Birchtree's Account Talk

[Steadygain]

Will end the WEEK telling you a 'TRUE STORY' that no one here would ever believe in the Months and Years to come.

When 'they' designed my brother it was immediately after altering and mixing some of the 'Limited Universal Chemical Properties' and discovering a 'Metal' that had millions of times the strength and endurance beyond any 'Material' that previously existed.

So that is pretty much all I knew over years and years ~ and it had been like this since we were 'little kids'.

When others ran - HE stood still; The FEAR of others made him STRONGER

Then he started doing 'weird s***' like jumping in front of speeding cars and would thoroughly enjoy himself and 'laugh' after he got hit. Then cars weren't enough -- so he'd do it with big Trucks....

Then Mandy came in his life and that's the guy everyone here has always known. Mandy is a 'cat' -- seriously -- like with a tail and that purs and goes 'meaow'. Well 'Mandy' (I call her that a lot) got Birch going for Trains more and more and he became the 'Ultimate B&Her' to ever live.

Dennis, PermaBULL#1

My investment adviser, Mindylou, is telling me to step in front of this train.

Well I heard this 'crap' throughout my life -- but damn if he didn't get Richer and Richer -- and leaving the others behind.

Then they flew him over a huge field of PANSIES and pushed him out of the plane and he landed right in the middle.

Then over time HE CHANGED. Somehow the PANSIES must have filtered through and I didn't think too much at first...:worried:

...but HE starting going to G FUND -- and talked about going there more fully. So I really started getting 'Majorly Concerned' -- cause it was sounding like he'd be 'FULLY IN G FUND' in the next few months.

So I honestly did NOT want to kick his ass -- so I asked him 'gently'

The plan is to be 30% G by the end of July.

Thanks Birch !!

Much appreciated cause all I remembered were some bits and pieces.

And you don't want me questioning your reasoning

or ever wondering what the hell

cause that's NOT cool

Well it was almost like he was becoming a PANSY ...

....so I got really 'concerned' - now I'm getting 'Scared for Him'.

That was like the 'weirdest time' of my whole life. I mean here I'm talking to the a man made out of something a billion times harder than steel; titanium and all the other known metals.

Birch,
I seriously don't know how to take your thinking.

This feels 'really strange' talking to you this way. It's like a Bear talking to a BULL -- and somehow we're trading places.

But no matter what I said, or how I approached him ~~ it's like I couldn't get through.

That's when I finally 'lost it' and said FTS! ~~ I don't know how the PANSIES are doing it but I've had enough!

So I went up and slapped him across the face as hard as I could and told him: (the next post)

Birch,

The general bulk (the PANSIES) seem convinced we are at (or near the TOP). I don't see that. Mergers and Acquistions are very much at play and that is super news for the BULL. The companies like Lockheed Martin ~~ that are most respondsible for the biggest government projects (and where the Greatest Money moves) are working on The BIGGEST projects to date.

Then I grabbed him and shook him hard and said:

So there's a lot of stuff going on ~ that spells enormous success. Factor in an 'economy' that has yet to take traction and END Results are impossible to miss.

That's when I could see 'The REAL Birch' coming back to life. I was so excited I started talking louder and louder:

The TOP to come will far exceed the previous. The Corporations and Industries dominating the Future will be far more powerful than the ones of the past. When 'Traction' takes place we will most certainly hit a new TOP.

Again another slap to the face, but not nearly as hard; then I shouted:

Don't give up Hope --- Birch ---- now's the time to be Bullish.

I'm going to add more to High Risk (and I seriously don't care what anyone else does with their stuff).

That's when it happened folks. Was like 'Shocking a dead person back to life'.

Steady,

I'm glad you see things in a positive light - that makes me feel better and my confidence has improved.

You know it's really strange -- but when someone you really care about is laying there in ICU .... it feels like forever. So this 'fleeting moment' may have passed the rest of you WITHOUT notice -- but for me it felt like years.

 

[PessOptimist]

Steady, one more time, the OmniCell is not the same as the snack vending machines! Go to the break room, insert money, get your snacks there!:laugh:

I love reading your stuff sometimes.

 

[Warrenlm]

I always feel like I've been to Woodstock and back.

 

[Birchtree]

Here are a few choice words from my WSJ by Donna Yesalavich dated 8/5/10

"Sign of Market Resurrection. On average, indicators of S&P 500 may signal unwind of 'Death Cross'.

