burrocrat
Well-known member
if you are interested in learning how to code backtesting models, you may want to consider dating userque? i am sure with all the time he spends online and jacked in to his matrix computers he has to be single.
all joking aside, i am prepared to account for if members start to follow the ark signal, in a number of ways...
1) the system includes half or more of its decision making indicators from sources outside of the tsp gov realm, but don't ask because it is my secret sauce, my man behind the curtain stuff, and any individual arker following the signal instead of generating the signal is only 1/12th of 1/2 of the indicators.
2) for each arker indicator species there is a backup with a closely similar trading style who i also watch and use to 'ground truth' the move of the visible arker member, if they diverge i will see it and know it and correct for it.
3) it was evident to me right from the start when i built it that the ark system has this potential 'dog chasing its tail' inherent possibility for anomalous readings and the negative feedback loop stuff where folks start following the moves instead of being the moves. it makes no difference in the matrix because it is not exclusively the arkers actual moves that count in the calculations, rather their sentiment as evidenced by action, and that is of high value to know that, the market is a social construct to express money not the other way around - money does not define the social construct. following the ark does not remove an arkers sentiment from the equation.
4) i probably shouldn't say this so you figure out if it is true or just a distraction from someone stealing my kfc secret recipe, but mostly i just pull all this stuff straight out of my ass, have a few beers, try to write a somewhat interesting monologue, and then slam my chips around the way i think it is going to go, but with some moderating factors so the system is global but my burro account is personal, deeply personal. so how am i doing? well, doing about +9.3% last year and 7.5% lifetime overall.
5) if anybody thinks this is all a bunch of crap then they should not make their own investing decisions based on info they think is crap. pretty simple concept there.
6) the burros-ark system comes with an unlimited warranty for full refund of any moneys paid to the system, no questions asked. but you are on your own for any dumb decisions you make with your own money, including follow some donkey's musings on the internet.
7) the burros-ark system is totally and completely free. so that will be some pretty painless refunds to issue.
good luck out there, all of you.
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Though I'm sure it would be nice, dating is not necessary. 
He mostly listens to the music in his gut. gut sense. aka intuition.
Individual stocks? eek! 
I hadn't noticed that. no way, I'll use what they provide and be grateful, grateful enough to pay for access probably, whenever they get to that point. the signals are keeping me at a reasonable level this year, considering how much worse it could be by now. one of these days I'm liable to finally sign up for intrepid timer tho or tsptalk sentiment timer signals. I need to grow my account quite a bit more before I retire, looking at current downturn as opportunity I missed back in 08-09, to get in at much lower entry. current system gives pretty good entry/exit signals for 2x moves/month allowed in tsp account when volatility is lower, but with the increasing volatility since last fall, it's making it harder to work with tsp 2-moves/month limitations. that's why I'm below the zero line at the moment.
