burros-ark update: hmmm, a slow and steady week of 1/2% to 1% creeping gains depending on exposure to the i fund. arkers aren't moving much, 1 in, 1 out, and 1 reduced exposure a little, booorring. reasonable and positive ytd yields are looking pretty dang good for a bunch of amatuers. all's quiet on the western front, perhaps too quiet. i was looking for an opportunity to get my burrocrat personal account out of the market on a strong upday last week, but the opportunity did not present itself. i find myself nervously in the market hoping for just another percent... which sets my greed and complacency indicators blaring, but i want just a little more. i rarely like to hold a position longer than a few days and i think i am bailing early this week no matter what, this nickel here and dime there incremental accrual is just not my style. let's see what the ark says.
[TABLE="class: grid, width: 500"]
[TR]
[TD]burros-ark[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5.61%[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]*[/TD]
[TD]warm[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]resident[/TD]
[TD]vira[/TD]
[TD]ytd%[/TD]
[TD]weight[/TD]
[TD]direction[/TD]
[TD]comment[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]mouse[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]3.10%[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]*[/TD]
[TD]cold[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]turtle[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]1.40%[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]*[/TD]
[TD]cold[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]elephant[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]10.09%[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]*[/TD]
[TD]i fund inferno[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]penguin[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]3.50%[/TD]
[TD]60[/TD]
[TD]*[/TD]
[TD]cold[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]lion[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]4.58%[/TD]
[TD]60[/TD]
[TD]*[/TD]
[TD]warm[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]donkey[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]4.74%[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]*[/TD]
[TD]warm[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]racoon[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]7.34%[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]*[/TD]
[TD]hot[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]kangaroo[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]5.69%[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]<[/TD]
[TD]warm[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]cougar[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]5.34%[/TD]
[TD]75[/TD]
[TD]<[/TD]
[TD]warm[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]wolf[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]1.70%[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]>[/TD]
[TD]cold[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]owl[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]8.27%[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]*[/TD]
[TD]hot[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]squirrel[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]2.70%[/TD]
[TD]60[/TD]
[TD]*[/TD]
[TD]cold[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]hawk[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]9.81%[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]*[/TD]
[TD]hot[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]el vira[/TD]
[TD]67[/TD]
[TD]- 65[/TD]
[TD]= 2[/TD]
[TD]/ 65[/TD]
[TD]= 3%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]exposure[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]855[/TD]
[TD]/ 1,300[/TD]
[TD]= 66%[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
signal: hold. the system went to a buy three weeks ago and reinforces the position this week again. el vira is at 3% and net long exposure is at 66%. despite my personal fears about greece, the fed, and seasonal sell in may concerns, arkers as a whole remain calmly but conservatively in the market so hold. that's what systems are for i guess, to take emotion out of the decision process, although i'm not sure how well that applies to a system based largely on social momentum and emotion. we shall see.