"The U.S. stock market is gearing up to reverse the bearish 'death cross'. Investors were spooked a month ago when the 50-day moving average of the S&P 500 stock index moved below its 200-day moving average, a bearish sign referred to as the 'death cross' because the underperformance of short-term indicators compared with longer-term signs means the market is weakening.

Stocks now may be on the path to resurrection, if the 20-day moving average is any indication. On Friday, the S&P 500's 20-day moving average climbed above its 50-day moving average, indicating shorter-term conditions are doing better than longer-term conditions again.

The last time the 20-day rose above the 50-day was on March 10, which marked the start of a strong leg higher, for the market that lasted until late April. The S&P 500 gained nearly 7% over that period. If the trend continues, it could lead to the 50-day moving average climbing back above the 200-day, unwinding the 'death cross'.

It's part of the case of the market firming up and it's just another one of the positive technical characteristics that have taken place and hopefully are going to erase at some point all of the negative technicals we had for these couple of months. On Monday, the S&P 500 rose above its 200-day moving average after it had failed to stay above it last week. The measure closed up 2.2%, at 1125.86, while the 200-day average is about 1115.

If the S&P 500 can sustain its move above the 200-day average, the measure's next hurdle will be its June 21 intraday high of 1131.23. If we can take that out, that would give us a higher high. I think at that point people will feel a lot better about the market having put a bottom in and being able to start trending in a nice way."

 

[Birchtree]

CLF (Cliffs Natural Resources) is a member of my lamb chop sacrificial portfolio. In April it was trading as high as $75 and is currently at $62.49. Here FWIW are my DCAs in order of purchase: $45.52, 46.57, 47.82, 50.81, 48.02. So the question is should I cut and run or ride the thunder for a 2 for 1 stock split above $80? I think I'll sacrifice the immediate profit for a larger gain - we're still in a very strong bull market.

 

[felixthecat]

Doesn't look like a sell to me. Looks like relative strength is solidly going up. Looks like accumulation mode for this stock. I would revisit the fundamentals and politicial surroundings around 70ish or so. You get a dividend while you wait as well. Looks like green light for now.

Remember...I don't know anything about stocks. I can assure you though...I can easily lose money in stocks given the chance. My advice is just fictional and should in no way be received as advice to buy or sell stock.

 

[Birchtree]

"Many investors have been waiting to see what would happen at the 200-day before investing any new cash. The internal voice of investors may now be saying ' the 200-day has been cleared, I need to be patient and wait for a pullback'. That approach may or may not turn out to be a good idea, but the history of stock market action after the S&P 500 retakes its 200-day moving average tells us a pullback from current levels is far from a given. A visual inspection of the historical charts shown below can help you understand the range of possible outcomes when stocks regain their 200-day moving average."

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article21706.html

 

[Birchtree]

Ferdinand is getting ready to rip some fur off of Yogi. Talking about last Friday...

"The Dow was down 160 points, and the SPX was breaking the down trend line at 1110. The bulls were hanging on by a thread. And then it happened. Blast off back up. No rhyme or reason. Just the typical bears choking on it these days whenever they have the bulls on their knees. The market shot up off the lows, and although the market was red across the board, huge hollow candles were the norm. Those types of hollow candles usually bring about higher prices in the short term. Never a guarantee, but that's the norm."

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article21707.html

 

[Steadygain]

Ferdinand is getting ready to rip some fur off of Yogi.

OMG :laugh: That's got to be the BEST way to express it.

 

[Birchtree]

"Until the recent up-surge, the S&P 500 chart had the markings of a head and shoulders top, with the peak in April and with the neckline at 1040, it broke the neckline at the start of July, went down toward 1000 and held and turned up in a surprising way and hasn't stopped since, reaching a high last week of 1127. If the SPX breaks above 1132 and certainly above 1151, which we can correlate with the prior high of the left shoulder, then we're going to see a total invalidation of the head and shoulders top. If the height of the right shoulder takes out the height of the left shoulder, which is 1152-51 and sustains up there, then I think you'll see the stock market take off."

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article21756.html

So we may have a quantitative easing phase two and if the Fed indicates anything like that tomorrow look for the SPX to reach above the April high of 1222 and if one projects the distance in the previous head and shoulders pattern think in terms of SPX at 1372 before the year ends - I don't care what Goldman Sachs has to say.

