Birchtree's Account Talk

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

That's interesting because Joe Granville likes the small caps. I like Joe Granville for the same reason I like Richard Nixon - they have both redeemed themselves over time. Joe was bearish at the October 9th highs and Richard Russell (another octogenarian) that turned bullish at that same top after being bearish for several years. Joe has now turned into a stampeding bull and Russell has turned bearish at the July 15th bottom.

 

[Braveheart]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

I can smell it! But I still hate the TSP Board!

We're currently bouncing around between 20 SMA and upper Bollinger band/50SMA. We've hit highs in the upper 1280s and lower 1290s 3 times...and going for a fourth. If we DO NOT CLOSE ABOVE 1290 in the next couple days (assuming there is an attempt at follow through to today), I believe we are headed down below the 20 SMA into the 1235-1245 range. That's my best guess anyhow. Wildcard = dollar and crude...and we all know which way that goes. I'd like to see us close near highs today, then, an attempt at follow through on Monday, which happens to lack any economic data, thank goodness! Also, I don't see any big market moving earnings on Monday before the close, so, maybe we'll get our close near 1300 (at which point I will lighten up on stocks a tad...).

1296 today - I refused to leave the S Fund 100% still have 2 IFT's may spend a few days in the I Fund and move back to 50% C Fund 50% S Fund this time will wait to see how things move Sunday/Monday

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

My feeling is we could easily move combat forces from Iraq to Georgia. After all they are an ally and we've been playing war games to fight the Russians for many years - they have never really been our friends. Heavy equipment can be moved from Germany to stop any further invasion and Poland may step up to the task with a number of other countries - watch the unification that developes to stop the Russians. They are such ignorant fools.

 

[Corepuncher]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

My feeling is we could easily move combat forces from Iraq to Georgia. After all they are an ally and we've been playing war games to fight the Russians for many years - they have never really been our friends. Heavy equipment can be moved from Germany to stop any further invasion and Poland may step up to the task with a number of other countries - watch the unification that developes to stop the Russians. They are such ignorant fools.

Sounds like a game of RISK!

 

[Braveheart]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

My feeling is we could easily move combat forces from Iraq to Georgia. After all they are an ally and we've been playing war games to fight the Russians for many years - they have never really been our friends. Heavy equipment can be moved from Germany to stop any further invasion and Poland may step up to the task with a number of other countries - watch the unification that developes to stop the Russians. They are such ignorant fools.

Friggin Russia this was planned they will blame Georgia but they used the Olympics they are also worried since Oil is down and they have bet heavily on high prices. I hope Oil really sells off they want it to get back to $145 so pick a fight. I hope Georgia kicks their ass.

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

I'm taking this Georgian situation seriously. The possum butt Russians are using large strategic bombers and firing ballistic missiles into Georgian territory. The Russians do not want a democracy on their border or any NATO ally for that matter. These are the same nasty folks that tried to assassinate Georgian President Shevardnadze in 1995 and again in 1998. Some analysts have described this and other so-called conflicts as the front line in a new Cold War, driven by Moscow's determination to ensure that its neighbors and former Soviet satellites remain in its sphere of influence and don't join NATO or the European Union. We need to place U.S. peacekeepers in there immediately and bring the Air Force and Navy with us. South Ossetia has a population of 70,000 and is pro-Russian wanting to break away from Georgia in the early 1990s after the dissolution of the Soviet Union - the possum butts would like to annex both South Ossetia and Abkhaziz. The South Ossetia separatist started this conflict by shelling Georgian territory and received the same in return before the Russians escalated the conflict. This could be like West Berlin all over again. The Russians have also bombed the international airport in Tbilisi to make it difficult for any reinforcements to enter by plane. As a matter of fact, all the IEDs that have been captured in Iraq made by Iran should be sent for use in Georgia. We'll be transporting 2000 of their soldiers that were helping us in Iraq back to Georgia. We should just stay there and act as a buffer.

 

[Show-me]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Never trust Putin and his puppet.

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Some elements of the 25th Infantry Division are getting ready to be redeployed to Iraq again and I wouldn't be surprised if they are diverted to Georgia. This conflict is going to escalate rapidly because Georgia is an ally and we are commited to help them - even Turkey may step in to help. For much of the last two years, the Bush administration and Putin's government have been engaged in an escalating war of words over U.S. plans to base a missile defense system in the Czech Republic and Poland. Russia said they would aim rockets at Polish territory if the U.S. proceeded with plans to construct interceptor missile sites there. We need to start with Georgia first because they are already being hit with ballistic missiles. I say we should arm them to the teeth and they can return fire to the USSR. How will this conflict affect the markets is anybodies guess at this point - the Russian market is crumbling.

 

[Buster]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

It don't matter, none of this will matter..the end is near...

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

"An Interview with a Cycle Master."

http://safehaven.com/article-10953.htm

 

[Corepuncher]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

It don't matter, none of this will matter..the end is near...

"Will YOU be ready?"

LMAO! :laugh:

 

[Steadygain]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

For much of the last two years, the Bush administration and Putin's government have been engaged in an escalating war of words over U.S. plans to base a missile defense system in the Czech Republic and Poland. Russia said they would aim rockets at Polish territory if the U.S. proceeded with plans to construct interceptor missile sites there.

I did a lengthy research on Nuclear Bombs - and showed what would happen if most of the bombs (especially the larger more powerful ones were actually used in war). Using New York City as the example I showed the extent of the damage second by second and the end result.

