Birchtree's Account Talk

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Re: Birchtree's account talk

Birchtree said:
Mindylou is currently researching Ichimoku Kinko Hyo - Clouds. Perhaps Alevin can offer some suggestins to make the reading easier. Will tomorrow be day #4 on the upside - boy would I like a 300 point barn burner to turn this pyromaniac on. I could actually end up making money on the week after giving back $60K on Monday.
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Birch,

I am very, very happly with the slugginsh (but sustainable) 50pt gains.

Anyway, a 300 pointer will just be a signal for the bears in waiting to bail out. We will all lose - short term - the next day...:nuts:
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Mindylou says the market today is going to be pushy - that means buy early and buy often. Work on paring down the stock list because they are destined to get much more expensive. Ferdinand says drive by the barn and fill up the trunk with that sweet smelling superlative bull manure and ride.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Silverbird said:
Ok...now I have a picture in my head of a screen painting of a cat on a cloud, nose in the air as if it sensed something in the air, starting to raise its paw to bat it.

Gave a family member a book for Christmas a couple years back, about talented cats who actually intentionally paint abstract paintings. Saw a youtube video on another website the other day about a cat who loves to play piano (again, kind of like John Cage, tho an orchestra behind her did a very nice non-Cage performance that tied in nicely). :cool:

Found a wiki by Mr. Kumo (Mr Cloud) on the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo system. http://www.kumotrader.com/ichimoku_wiki/index.php?title=Main_Page

I don't have time to vet it, but at least it is nicely laid out....
Click to expand...

I put that link (an a couple others) in my thread months back when I discovered and started tussling with learning how to use them. It's a very helpful link if you're interested in exploring the possibilities.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Sharply higher - geesus I got to get a move on before I get consumed in the dust cloud being created the stampeding bullish herd.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

I was afraid this market was going to be a runaway. So I bought: PBY, TWIN, BWS, DW, DY, AEO, MCS, GCI, VHI, FHN, FAF. My oceanic was up $40K in the first 30 minutes - that's a nice cushion to tho some money away with. Oh, I forgot one: SXI. I like to buy in even numbers.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

I think it's safe to say that the McClellan Osc. is back in positive territory today. Nice little head fake it threw out last week.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Exactly - I'm actually grateful the VIX has not dropped like a rock, yet. The value of 20 is my target to begin to shift some of the tugboat to the lily pad primarily to get past the nine I fund buy and holders. Panic buying? You ain't seen nothing yet especially when I have more work to do. And yes I am in a panic buying mood - enjoy the feeling.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Birchtree said:
Exactly - I'm actually grateful the VIX has not dropped like a rock, yet. The value of 20 is my target to begin to shift some of the tugboat to the lily pad primarily to get past the nine I fund buy and holders. Panic buying? You ain't seen nothing yet especially when I have more work to do. And yes I am in a panic buying mood - enjoy the feeling.
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Ride the wave, or at least stay in the current! I am thinking of revising my target point of the VIX to around 21. This puts a little buffer in and I think the probablity is that we will see large single day drops in the VIX (yesterday the VIX fell pretty good) in a few weeks.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Some of the traffic ahead of me on the tracker is finally moving to the shoulder - that's what we like, right, Ferdinand. There are a few (4) that will feel the "Tokyo Drift" as the wave rolls on. It's only fair. The "Cooler" is now in position. Put me up 175 on the Dow and I'll dump some more $K down the rabbit hole.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Hooray for Hollywood - the Nas just went through 2015 which is the 70 week moving average. The SPX needs to get through 1036 - well so who cares. The 70 week moving average has stopped all rallies dead in their tracks when in a true bear market. We are close to a confirmed bull market. No longer will the bears be able to say we are in a bull market rally within a deeper secular bear market. 12 more points on the SPX and we are definitely in a cyclical bull market inside a mega trend secular bull market - that could last at least five years. Ain't that special? Snort.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

The only reason I'd go to the lily pad is strategic to get an opportunity to by pass the nine buy and hold I funders - it would only be a temporary move. Nothing in the oceanic will be sold this year - I don't want to declare the profits. Give me a Dow of 9550 and I'll go for another market swim - c'mon who will follow me.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

This pattern today looks alot like yesterday - one more nice step up around 1400 hours would bring in more panic buying - probably from the hedge funds. What to buy next.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Birchtree said:
The only reason I'd go to the lily pad is strategic to get an opportunity to by pass the nine buy and hold I funders - it would only be a temporary move. Nothing in the oceanic will be sold this year - I don't want to declare the profits. Give me a Dow of 9550 and I'll go for another market swim - c'mon who will follow me.
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Birch,
Basically everyone is convinced you're a lifelong B&Her in high risk and so it's kind of a shock our collective system to think you may actually go to the Lilly Pad.

I didn't see any reflection of change in the IFT (which I immediately went to after reading this)

Not sure if you read Bullit's Blog today - but it's the perfert fit for you. Everyone (ME INCLUDED) is in the same mindset and as a result we've mostly lost out. Everyone is saying the same $h** You're about the only one to take a Bullish Stand and stick with a 'Winning Plan'.

If you do move to G at some point - I'm sure it would have to be temporary. This is a marked fundamental change in your thinking and I'm kind of shocked by that. Previously you'd felt by selling (or moving to G) you would take a loss - which up to this point you've refused to do. But now maybe you're seeing things in a different light - that holding what you have when the Markets Fall will actually get you more.

Whatever you do - it's your game so I'd whole heartedly encourage you to do whatever you feel like doing. But it's possible (although highly improbable from my perspective) the Markets will continue going up.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Steady,

It will most likely be more than two months from now before I make that move. Strategically I'm waiting on the VIX as a renegade contrarian play to pierce the 20 level - that will signal that many more have joined the party close to an intermediate term top and would be a purrfect time to rest - the hammer will probably happen during the Christmas anticipated rally. So until then let the good times flow and please don't fade the dominant yearly Kress cycle. Did you notice the Mindylou imprint?
 
Nine Nazgûl

Birch,

The Nine Nazgûl are full in the sway of the I of Sauron.
Wherever the I gazes the Nine Nazgûl gallop.
I don't know if they can be defeated.
They never fade, never tire.
Even faster today.

A Tractor Pull.

:)

By the way, I ain't bitter - I just think it's funny. Watching those Nine move up and down as a herd. Personally, I am treating this market as a standard market now. I will use my three standard allocations. I never plan to be 'all in' or 'all out'. Right now I have 83% in equities. Good enough...:)
 
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