 

[JimmyJoe]

"I don't care what Goldman Sachs has to say." Birch said. Well, I think it's the water I'm drinking these days but I tend to agree with Birch. I mean, these analysts are throwing out all this stuff and the market goes and does its thing. I'm tired of working. Worked hard all my life. So I'm gonna make some money off the market. I'm gonna keep drinking this water. This water makes me choose what is right in this climate and in the future. I know I'll make some changes to my IFT and I know that the market will give me the slip sometimes. -- Listen up. I think sometimes the big money companies are there to send the market one way and at the same time they will invest in another way. I say all this with all due respect to any of you who want to follow the news and the big banks. I've been everywhere man. I still plan on making up my 0% gains on the TSP tracker to at least 3% by the end of the year. Thereby it'll be 5% because I started late this year being tracked. I really need to make 6% or 7% because that's at least what we've all got to make here in on the planet of 'TSP talk'. Happy sailing to all of you.

 

[Birchtree]

Well Peter Eliades says the market is now readying itself for a journey to a potentially major top within the next two-four weeks. Then we head down.

At the end of April I was up on the tracker by 10% - at the end of June I was down by negative 5%. That's a 15% reduction. Now I'm back to approaching +5% for a 10% gain - soon I'll have my 10% back and then some for a 30% round trip. Now that's a journey.

 

[Birchtree]

Well today could have been worse - I could've been a contender in the S fund. Many are starting to fade back to the lily pad and that helps clear the lanes for the hoofhearted. I was wondering how to take out lbeeba8862 at #93 but a move to G solves that problem. I'm back watching Poetry in Motion with #85 - soon to fall to Betula papyrifera. Is there a forest large enough to hold all these unsuspecting bears? If the S fund underperforms tomorrow that will set the stage for more Tokyo drift down the tracker. I wish JTH had not faded back to the lily pad.

 

[amoeba]

Well today could have been worse - I could've been a contender in the S fund. Many are starting to fade back to the lily pad and that helps clear the lanes for the hoofhearted. I was wondering how to take out lbeeba8862 at #93 but a move to G solves that problem. I'm back watching Poetry in Motion with #85 - soon to fall to Betula papyrifera. Is there a forest large enough to hold all these unsuspecting bears? If the S fund underperforms tomorrow that will set the stage for more Tokyo drift down the tracker. I wish JTH had not faded back to the lily pad.

You are going the wrong way for any of that, oh #97. JTH to take you out before end of next week. I'm gonna go trigger happy on any bounce tomorrow. I'm within 2% of you are your brief (12 biz day) rise above me, so enjoy it while you can.

 

[Birchtree]

One Cell,

You are just too much fun. The futures are negative currently but by 0600 they will be positive and the race will be in full force. I would like to see you assume more risk - that's the way to make money. JTH has tucked his mighty tail for now - he won't be doing any racing until he firms his courage.

 

[JTH]

One Cell,

You are just too much fun. The futures are negative currently but by 0600 they will be positive and the race will be in full force. I would like to see you assume more risk - that's the way to make money. JTH has tucked his mighty tail for now - he won't be doing any racing until he firms his courage.

I do hope you've enjoyed sitting on your perch old friend. Now that I've rid myself of that pesky S-Fund allocation, I look forward to passing you by with my lonely F-Fund...

 

[Birchtree]

Ah, the pain of it all. It's just another profit taking day for the weak hands with the Dow currently down -204 - we've seen it many times. Perhaps my hoofhearted friends will again step forward and build their future by buying equities. I believe I'm right about this bull run so I'll sit tight as usual. In the meantime I'll temporarily give up some tracker gains. No dividends due today so there is no glory - just take the rope a dope strategy and hang on.

 

[KevinD]

Don't forget section 8 housing. Big one around here.

Chaos As Crowd Waits for Section 8 Housing Assistance

http://www.myfoxatlanta.com/dpp/new...for-Federal-Housing-Assistance-20100811-am-sd

 

[Birchtree]

Section 8 is a sure way to destroy a nice house - NINAs have no couth but they do vote.

My oceanic account is being hammered like a fine piece of silver today because of my small cap positions but I'll handle it - just glad I'm not holding the S fund for added pain. If this selling keeps up without mercy I'll give up more than $100K for the day - but there are more days remaining to recoup some of the give back.

 

[JTH]

Section 8 is a sure way to destroy a nice house - NINAs have no couth but they do vote.

My oceanic account is being hammered like a fine piece of silver today because of my small cap positions but I'll handle it - just glad I'm not holding the S fund for added pain. If this selling keeps up without mercy I'll give up more than $100K for the day - but there are more days remaining to recoup some of the give back.

Sorry to hear your taking the pain, these drops have been considerably faster and difficult to avoid. Were you using your small cap position to hedge against your zero-S-Fund?