broken out to the upside. C fund is nearing highs again and if it follows the I fund it will breakout too. If it does I will have to change my long term view I think. Or it could follow the S fund which is what I expect but I won't fight it if it goes against me.
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I HATE these roller coaster rides in the market. This year is very hard to trade.
 
clester said:
Yes. My crystal ball has been right but I've missed the exact timing buy a day or two each time it seems like causing my returns to suck. :(
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Sounds like you'll be in the G for a while longer, rather that buy into the I or C? I guess it would not be wise to chase the C or I. I have been in this very position several times and each time I chose the wrong move.
 
jkenjohnson said:
Sounds like you'll be in the G for a while longer, rather that buy into the I or C? I guess it would not be wise to chase the C or I. I have been in this very position several times and each time I chose the wrong move.
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The I fund is a possible play since it's broken out with a stop at the breakout point but I'm waiting on C fund.
 
There is a reason so few members are in the I fund - they must be on to something don't cha think? pun intended.
 
clester said:
The I fund is a possible play since it's broken out with a stop at the breakout point but I'm waiting on C fund.
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But I still see sideways / range bound prices until it finally breaks. You could probably play the range but we're at the top of it now.

I'm also surprised I fund is doing so well. If the ECB starts QE it should weaken the euro but stocks would go up. So....IDK.
 
clester said:
But I still see sideways / range bound prices until it finally breaks. You could probably play the range but we're at the top of it now.
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S&P didn't quite make a double top..but close. Could be a head and shoulders pattern building which would make sense with my long term view. If so we could spend some time building that right shoulder. System still has a buy until it breaks the 50 dma.

The S fund is still in a downtrend and below 50 dma so system has a sell.

The I fund is also a buy until it breaks the 50dma.

As I've said before I am focusing on the long term view which says we're down through the summer with a nice bounce somewhere around late June or so. I am bullish for the fall though. Sept. Or Oct Through Dec.
 
clester said:
S&P didn't quite make a double top..but close. Could be a head and shoulders pattern building which would make sense with my long term view. If so we could spend some time building that right shoulder. System still has a buy until it breaks the 50 dma.

The S fund is still in a downtrend and below 50 dma so system has a sell.

The I fund is also a buy until it breaks the 50dma.

As I've said before I am focusing on the long term view which says we're down through the summer with a nice bounce somewhere around late June or so. I am bullish for the fall though. Sept. Or Oct Through Dec.
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A couple of other sites are going 50%G and 50%I today. RSI is up around 80 though, so it does not look like a buy either.
 
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jkenjohnson said:
A couple of other sites are going 50%G and 50%I today. RSI is up around 80 though, so it does not look like a buy either.
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I think the S&P will continue sideways to slightly down until June when we will have the "big" drop which will create a buying opportunity.
 
clester said:
I think the S&P will continue sideways to slightly down until June when we will have the "big" drop which will create a buying opportunity.
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Sell the rip today IMO.

C fund and I fund are buys though in my system. C fund needs to make a new high for a good buy signal. S fund and F und are sells.

I fund looks good as it has broken out and retested the breakout.
 
clester said:
Sell the rip today IMO.

C fund and I fund are buys though in my system. C fund needs to make a new high for a good buy signal. S fund and F und are sells.

I fund looks good as it has broken out and retested the breakout.
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A couple of other sites are recommending the I fund. I have always lost money when I bought into it.
 
And trust me you will lose money again if you dare to go anywhere near that I fund. Just don't do it. I don't want to see the I fund get crowded - that means I'll be forced to change my allocations. So stick with the beloved S fund. pun intended.
 
Birchtree said:
And trust me you will lose money again if you dare to go anywhere near that I fund. Just don't do it. I don't want to see the I fund get crowded - that means I'll be forced to change my allocations. So stick with the beloved S fund. pun intended.
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Just for that, I'm going 100%I today with over $1,000,000! :D
 
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