Birchtree's Account Talk

Re: Birchtree's account talk

PS ...... I kinda needed that.... this bein friday afternoon and all. I need to get out of here. Good luck in the market.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

My friends at Merrill as usual have gone and gotten all beared up. Merrill says that a coming rally is expected to be no more than an interruption in a still incomplete intermediate decline; it should be used as an opportunity to become more defensive. If you know their history like I know their history one should pay no attention. To me as a renegade contrarian the risk is again being out of the market not in the market. I'm staying stationary for the ride. I have my game plan. Snort.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

"The K-wave averages 60 years and is expected to bottom at about the same time as the current 60-year cycle, in or around 2014. If history repeats we should see a further recovery from here and then a stellar year for stocks in 2008 before a peak in 2009-2010 as the latest 10 year cycle peaks. Can you smell the fear in the air? I ceretainly can and it's showing up big time in the market's leading psychology indicators. Several of these indicators have given superbullish signals (that's SuperBullish) and these signals are telling us that we should ignore the headlines and remain bullish on the stock market". Snort - sounds good to mine ears.

http://safehaven.com/article-8269.htm
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

I can't help but ask myself what will happen when the ebbchart turns cold - how long will paid subscribers spin on the ice? I'll stick with Elaine and Abbey.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

The NYSE breadth MCO had a very nice breadth thrust last week to +69.17, it looks so trajectory and so nice it makes me nervous in a good sort of way. The NYAD is trying to push past the 39 EMA at 172792.06 versus NYAD cumulative now at 172034.00. Today may be the day....and then what? Mostly on and upward to my thinking. Snort.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

A few words from the kind folks at The Motley Fool - When Market Tanks
"Why do market corrections upset us so much? Here atre two reasons: We hate losses more than we like gains, and corrections tend to be fast and big. The market might spend a year going up 20 percent, only to give up three quarters of that gain in a few trading days. The downward spikes happen so quickly that we fear they'll keep going all the way to the bottom, even if we know that that's very unlikely.
Selling on market dips is usually a bad idea, even if it is human nature. Not only do you lock in a loss, but you also pass up good buying opportunities.
Here's what to do when the market slumps:
a, Don't panic. The market has always recovered. Odds are high that it'll recover this time, too. Remember that your investment horizon is years away, and corrections are often over and gone in a few weeks. Unless your reason for owning a stock has fundamentally changed, there's no good reason to sell - even if the dip drags on for several months.
b,Remember that sometimes a recovery happens more quickly than the correction did - and even during the correction, prices will bounce up and down.
c, Look for buying opportunities. It goes against our nature to plow more money into the market when things are looking bad, but for a buyer, a correction means that stocks are on a storewide sale. So take a look at your favorite stocks (or mutual funds) and see whether you can grab some bargains. Sure, they might go lower - but even if you don't get the lowest price, you can still set yourself up for good long-term gains.
d, If all else fails, just go to the beach. Seriously: If you're fully invested in good stocks, (like Birchtree) there's really no need to do anything. If you built your portfolio using sound investment principles, those principles are still sound, even if Mr. Market is having a tough month." Now wasn't that refreshing?
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Another post gone from last night.
"More than $900 billion in adjustable rate mortgages are due to reset from next month through December 2008, which means lots of homeowners will be scrambling to come up with extra cash. It's really amazing not to see the default rate for credit cards track mortgage defaults, but that isn't happening."

http://www.twincities.com/cl_673521?source=rss Credit Cards May Be Next
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

The poor Oceanic account took a $60K hit in a matter of two days. Gosh, I wish I could make that much in two days. Sugar, what am I doing wrong?
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Like the Aflac goat says: nah, nah, nah. I do own 15 ounces of U.S. Gold that I bought back in the early '80s. They are Louis Armstrongs, Grant Woods, etc. I think I'll eventually give them to the grandkids on special occassions.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

I was asking because of the article you listed about the Elliott Wave Principle in an eariler post. I knew to buy gold back in the earlier days of 2002(thereabouts), but instead indulged in gold jewelry. Guess it could always be melted down..if needed. lol
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

We'll know when the recession is looming as soon as the people begin to go bananas over gold stocks just as as they were the CSCO's and SUNW's during the tech boom of the 90's.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

We'll know when the recession is looming as soon as the people begin to go bananas over gold stocks just as as they were the CSCO's and SUNW's during the tech boom of the 90's.


According to the article BT listed earlier, we should be thinking about it now, before everyone else. The author does give the current bull market around another 3-5 yrs tho. Just something to think about.

GL in your trades.

D
 
Back
Top