ATCHUNTman
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I love it when a plan comes together. That's from a movie or something
My target is the 50 dma. Not much resistance til then.

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I love it when a plan comes together. That's from a movie or something
My target is the 50 dma. Not much resistance til then.
Well for me it depends on the situation. A big reason I went in this time was the RSI indicator. It rarely gets above 70 or below 30. But when it does it usually reverses. Also, I was waiting for a bounce first. I don't try to guess the bottom. One thing this does is give you a reference point. If we went below the bounce point I was out. You limit your losses this way if it doesn't work out.I was hoping for a holiday boost this week and dipped my toe in the C and S pools (25% each ... remainder in F). I ended up in positive territory, but I didn't have the stomach for the strange way (at least to me) that the markets seem to be moving and made my exit. Strong open one day only to see the gains lost over the course of the day. Weak open the next only to see the indices recover by day's end.
If we are in a period of choppy action, how does one play the funds? I'm okay with a market trending either up or down, but this choppiness makes me feel like I'm taking a shot in the dark every time I make a move. And I've learned that I don't have the nerves for such gambles!
IMO, this anxiety is why we won't go lower. Sentiment is terrible. And this is the worst the bears can do?This is a completely discouraging day. An absolutely dismal day. The strength of the bears is totally there thanks to the Euro. An utterly sisyphean day. I have low expectations for the remaining hour of the day. Drat. Grrr!
Things could always turn south. That's why, IMHO, you should always pick an exit point and stick to it. A lot of folks refuse to sell and take a loss. My experience is that usually it usually gets worse and your psyche gets hit, as well as your retirement fund. Always have in mind a stop loss value where you will sell.Thanks, guys. Yesterday was grueling, and today, after it, was a bear, it was enervating. I kinda expected a short covering at the end, but that vertical spike up was a surprise. (As of cob May 22, 100% S fund too, just like you, clester.) Thanks.
The proxy for the S Fund that I use is ^DWCPF, The Dow Completion Index.
Found out I didn't follow through on tsp.gov to make transfer to S fund last week. So, to get my account here in line I will go 100% G fund today. We are getting close to resistance and my gut feeling says it may be time to get out anyway.Nice big rally today. My target is the 50 dma. I expect some resistance at 678 on $emw and then at 50 dma. The reaction at the 50 dma will dictate my next move. My gut is saying to get out by the end of the month which is Thursday.
Looks like this is coming true. Unfortunately. The jobs data is disappointing. I have 2 kids who are getting out of college soon who need jobs. My oldest is going back to school for graduate school. Hope things get better by then.Downturn looks to continue from here maybe test 200 dma again. My gut says we may bust it this time.
I bet we will get something. Although, the economy is bad, I wonder if it is bad enough? QE hasn't helped much so far. It has helped the stock market though.Hope for a bounce and soon! Thoughts on QE3 from the fed??
I agree but a tough one to time. I'm beginning to like the "F" more and more, thinking about the "G" when it starts bouncing back up that way I would be able to get back in if it continues up without taking the "F" losses on the way.I think we are still a day or 2 from a bounce. When we do bounce it will probably be like last time. Big pop for a few days.
Timing that will be tough with our delay in trading. I'm thinking mid June for a bottom with a bounce somewhere before then.