clester's Account Talk

[MrBowl]

Re: I fund question

This 3-day rally seems like the positive trend is back if you look at the closing numbers, but there were significant dips both Monday and Tuesday. So, my hope and confidence are fairly new.

My question now is whether we will return to the top of the recent trading range. If we do, will we cycle down again and remain in the 2014 trading range? I always catch on to trading ranges just as they end.

 

[OBXTrader]

Re: I fund question

Indeed my good man. I am looking for 12% this year, so must consider risk / reward trade-off. I am on track for that through April. Even though in my lowly TSP I am now going to draw G Fund interest until May.

Money in the pocket is worth more than money in your wife's purse

 

[clester]

Re: I fund question

Indeed my good man. I am looking for 12% this year, so must consider risk / reward trade-off. I am on track for that through April. Even though in my lowly TSP I am now going to draw G Fund interest until May.

I believe the downtrend will resume next week. I also expect to be out for May and into June.

My system is on Buy for C fund but only because it's above the 50 dma and we're in a Bull market. Which means my system should be in at least 50%.
If we hold the 50dma early next week I'll buy 50% C. I'm surprised it got back over it. I expected it to follow the S fund and fail the attempt. S fund still in downtrend and below 50 dma.

 

[craigerv]

Re: I fund question

I agree, I was a little surprised it bounced back without too much fight but I think it will be tough to continue higher in the next couple weeks. I'm out, gambling with the F Fund until we get better prices or climb back up to the highs.

 

[clester]

Re: I fund question

Oops. Guess I was wrong?

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

I think this bounce back has surprised a few of us...

P.S. also using this post to reset your subject back...

 

[clester]

The S fund still has some ground to make up to get a buy signal. Irs still in a downtrend. It got near its 200dma and had a nice reversal.

The C fund is what surprised me. I still think we will be sideways to down the next couple months. I have a buy on C fund but I'm deferring to my longterm outlook right now.

 

[clester]

The S fund still has some ground to make up to get a buy signal. Irs still in a downtrend. It got near its 200dma and had a nice reversal.

The C fund is what surprised me. I still think we will be sideways to down the next couple months. I have a buy on C fund but I'm deferring to my longterm outlook right now.

I fund is looking intetesting. If it can make a new high I msy jump in there.

 

[Bquat]

I fund is looking intetesting. If it can make a new high I msy jump in there.

I really don't trust the I fund right now but I could be wrong. Here's my theory: The tentative peace deal has cause both a drop in oil prices and a rise in European markets. Now if these are Russian insurgents Putin has control and can get them to stand down but if they're really Russian ex-patriots, they are enjoying the new power and when people have power after being suppressed they will be very reluctant to give it up even if amnesty is offered. JMHO

 

[clester]

S fund rejected at 50 DMA again which doesn't look good. But the C fund is still OK. Rotation to large caps?

Also, I am surprised that the market couldn't hold onto the big gains helped by surprises from Apple and Facebook earnings. That's not good either.

 

[jkenjohnson]

S fund rejected at 50 DMA again which doesn't look good. But the C fund is still OK. Rotation to large caps?

Also, I am surprised that the market couldn't hold onto the big gains helped by surprises from Apple and Facebook earnings. That's not good either.

Thought you had disappeared. Good to see you back posting your knowledge of the market.

 

[clester]

Thought you had disappeared. Good to see you back posting your knowledge of the market.

Hey Ken..Yeah Still here.

My long term outlook is still intact. Just wish I had better timing

Outlook is for a couple months drifting lower. I think we'll end up taking out the last low during that time and we should get another buying opportunity in June. Looking to get that oversold RSI!

 

[clester]

Re: I fund question

I am expecting a downtrend to continue slowly through mid June or end of June. There may be a chance to get a little rally here and there. There may be one soon as we're getting oversold.

My crystal ball is still saying this.

The C fund is still a buy for now holding above the 50 dma.

S fund is a sell. In a downtrend and below 50 dma.

I fund is a buy but failed a triple top breakout.

 

[jkenjohnson]

Re: I fund question

My crystal ball is still saying this.

The C fund is still a buy for now holding above the 50 dma.

S fund is a sell. In a downtrend and below 50 dma.

I fund is a buy but failed a triple top breakout.

R u entering the C fund today?

 

[clester]

Re: I fund question

Nope. Going with my long term view and overriding the system for now.

 

[jkenjohnson]

Re: I fund question

Nope. Going with my long term view and overriding the system for now.

June timeframe possibly?

 

[clester]

Re: I fund question

June timeframe possibly?

Exactly!

 

[jkenjohnson]

Re: I fund question

Exactly!

S fund is taking a beating. Now I am glad I am out of IFT's.

 

[Handballer]

You can still use one to back out of S fund.

 

[jkenjohnson]

You can still use one to back out of S fund.

I have been in the G fund for a while and have not been in the S fund. If I had had an IFT I may have been tempted to buy in and would not be happy right now with the S fund. That is why I said I was glad I was out of IFT's.