Once a year the higher brass were required to go to various bases in Germany and let them know that they were there as strictly "a presense". Everyone was told in the event of a "real war" no one would be expected to make it to the motor pool; so all the tanks and other equipment meant nothing. Everyone and everything would be distroyed before anyone could even make it out of the building.

Russia is nothing like the forces that took Kuwait, that we can go in expecting to do anything in the "traditional warfare" manner. They have mega power bombs and plenty of them (as well as a huge Military Force). On top of all that they are very much like the USA in the sense that they would never allow themselves to be humbled by another country - or allow the perception that they are weak or inferior. I believe engaging in conflict will only make matters worse and the USA will be greatly humbled and resented all the more.

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

"For Europe - which depends on Russia for a quarter of its gas supplie - standing up to the Kremlin is tricky. Washington, meantime, is eager to win Moscow's cooperation on global issues like stopping Iran's nuclear ambitions. Several Western diplomats and analysts believe Russia is taking cues from NATO's 1999 bombing of Serbia - an action that Russia deeply opposed, but was powerless to stop. That bombing was in part an effort to undermine Serbian leader Slobodan Milosevic. Russian officials insist their sole goal is to establish control over Georgia's two separatist territories, Abkhazia and South Ossetia. The territories are protected by Russian peacekeepers and broke away from Georgia with the help of Russian volunteers and covert military support, including air cover in Abkhazia, in the early 1990s. In both cases, the conflictds followed attempts by Georgia to end the separatists' ambitions by force."

http://online.wsj.com/public/us

 

[Steadygain]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Birch,
Please don't misunderstand me. I wholeheartedly believe the Russia - Georgia situation is wrong. And I fully agree with the notion of ending the conflict before it drags on and magnifies into an even greater problem.

But it reminds me of another conflict. One in which the most major Super Power on Earth decided to attack Iraq. What stood out the most is "the rest of the entire global population" all said they opposed the war and would not give the needed permission to start it. Instead of the Super Power showing they were willing to be part of a unifed GLOBAL effort to resolve the condition - they bribed a completely insignificant Africian Country to give them a "yes". You see under "international law" the Super Power did not have the authority to wage this war without some kind of clearance. All significant countries said "NO" - so one with essentially no might or power was persuaded to say "YES".

It's highly possible that a better resolution may have resulted if in fact the world stuck together to bring about a more globally acceptable result. Had this happened the Super Power would come out looking far superior - by showing the global community it's respect and co-operation. Instead it basically gave everyone the finger and said "We don't care - we'll do what we want and no one is going to stop us". This is what makes Russia look bad - and bad is bad no matter who is doing it.

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Ferdinand, have you noticed that sugarandspite has been in a buy and hold position and racking the dollars? Do you suppose they are converts to our religion after being so adamant against holding for any sign of a loss. We enjoy it as evangelicals when the light shines on a new convert - but keep your hands off no blessings needed.

 

[Steadygain]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Ferdinand, have you noticed that sugarandspite has been in a buy and hold position and racking the dollars? Do you suppose they are converts ....

Birch,
I'm so dumb I don't even know who Ferdinard is.

The Buy and Holders will prevail in the long run. All the more I see it's impossible to miss a good day.

Anyway, good night my friend.

Don't watch the news or read the paper and just enjoy the outdoors and nature. I think we've beat the dead horse enough - and nothing's going to change. So far we've come up with fairly debatable issues - so try comming up with something that's harder for me to challenge you on...:nuts:

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Steady,

Ferdinand is the Disney cartoon bull that would rather smell the flowers than go the the ring and fight the Matador.

I didn't realize that George Soros is one of Obama's key financial backers.

What do you suspose would happen if Russia shot down one of our military planes that are delivering the 2000 Georgian soldiers home from Iraq? What would happen if both Poland and Ukraine put boots on the ground in Georgia to help them save that friendly country - Poland is a member of NATO and could invoke the NATO alliance. I'm taking this conflict seriously and it has me nervous.

 

[Steadygain]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

I'm taking this conflict seriously and it has me nervous.

I understand Birch, I honestly do.

We had essentially the same background. As US Citizens we were brainwashed into thinking "Russia" is the worst enemy possible. They are "communist" and their primary objective is to take us captive and take away our freedoms. Trust me Birch I stood at attention, holding my hand over my heart and said the pledge of allegence with all my heart and soul. I bought the whole package Birch and became everything they could have hoped for.

I had no problem planning the defeat of "our enemies" or defeating them first hand. It's not that I have anything at all against Georgia but Genocide has been taking place throughout the years in another sector of the globe and no one seems to care. So if we "as a people" are going to do something I think we need to all come together and work from a different frame of mind.

I am way more concerned about the leader of Iran waging conflict with Isreal. Russia may want Georgia for greater control of their oil and since Oil is a "gold mine" - that is very understandable. I honestly don't have a problem with them annexing Georgia for this purpose - as that would be the most strategic move possible. But it should be done in such a way as to let the Georgians benefit the most and allow them to maintain their own identity.

Anyway, I'm with ya brother - when Russia starts attacking it becomes a very serious issue because they could end the world.

 

[Buster]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Don't sweat the small stuff..it was just the USSR flexing it's muscles..morrow..don't talk about joining NATO and you'll be okay..

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26116598 <---Mcnuut..linky

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

The time is fast approaching to buy some more CSX now that it is correcting following the commodity plays - maybe later this week I can get it under $60. I noticed that the MACD for the Dow has finally moved above the zero line confirming several other indexes. Mindy Lou says she would like to see more buying stampedes to lock this uptrend.